It's too bad SETX can't benefit from an El Niño-driven SJT during the summer, when we could really use it! You can thank the Mexican Desert for that At least here in SETX, all the discussion regarding summer rainfall was strictly "sea-breeze storms + any tropical waves". I've never known ...

Great eclipse viewing today! Hopefully the same manifests for Apri!

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Fri Oct 06, 2023 2:51 pm Not sure that above normal precip forecast the CPC put out for October will verify. Next couple weeks look pretty dry.

On the bright side, that means good eclipse viewing potential on the 14th.

Greater rains will be welcome this October as long as it's NOT on the 14th...

oleander wrote: ↑Sun Oct 01, 2023 10:25 amWe've got to get out of socialist Houston. It is lost.

Wut

I'm actually pleasantly surprised to see the amount of coverage that has been happening today, considering that the front earlier this week supposedly "pushed all the moisture offshore". Good storms in the Sugar Land area.

According to Storm2k, the -PDO is still quite strong. They think that is the reason why this relatively dry pattern is continuing despite the El Nino.

You have GOT to be kidding me! The fortunate thing is that the League City region cashed in BIG TIME with the previous stormy event during the Sept 10-16th week: the HGX station (NWSO located in Dickinson) has almost 5 inches total for the month, which is more than many places here so far this month.

According to Space City Weather, places north of I-10 better score big this morning. Because everything shifts southwards to the central metro coastward starting tomorrow.

Wildcard: if the front is more diffuse or slower progressing, that that would give more leeway for the entire area.

There's no point looking at the weather forecasters, they all suck.

Look at the radar now: storms forming no problem like in Liberty/Chambers counties (as usual) ... but also good development to the west in Wharton/Fort Bend (the cloud cover for the Ft. Bend cells is streaming over my home atm, though). Yet, central Houston is always in the blank. Same sea-breeze, s...

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Sat Sep 16, 2023 11:31 pmThere will be plenty more rain in November and December. Possibly even a winter storm. Also, watch out mid to late October for a cold snap.

Which prediction is this from? Pow Ponder?

Had two nice waves of rain today, though the second wave through the area was relatively lighter/stratisform compared to yesterday's event. While the rains were welcome, I'm definitely still looking for an area wide flood either later this month or October, because that is the only way to completely...

Geez the Cypress area gets skipped over again. I could have sworn that I saw storms in that area during the Labor Day week event, as well as during Sept 8/9. Hopefully they at least got something out of those days, because people from that area are really riled up on Space City Weather's comments s...

Looks like the SE Houston area was a big winner once again today: huge totals in La Porte, League City, Pearland, Friendswood, etc areas over the past few days. Decent showings around the Fort Bend/Sugar Land areas. Had the center of action today been a little further north, Hobby (which has done we...

Meanwhile, Space City Weather actually INCREASED their rainfall predictions in the period from today thru Saturday (based on NOAA). The NWS discussion from this morning states that good development should kick in south of I-10 later in this late afternoon-evening period (3-9PM) with the convergence ...

Well gang, I got .21” in my bucket but I think the trees/wind blocked it because it was .31” down the street (he’s like 6 houses away). So grateful for something and perhaps the beginning of a new trend, finally. I get a day off for a change. :D If Jason's curse has been broken, that bodes well for...

This summer is a supercharged version of the 1998 anomaly. When we flipped from La Niña to El Niño, there was a major heat dump from the ocean. About 80% of the heat storage from CC is in the oceans. Yeah, there are definitely parallels regarding this 2022-2023 summer dry period and the 1998-2000 m...

After seeing some recent posts regarding El Nino and summer weather in Texas, I decided to take a look at things and found this writeup below from the NWS Brownsville/RGV office. In short, it's quite possible that this summer in Texas was hot and dry precisely because of the El Nino (or rather, the ...

But, you’re avoiding the criticism. Folks ignored a clear forecast for what they wanted to happen only to gripe and complain about a forecast that wasn’t incorrect. I didn't ignore that part of your statement. It's just that when you mentioned "changes on the forum over the years," I thou...