Watched the NWS Houston/Galveston briefing just a second ago which offered their take on Isaac. Interesting to say the least. http://www.srh.noaa.gov/hgx/?n=briefing He did'nt sound entirely convinced that we're out of the woods with Isaac.He even introduced a more south scenario for the GFS someth...

Man that is a big spread in those models,time is going to get critical in a couple of days and i don't think we're gonna get a concensus today unless one of the big two decide to cry uncle.

Hmm! I'm not sure about that one. He is the only person I pay attention to when it comes to stuff like that. Wxman57 is good with the models, which is the only way, of course, to predict such things. That is not my personal cup of tea, so I just wonder if he thinks today that his previous thinking ...

srainhoutx wrote:12Z GFDL:

Pretty much unchanged from the 6oz.

CMC a tad east of the 00z run.

I know he has plenty of detractors, but given his comments about this storm and SE Texas, I thought I would bring some of Joe Bastardi's thoughts in the last hour to everyone's attention. "GFS is a catastrophe. Major hurricane wanders w nr Gulf coast to se Texas. Failing to make contact with t...

Portastorm wrote:Another shift west at the 5 p.m. (eastern time) forecast issuance and parts of Texas will be in the multi-day cone, it seems.

Portstorm if that happens is it time to start injecting Texas into the conversation concerning landfall.

Karen wrote:If this thing comes in around the mouth of the Mississippi River would we get some rain off of it? When is the next full model run.

The GFS will run in a couple of hours,the Euro around 1 oclock.

6z GFS is generally an extension of the 0z. Moves Isaac right at the Mississippi mouth and then smacks up against the ridge and starts moving almost due W across the coast before finally moving WNW/NW near the border. Still close to a hurricane and impacts would be felt by our Beaumont/Pt Arthur ar...

Three runs in a row the GFS looks a lot like Thursdays 12oz Euro run.