Cpv17 wrote: ↑Thu Apr 04, 2024 1:03 pm I’m tired of seeing so many people say “oh they say it’s gonna be busy every year”. That narrative is lazy garbage and people need to educate themselves before they comment on something. Drives me crazy!

I agree!

Cap ture.PNG This moist airmass is forecast to remain in place over the south-central U.S. on Tuesday, as an upper-level low moves through the Desert Southwest. The moist sector is forecast to remain over the southern Plains and lower Mississippi Valley. The most likely location for convective deve...

Cap ture.PNG This moist airmass is forecast to remain in place over the south-central U.S. on Tuesday, as an upper-level low moves through the Desert Southwest. The moist sector is forecast to remain over the southern Plains and lower Mississippi Valley. The most likely location for convective deve...

Still far out but I'm watching Tuesday and especially Wednesday of next week for the possibility of a severe weather event locally and east of here. As there are PDS soundings already showing up in the models. As a vigorous impulse moves in along the subtropical jet there looks to be a MCS that will...

I’m seeing some potential for some severe weather once we get past the first week of April. Yep that's the storm system I was referring to the other day.Models today have come in a little more aggressive with the system and show a a large and organized warm sector over a big portion of the state. C...

Don't shoot the messenger LOL . I didn't say i wanted it to rain just saying the long range signal i see in the models.Doesn't mean its going to verify its still far out.

I love the changes! 😄 FYI It's far out but I'm watching the 2nd week of April for the possibility of a significant cutoff low in the southwest/southern plains.Combined with an active subtropical jet, such a setup could lead to a multi day severe weather & heavy rain threat in the plains.Still fa...

This line of storms is potent.Good job to the HRRR for showing this since yesterday.

HRRR later tonight around midnight.

Looks like their may be some small hail heading into The Woodlands right now.Also the line of storms that’s supposed to come late tonight is forming west of I-35 at the moment.

No surprise but pictures and video are coming in of hail with that cell.

Severe thunderstorm warning just issued in Harris county. Screenshot 2024-03-21 at 18-02-16 NWS Radar.png Severe Thunderstorm Warning TXC201-473-212330- /O.NEW.KHGX.SV.W.0041.240321T2300Z-240321T2330Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Hous...

Got about 2-3 inches here, finally nice to get a good rain event before the big suck kicks in, in a few months, then we will probably have to hope for a tropical wave/ system to bring us widespread rains I’m not so sure about that. Not every summer here is dry and crazy hot. We do sometimes have de...

Cromagnum wrote: ↑Thu Mar 21, 2024 4:13 pm 3 inches last weekend. 5 inch rain gauge was full to the top today.

Congrats!

1.44" here. There may be a bow echo late tonight, as the ULL passes.

Busy out there.

Another round of severe weather tomorrow...? 👀 spgvvcd2cat.us_sc.png Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1214 PM CDT Wed Mar 20 2024 Valid 211200Z - 221200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL TEXAS TO THE MIDDLE AND UPPER TEX...

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Sun Mar 17, 2024 3:37 pm I’m now up to 3.6” total. Don’t need anymore here. We’re good! Should help out the dewberries.

Congrats!

Storms were progressive enough this morning to not over stabilize the atmosphere. More storms are developing, good job to a few of the mesoscale models that showed this yesterday.

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sun Mar 17, 2024 12:52 pm Oh wow look, another bust here locally, what a shocker lol, everything fell apart right on my door step, not even a drop

Maybe for you, it hasn't been a bust for everybody though depends on your location.