don wrote: ↑Mon Apr 08, 2024 11:46 am 12Z HRRR showing the potent MCS expected late tomorrow night/overnight.


Screenshot 2024-04-08 at 11-45-41 Models HRRR - Pivotal Weather.png

Screenshot 2024-04-08 at 11-41-36 Models HRRR - Pivotal Weather.png

That’s what I’m talking about!

Ptarmigan wrote: ↑Sun Apr 07, 2024 8:39 pm I am not liking Monday's weather.

Tomorrow doesn’t really look like much of anything. Tuesday should be the day, particularly Tuesday evening into early Wednesday.

Doesn’t look like much south of I-10:

Weird how the CPC has a bullseye on S TX but the models have it over NE TX, AR, and LA. The CPC map is referring to next weekend and beyond,not this weeks storm system.( it starts on April 13th) Most of the rain for SE Texas will come with the MCS Tuesday overnight/Wednesday morning.Especially for ...

Weird how the CPC has a bullseye on S TX but the models have it over NE TX, AR, and LA.

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sat Apr 06, 2024 1:39 pm Good keep it north

Well the northern half of the viewing area looks to get a whole lot more than the southern half.

Pas_Bon wrote: ↑Sat Apr 06, 2024 12:53 pm It’s starting to look like a vast majority of the month of April will be a wet one for us here in the Houston metro area. I’m fine with this.

It mostly looks all north of I-10 and into LA.

jasons2k wrote: ↑Fri Apr 05, 2024 7:52 am A lot of us got nailed in June of last year. Lots of wind damage. I was just thinking about that storm yesterday.

Almost like summer this afternoon.

I can’t even tell you the last time I saw winds at my place over 50mph or hail bigger than a marble. Been several years. We’ve been lucky.

spcd5prob.us_sc.png spcd6prob.us_sc.png Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0359 AM CDT Fri Apr 05 2024 Valid 081200Z - 131200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Monday/Day 4 to Wednesday/Day 6... The medium-range models continue to forecast the development of an upper-level low acro...

I’m tired of seeing so many people say “oh they say it’s gonna be busy every year”. That narrative is lazy garbage and people need to educate themselves before they comment on something. Drives me crazy!

https://twitter.com/philklotzbach/statu ... 0642818296

This pretty much matches my thinking too.

Cap ture.PNG This moist airmass is forecast to remain in place over the south-central U.S. on Tuesday, as an upper-level low moves through the Desert Southwest. The moist sector is forecast to remain over the southern Plains and lower Mississippi Valley. The most likely location for convective deve...

As of right now it’s looking like most of the rain for next week will stay north and east of us. Not sure what the CPC is seeing.

Cpv17 I just hate it because my family spent so much time making plans and ordering a bunch of stuff for the eclipse, like a big viewing party and all that, just for that all to go down the drain lol, texas weather sucks It’s just really sporadic. Not a lot of consistency to our weather the last se...

Yeah that blows, mother nature is a true top of the line jerk lol, i hope the GFS is right, send all that rain to the east of us, dont care for it now, all that planning for monday going down the drain, definitely didn’t think i could hate rain, now I do lol To me it’s not really that big of a deal...

There’s a big difference between the GFS and the Euro for next week. The Euro is significantly wetter. GFS seems progressive and sends most of the rain east of us. The ensembles are about the same too.

I hope the weather works out next Monday but it’s not looking great. Honestly, unless you’ve invested something into the event (hotel, camping, etc) we don’t have anything to complain about. It’s a bonus event for us. Think about folks from places like Germany who invested thousands to fly here. Th...

I’m seeing some potential for some severe weather once we get past the first week of April.

April looks like it could be wet according to the CPC.