Development has started to the west....
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- Tue Apr 09, 2024 10:04 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: April 2024
- Replies: 442
- Views: 72934
- Tue Apr 09, 2024 8:58 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: April 2024
- Replies: 442
- Views: 72934
Re: April 2024
The Enhanced risk has been expanded southwest. spcd1cavt.us_sc.png spcd1tdor.us_sc.png spcdb1wind.us_sc.png spcdd1hail.us_sc.png Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0753 PM CDT Tue Apr 09 2024 Valid 100100Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FRO...
- Tue Apr 09, 2024 7:38 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: April 2024
- Replies: 442
- Views: 72934
Re: April 2024
Things are slowly starting to take shape as supercells have developed now to our west.The supercells ongoing in central Texas will merge with the disturbance moving in from the southwest later tonight.The MCS from this disturbance should start forming around midnight to our southwest. We're already ...
- Tue Apr 09, 2024 5:38 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: April 2024
- Replies: 442
- Views: 72934
Re: April 2024
The latest HRRR, showing an ugly MCS with hail cores.Storms may start forming as early as midnight in some areas. As the frontal boundary moves into SE Texas and merges with the potent disturbance coming out of Mexico along the subtropical jet. Screenshot 2024-04-09 at 17-37-02 Models HRRR - Pivotal...
- Tue Apr 09, 2024 1:39 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: April 2024
- Replies: 442
- Views: 72934
- Tue Apr 09, 2024 12:35 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: April 2024
- Replies: 442
- Views: 72934
Re: April 2024
New Day 1 SPC outlook extends the hatched area for hail further south. ;) Gonna be interesting to see how far south that line will develop early tomorrow morning. You’d think it would be more of a wind threat than hail since it looks to be a squall line. In the latest update they did add a hatched ...
- Tue Apr 09, 2024 12:11 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: April 2024
- Replies: 442
- Views: 72934
Re: April 2024
I bet most of the action will stay to the north like yesterday as the mesocales agree with this idea, im not overly concerned today, maybes tuesday morning could be the time to watch, but overall today should be quiet here locally, central and north texas are a different story though Yep the enhanc...
- Mon Apr 08, 2024 3:30 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: April 2024
- Replies: 442
- Views: 72934
Re: April 2024
18Z HRRR
- Mon Apr 08, 2024 2:37 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: April 2024
- Replies: 442
- Views: 72934
Re: April 2024
Two severe thunderstorm warnings have been issued.Those are some mean looking cells. A Tornado watch has also been issued for the northern counties. Screenshot 2024-04-08 at 14-36-57 NWS Radar.png ww0090_overview_wou.gif BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National W...
- Mon Apr 08, 2024 1:49 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: April 2024
- Replies: 442
- Views: 72934
Re: April 2024
A localized/regional severe weather outbreak is possible tomorrow night.Stay weather aware.
- Mon Apr 08, 2024 12:48 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: April 2024
- Replies: 442
- Views: 72934
Re: April 2024
Enhance risk expanded south. ALL modes of severe weather are in play. TX_swody2.png Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1238 PM CDT Mon Apr 08 2024 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM CENTRAL TEXAS EASTWARD TO CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
- Mon Apr 08, 2024 11:46 am
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: April 2024
- Replies: 442
- Views: 72934
Re: April 2024
12Z HRRR showing the potent MCS expected late tomorrow night/overnight.
- Mon Apr 08, 2024 1:41 am
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: April 2024
- Replies: 442
- Views: 72934
Re: April 2024
An Enhanced risk has been issued for areas north of I-10.With very large hail being a concern area wide. Strong Tornadoes are also a possibility in northeast portions of SE Texas... Like i said a couple of weeks ago severe weather season is here.Stay weather aware.😉 spcd2caft.us_sc.png spcd2tor.us_s...
- Sun Apr 07, 2024 4:55 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion
- Replies: 65
- Views: 35402
Re: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion
Accuweathers analogs for this year shows the upper Texas coast as a hotspot FWIW.
- Sun Apr 07, 2024 4:49 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: April 2024
- Replies: 442
- Views: 72934
Re: April 2024
Weird how the CPC has a bullseye on S TX but the models have it over NE TX, AR, and LA. The CPC map is referring to next weekend and beyond,not this weeks storm system.( it starts on April 13th) Most of the rain for SE Texas will come with the MCS Tuesday overnight/Wednesday morning.Especially for ...
- Sun Apr 07, 2024 2:52 am
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: April 2024
- Replies: 442
- Views: 72934
Re: April 2024
The SPC has a large hatched area on the Day 3 outlook. They also mention that an upgrade to the risk area may be needed... spjjcd3cat.us_sc.png spcdtt3prob.us_sc.png Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0230 AM CDT Sun Apr 07 2024 Valid 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGH...
- Sat Apr 06, 2024 3:28 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: April 2024
- Replies: 442
- Views: 72934
Re: April 2024
spcdg4prob.us_sc.png spcdfd5prob.us_sc.png Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0359 AM CDT Sat Apr 06 2024 Valid 091200Z - 141200Z ...DISCUSSION... An active severe weather pattern should persist through mid-week before diminishing towards next weekend. Primary feature ...
- Fri Apr 05, 2024 4:42 am
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: April 2024
- Replies: 442
- Views: 72934
Re: April 2024
spcd5prob.us_sc.png spcd6prob.us_sc.png Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0359 AM CDT Fri Apr 05 2024 Valid 081200Z - 131200Z ...DISCUSSION... ...Monday/Day 4 to Wednesday/Day 6... The medium-range models continue to forecast the development of an upper-level low acro...
- Thu Apr 04, 2024 5:37 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion
- Replies: 65
- Views: 35402
- Thu Apr 04, 2024 5:01 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: April 2024
- Replies: 442
- Views: 72934
Re: April 2024
Cap ture.PNG This moist airmass is forecast to remain in place over the south-central U.S. on Tuesday, as an upper-level low moves through the Desert Southwest. The moist sector is forecast to remain over the southern Plains and lower Mississippi Valley. The most likely location for convective deve...