Though, any change with NHC outlooks, forecasts are always going to be gradual in any situation. True but this is kinda of a strange situation, especially if a New Orleans threat were to verify, Getting EMO up and running takes a bit of time and the speed of that 18z track is challenging. The thing...

jasons2k wrote: ↑Wed Aug 25, 2021 2:26 pm Don’t look at what Bastardi is saying

I try never too lol

I texted my Son-in-Law, last night, and told him he probably should get his generator in running order (gasoline powered - appliances only). I also checked in with my Brother, who lives in Deer Park. He had ordered his Generac "whole house" generator after the big Freeze, in February. The...

I just think the people in Louisiana just dont need any more misery..... :

Wow. Im already seeing on social media folks posting this is now going to La and saying no worries for TX because of the first model tracks on MWP all going into La. All of Tx and especially me in SETX are still heavily at play and should never let their guard down. Especially when this thing hasn’...

Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Mon Aug 23, 2021 9:21 pm Might as well just invest the whole area lol

Lol!!! That covers it!

Seems like the models love to wipe us out first.

From our NWS: NHC doesn't seem to be too concerned as of yet Saturday and Sunday... Global models all showing a low tracking from the Wrn Carribean... across the Yucatan into the SW Gulf of Mexico. This system appears to develop into a tropical cyclone in most of the models. At this time most soluti...

Yep it is looking more like Long Island is going to take a direct landfall and the intensity may surprise a lot of folks. I agree. The easterly then SE winds are going to storm surge the Hamptons. Easterlies and ENE are headed to NY Harbor and Jersey. Besides the flooding likely to occur, that wind...

DavidH wrote: ↑Wed Aug 18, 2021 12:09 pm

Texaspirate11 wrote: ↑Wed Aug 18, 2021 10:32 am LOVE that rain with no name - I'm good.

"Rain w/ no name" I'm gonna put that in my repertoire

Sure!

LOVE that rain with no name - I'm good.

There is also a huge cold front break out in the next couple weeks - may shunt everything away from us
we shall see

YUP as our NWS said: Mexico bound with margaritas - bueno.

AS long as it stays out of Houston, ill back our NWS

I dont think the NWS would call it if they weren't certain.
Although we should always keep an eye on it until it hits land
I'm happy if this verifies. No cane summer for us, please.

Here is the latest from our NWS concerning GRACE: Mexico bound! Timing of Grace in the models is faster and further south towards the eastern/northeastern coast of Mexico...potentially by Friday noon. NHC shifted the track further south so at this point other than some additional increase in moistu...

Models are wonky bc it hasnt gone thru Hispanola yet.

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sun Aug 15, 2021 3:08 pm 18z HWRF has Grace strengthening to a Cat 5 just off the Texas coast about 5 days from now. Jesus the HWRF is a pretty good hurricane mode but I hope to god its wrong here because that not that far out in terms of a forecast

Lol

So Pasch who is generally conservative has a strengthening and strong tropical storm in the central gulf with a general heading towards the mid and upper texas coast at the end of the forecast. Now with that said. That is about as low confidence a forecast can be right now until Grace clears Hispan...

CYA forecast lol