We need to keep an eye on the tropics for next week. I don't necessarily buy the fast development the GFS shows across the Eastern Caribbean, but both the EPS and GEFS indicate some sort of tropical wave could make it into the gulf by the middle/late part of next week. Nothing too concerning yet but...

Also GRK radar is back btw

It looks like it's going to be close for the College Station area

Looks like GRK may have received damage from a tornado

The Luling storm is very impressive. Dynamics are not as strong that far south but there will be little cutoff of southerly flow which could maintain it for a little while.

the HRRR continues to show more stable air across Central Texas and the weakening of storms along 35. Something to keep an eye on for the next hour or two.

Looks like storms are starting to fire north of San Antonio. Those are the storms that will be need to be montired for Central Texas.

Translation for those of us who don't know how to read that? A lot of low and mid-level shear that is more often seen across the Central and Southern Plains. IF convection forms it could get dangerous quickly. Interesting to note though I was comparing the sounding to the HRRR and the HRRR indicate...

CLL special sounding:

Radar starting to light up just west of B/CS That stuff is still junk precip from onshore flow and not so much surface based. If anything it could help to stabilize the area a little (something to continue to monitor). The surface trough/cold front is still west of 35. That is where we will need to...

Question. Will the slight, moderate, enhanced, etc… areas traverse east as the system moves into SETX? Or is what they have highlighted now be mainly bully’s eye areas? I know the hatched areas and such are on a map for Louisiana but what about the area between west houston to beaumont? Will that a...

Question. Will the slight, moderate, enhanced, etc… areas traverse east as the system moves into SETX? Or is what they have highlighted now be mainly bully’s eye areas? I know the hatched areas and such are on a map for Louisiana but what about the area between west houston to beaumont? Will that a...

The intial broken line that is expected to develop this afternoon is going to be something to closely watch across Central Texas as the ceiings remain pretty high in regards to tornadic capabilities. SRH between 0-1km is in the neighborhood of 300-400 m2 / s2 range over that region and while CAPE is...

For anyone interested here is a GIF (click it to make it work) for the 2m temp trend over the last couple of days. Pretty incredible how much further south the front pushed. Based on forecasts two days ago most of the Houston area should be in the mid 60s/ low 70s right now instead of the 30s.

Could someone explain why we would not have the greater Houston area temperatures not climb out of the 30s. Instead of predicted highs of 40s and 50s? I thought this was an Arctic front that would give us colder weather that what is not expected. Cold air no matter the origin will still see some mo...

Pretty amazing how far off the global models were with the stalling of this front. Instead of being in the upper 70s / low 80s tomorrow, most locations will be 30-40 degrees colder with temps in the 40-50s during the late morning and struggling to get any warmer than that during the afternoon. The g...

It could be interesting midweek as models continue to show the frontal boundary stalling across the central part of SE Texas. If the GFS is right on Thursday places like College Station could be in the 30s while the Houston area could be in the 70s. With that said, I wouldn't be surprised if the fro...

Maybe a few ice pellets but only rain so far in nw Houston.

Seeing more snow reports west of College Station. The freezing line remains near College Station into Columbus. Some reports are coming in of ice across elevated surface eat of La Grange. Looks like the freezing line should approach Houston around sunset or shortly after that with precip ending aro...

Seeing more snow reports west of College Station. The freezing line remains near College Station into Columbus. Some reports are coming in of ice across elevated surface eat of La Grange. Looks like the freezing line should approach Houston around sunset or shortly after that with precip ending arou...