Search found 5749 matches

by DoctorMu
Fri Jan 01, 2016 12:02 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: January 2016: Mardi Gras WX Outlook
Replies: 385
Views: 184935

Re: January 2016: Chilly & Wet New Years Weekend

Weather (and climate) forecasting is really no different, for the most part, than any other area of science. You look for consensus, robustness of predictions, and the mechanisms and predictable patterns (fractals if you will) underlying the models and predictions. Which models follow mechanistic da...
by DoctorMu
Thu Dec 31, 2015 6:11 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2015 -Year Ends As One Of Wettest On Record
Replies: 355
Views: 164851

Re: December 2015 -Chilly & Damp New Years Eve Possible

2015 Annual Rainfall Totals for SE Texas from HGX: .CLIMATE... 2015 HAS BEEN A VERY WET YEAR FOR MANY PLACES ACROSS SE TEXAS. THE FOLLOWING TABLE LISTS A RANKING OF THE ANNUAL RAINFALL RECORDS FOR 27 SITES ACROSS SE TEXAS WHICH REACHED INTO THE TOP TEN WETTEST YEARS ON RECORD. THE DATA IS FOR RAINF...
by DoctorMu
Thu Dec 31, 2015 3:04 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: January 2016: Mardi Gras WX Outlook
Replies: 385
Views: 184935

Re: January 2016: Chilly & Wet New Years Weekend

srainhoutx wrote:Not sure what got into the 18Z GFS, but it suddenly increases the wintry mix over the Hill Country. And the very long range is a complete flip to very cold Arctic front racing out of Western Canada into the Plains.
The snow protrudes all the way to the Brazos river on the W side of Brazos Co.
by DoctorMu
Tue Dec 29, 2015 10:18 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: January 2016: Mardi Gras WX Outlook
Replies: 385
Views: 184935

Re: January 2016: Chilly/Wet New Years Weekend Possible

1.5 in of rain IMBY from 7/1/15 - 10/21/15

27.15 in of rain from 10/22/15 - 12/29/15
by DoctorMu
Mon Dec 28, 2015 6:42 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: January 2016: Mardi Gras WX Outlook
Replies: 385
Views: 184935

Re: January 2016: Chilly/Wet New Years Weekend Possible

It looks like the various reliable computer schemes are coming together suggesting another Great Basin upper low with a rather robust disturbance riding the sub tropical jet out of the Eastern Pacific will bring a round of light precipitation, mostly in the liquid form across the Western and Southe...
by DoctorMu
Sun Dec 27, 2015 7:25 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2015 -Year Ends As One Of Wettest On Record
Replies: 355
Views: 164851

Re: December 2015 - Tracking High Impact Christmas Storm

nuby3 wrote:I've been wondering if stuff like the cells between Austin and San Antonio might offer some bursts of sleet with their passing
Frozen Mischief approaching Lake Travis.
by DoctorMu
Sun Dec 27, 2015 4:44 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2015 -Year Ends As One Of Wettest On Record
Replies: 355
Views: 164851

Re: December 2015 - Tracking High Impact Christmas Storm

5.5 in of rain IMBY since last night.
by DoctorMu
Sun Dec 27, 2015 1:38 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2015 -Year Ends As One Of Wettest On Record
Replies: 355
Views: 164851

Re: December 2015 - Tracking High Impact Christmas Storm

Band of snow crossing Junction moving toward Kerrville
by DoctorMu
Sun Dec 27, 2015 1:37 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2015 -Year Ends As One Of Wettest On Record
Replies: 355
Views: 164851

Re: December 2015 - Tracking High Impact Christmas Storm

ssued by The National Weather Service Houston/Galveston, TX 1:25pm CST, Sun Dec 27 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD ADVISORY FOR... SOUTHEASTERN BURLESON COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS... NORTHEASTERN WASHINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS... BRAZOS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST...
by DoctorMu
Sun Dec 27, 2015 1:25 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2015 -Year Ends As One Of Wettest On Record
Replies: 355
Views: 164851

Re: December 2015 - Tracking High Impact Christmas Storm

In the last 24 hours:

3.5 in of rain

-28°F temp change
by DoctorMu
Sun Dec 27, 2015 1:11 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2015 -Year Ends As One Of Wettest On Record
Replies: 355
Views: 164851

Re: December 2015 - Tracking High Impact Christmas Storm

Significant entraining continuing in the CLL area.


Image
by DoctorMu
Sun Dec 27, 2015 12:04 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2015 -Year Ends As One Of Wettest On Record
Replies: 355
Views: 164851

Re: December 2015 - Tracking High Impact Christmas Storm

rotation cited by storm tracker Bob Pack N of Navasota. Appears to have been short lived, but non the less the rotation was there. Getting some breaks in the clouds in NW Harris County with the LLJ reaching down to the surface. Winds gusting to 35 MPH the past half hour. Power went out for a min or...
by DoctorMu
Sun Dec 27, 2015 11:24 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2015 -Year Ends As One Of Wettest On Record
Replies: 355
Views: 164851

Re: December 2015 - Tracking High Impact Christmas Storm

rotation cited by storm tracker Bob Pack N of Navasota.
by DoctorMu
Sun Dec 27, 2015 11:09 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2015 -Year Ends As One Of Wettest On Record
Replies: 355
Views: 164851

Re: December 2015 - Tracking High Impact Christmas Storm

TORNADO WARNING until 11:30 am - getting details.

Washington, Brazos, Burleson Counties. Moving NE at 45 mph - Rotation detected in extreme northern Washington Co.
by DoctorMu
Sun Dec 27, 2015 11:02 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2015 -Year Ends As One Of Wettest On Record
Replies: 355
Views: 164851

Re: December 2015 - Tracking High Impact Christmas Storm

Maybe a hook echo approaching HWY 6 between Navasota and CLL on TWC, NOAA, WU radar on the warm side...moving fast 40 mph towards Iola
by DoctorMu
Sun Dec 27, 2015 10:59 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2015 -Year Ends As One Of Wettest On Record
Replies: 355
Views: 164851

Re: December 2015 - Tracking High Impact Christmas Storm

Rainfall up to 3 in per hour reported in this cell around Brenham
by DoctorMu
Sun Dec 27, 2015 10:51 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2015 -Year Ends As One Of Wettest On Record
Replies: 355
Views: 164851

Re: December 2015 - Tracking High Impact Christmas Storm

Brenham cell hitting a buckle in the front just S of College Station.


Image
by DoctorMu
Sun Dec 27, 2015 10:18 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2015 -Year Ends As One Of Wettest On Record
Replies: 355
Views: 164851

Re: December 2015 - Tracking High Impact Christmas Storm

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 1007 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... CENTRAL WASHINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS... NORTH CENTR...
by DoctorMu
Sun Dec 27, 2015 10:15 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: December 2015 -Year Ends As One Of Wettest On Record
Replies: 355
Views: 164851

Re: December 2015 - Tracking High Impact Christmas Storm

Severe storm heading into Brenham heading N.

76°F just S of college Station, 51°F just north of Bryan being reported.