You can see a very small pin-wheel eye on the IR sat. Hopefully this will spare populated areas. This is the worst-case TC scenario...RI close to shore with little time for the general public to prepare.

Very true srainhoutx. Its never over until tropical development potential is on land. We are near the peak of the season and should be prepared....forecasts/patterns can change.

I agree with Ticka and WXman57. This will be BOC and MX storm with the ridge this week. We should thankful of the ridge for its protection. I for one do not want another IKE, Alicia, Carla, 1915, 1900, 1943, 1949, etc. The ridge saved the Upper Texas Coast from Gilbert, Allen, and Anita.

This is the one to watch. Potential to become a hurricane before entering the GOM The forums should become very active over the weekend.

A sad day in tropical weather history for the Upper Texas Coast. Many years later IKE was a good reminder of the power of a storm surge. Rita as wake-up call for me. I learned I had been complacent being a tropical weather fanatic. We did not have many threats when I was young...Delia 63, Anitia 77,...

Hermine is just like his brother Humberto......close to shore with RI. The most difficult situations for tc preparations . We make many plans based on several days but what if you had 24 hours to prepare for a CAT 3-5? It does occur and Charley was a prime example

Thanks for the S2K members stopping by the CH 11 forum for Dan.

Thanks you mf_dolphin. I learned from VB that Dan posted as Stormcloud at S2k. We are all family.

Dan Meador you will be missed. Thank you for starting the KHOU weather forum which has grown into a large family of weather friends Thank you for all the forecasts you provided to the public at CH 11.
I am sadden by Dan's passing.

That is does srainhoutx.

Interesting indeed. However its difficult to see any spin....perhaps a slight spin SW of Ft Myers.

This is a good pre-plan day. Basically ready for any threat but its good to go over hurricane plans once again.

There is rotation visible from viewing the satellite images to the ESE of Jacksonville, FLA.

From this mornings Hou-Gal AFD:

AS
FOR THE LONG-RANGE FCST WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON THINGS AS MODELS
CONTINUE TO VACILLATE ON THE POSSIBLE DEVELOPMENT OF A TROPICAL WAVE
OVER THE WEEKEND/EARLY NEXT WEEK IN THE GULF.

Last images indicate a TD as the Sun set. No doubt for Katdaddy. We shall see overnight if its official.

Monsoon in League Ctiy. 1.26" last check of the weather station.

Its sunny and 75F in Snowbird, UT. Thanks everyone for holding down the fort while I am out of town.

The eye is starting to become defined on satellite.

Alex is a very large June system. More models are coming in line with Euro which points to a NE MEX landfall. Joe Bastardi is also calling for a NE MEX landfall but did state it could be close to S TX. He believes this will become the first hurricane of the 2010 season.

Invest 93L looking more organized. From Joe Bastardi's morning post:

So strap in, here we go. The tropics are bubbling and the lid is about to pop off for our first impact threat of the season.