Search found 2605 matches

by wxman57
Tue Jun 12, 2018 2:29 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JUNE 2018: Drying Trend & Summer Heat Returns
Replies: 723
Views: 312209

Re: JUNE 2018:Tracking The Tropics/Heavy Rainfall Possible

Looks like widespread 2-5 inches across our area Sun-Tue. Not expecting anything remotely close to Harvey. Perhaps some brief street flooding at times, but that's about it. No hurricane threat.
by wxman57
Tue Jun 12, 2018 5:42 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JUNE 2018: Drying Trend & Summer Heat Returns
Replies: 723
Views: 312209

Re: JUNE 2018:Tracking The Tropics/Heavy Rainfall Possible

Significant tropical development still looks unlikely. Models are in good agreement on widespread 2-4" rainfall totals across much of the the Texas coastal counties through next Tuesday morning. Can't rule out the disturbance developing a circulation before moving ashore, but this doesn't look ...
by wxman57
Fri May 18, 2018 11:28 am
Forum: Hurricane Central
Topic: 2018 Hurricane Season General Discussions
Replies: 13
Views: 30642

Re: 2018 Hurricane Season General Discussions

Regardless of what may or may not develop in the NW Caribbean late next week, I don't see it "threatening" us with any rainfall. Hot and dry to continue.
by wxman57
Thu Apr 19, 2018 8:14 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: Survey - Perception of Probability
Replies: 6
Views: 4840

Re: Survey - Perception of Probability

Took it. Interesting. Thanks, I thought it would be interesting, too. I saw someone tweet about a study of those term a few weeks ago, but not with respect to weather terms. We use such terms all the time in our forecasts, with our own interpretations of what they mean for our clients. That's why w...
by wxman57
Wed Apr 18, 2018 4:49 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: Survey - Perception of Probability
Replies: 6
Views: 4840

Re: Survey - Perception of Probability

So far, the perceptions by those on social media are matching up fairly closely to those by meteorologists.
by wxman57
Wed Apr 18, 2018 3:32 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: Survey - Perception of Probability
Replies: 6
Views: 4840

Survey - Perception of Probability

We are conducting a survey on the perception of probability. What do terms like "Highly Likely", "Probably", or "We Doubt" mean to you in terms of a percentage chance of occurrence? There are about a dozen questions in the survey. We've been comparing the results from m...
by wxman57
Wed Apr 04, 2018 3:36 pm
Forum: Hurricane Central
Topic: 2018 National Tropical Weather Conference
Replies: 36
Views: 60114

Re: 2018 National Tropical Weather Conference

Cold and rainy here on S. Padre Island this afternoon. About 68 degrees, windy, and raining as of 3pm.
by wxman57
Tue Mar 27, 2018 7:25 am
Forum: Hurricane Central
Topic: 2018 National Tropical Weather Conference
Replies: 36
Views: 60114

Re: 2018 National Tropical Weather Conference

Overnight ECMWF is even warmer - lows in the low 70s and highs in the mid 80s.
by wxman57
Mon Mar 26, 2018 4:51 pm
Forum: Hurricane Central
Topic: 2018 National Tropical Weather Conference
Replies: 36
Views: 60114

Re: 2018 National Tropical Weather Conference

Today's 12Z Euro is 25 degrees warmer for S. Padre next Wed, up into the low 80s vs. a high in the upper 50s in the 00Z run. I like that a lot better.
by wxman57
Mon Mar 26, 2018 10:01 am
Forum: Hurricane Central
Topic: 2018 National Tropical Weather Conference
Replies: 36
Views: 60114

Re: 2018 National Tropical Weather Conference

I definitely don't like the Euro's forecast of a low in the upper 40s next Wednesday and a high in the upper 50s. Not good beach weather at all!

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