Search found 37 matches

by updraft
Sat Jan 29, 2011 8:04 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February 1-5, 2011 Arctic Blast/Winter Storm Discussion
Replies: 3608
Views: 1779558

Re: February Weather. Arctic Cold Front/Severe Storms Tuesd

GFS has really cooled off for next week much more in line with the CM Cand ECMWF GFS is showing 22 Thursday and 19 for Friday for IAH. Not ready to go that low just incase some weak overrunning clouds linger and help us out at night. If clouds clear look for teens N of US 59 possibly Thursday AM an...
by updraft
Wed Jun 30, 2010 10:43 am
Forum: Hurricane Central
Topic: Hurricane Alex. 40 Miles NNE of La Pesca. 100 MPH/948MB
Replies: 1386
Views: 702740

Re: Hurricane Alex. 145 Miles E of La Pesca. 80 MPH/961 MB

Bob Hall Pier in Corpus: Wind and wave forecast from Surfline's LOLA model:
rose_5757_4.png
swellbar_5757_0.png
by updraft
Wed Jun 30, 2010 10:23 am
Forum: Hurricane Central
Topic: Hurricane Alex. 40 Miles NNE of La Pesca. 100 MPH/948MB
Replies: 1386
Views: 702740

Re: TS Alex. 215 Miles ESE of La Pesca. 70 MPH/980 MB

Well, with my exit from this forum, I must say that this has been one of the most difficult storms to predict. The models were all over the place for days, as were conditions that would manipulate him. In the end, we have come full circle to the first suggested landing. Alex had many opportunities ...
by updraft
Tue Jun 29, 2010 10:11 am
Forum: Hurricane Central
Topic: Hurricane Alex. 40 Miles NNE of La Pesca. 100 MPH/948MB
Replies: 1386
Views: 702740

Re: TS Alex. 310 Miles ESE of La Pesca. 70 MPH/982 MB

Here's a pretty cool pic from G-Town Surf.com in Galveston of an outer rain band from Alex. Won't be long now before buckets of wet stuff:
Picture4.jpg
http://www.g-townsurf.com/
by updraft
Tue Jun 29, 2010 8:15 am
Forum: Hurricane Central
Topic: Hurricane Alex. 40 Miles NNE of La Pesca. 100 MPH/948MB
Replies: 1386
Views: 702740

Re: TS Alex. 335 Miles ESE of La Pesca. 70 MPH/983 MB

Here's 2 graphics comparing the 2 "latest" visible sat images. I thought it was pretty cool to see Alex gaining strength: note the storms firing up in the NE quadrant and the "tightening" of the bands filling in to the WNW.
Picture1.jpg
Picture3.jpg
by updraft
Mon Jun 28, 2010 1:46 pm
Forum: Hurricane Central
Topic: Hurricane Alex. 40 Miles NNE of La Pesca. 100 MPH/948MB
Replies: 1386
Views: 702740

Re: TS Alex. 85 Miles WNW of Campeche. 60 MPH/989 MB

Regardless of how far north he comes in, upper TX coast is in for some coastal flooding. 15' swell's ... (this is NOT wave height or storm surge) Picture3.png What model was used to generate this graphic? Uh oh, did I post something that I shouldn't have? It's the South Texas Regional Swell model f...
by updraft
Mon Jun 28, 2010 12:31 pm
Forum: Hurricane Central
Topic: Hurricane Alex. 40 Miles NNE of La Pesca. 100 MPH/948MB
Replies: 1386
Views: 702740

Re: TS Alex. 85 Miles WNW of Campeche. 60 MPH/989 MB

Alex is looking pretty weak at the moment. I'm wondering if it will get back to hurricane strength. What's the shear looking like down there? A little wind shear in NW quadrant expected .... should keep Alex from hurricane strength for about 24 more hours. Last several hours of visible shows little...
by updraft
Mon Jun 28, 2010 10:53 am
Forum: Hurricane Central
Topic: Hurricane Alex. 40 Miles NNE of La Pesca. 100 MPH/948MB
Replies: 1386
Views: 702740

Re: TS Alex. 85 Miles WNW of Campeche. 60 MPH/989 MB

Its the nature of the beast DIva. It's called "wish casting" You have two camps; one camp will dismiss any chance of a local impact. The other camp will outright "root" for the storm to impact their local area, out of some sick excitement the storm will generate. Who can forget ...
by updraft
Mon Jun 28, 2010 10:20 am
Forum: Hurricane Central
Topic: Hurricane Alex. 40 Miles NNE of La Pesca. 100 MPH/948MB
Replies: 1386
Views: 702740

Re: TS Alex. 85 Miles WNW of Campeche. 60 MPH/989 MB

Regardless of how far north he comes in, upper TX coast is in for some coastal flooding. 15' swell's ... (this is NOT wave height or storm surge)
Picture3.png
by updraft
Mon Jun 28, 2010 10:00 am
Forum: Hurricane Central
Topic: Hurricane Alex. 40 Miles NNE of La Pesca. 100 MPH/948MB
Replies: 1386
Views: 702740

Re: TS Alex. 100 Miles WSW of Campeche. 45 MPH/991 MB

TWC starting to hint at a more northern track for alex :shock: Did Al Roker say that, or that former McDonald's clown who reads borthdays for centenarians on the back of Smucker's jars? If the models threatening Texas are already wrong, shouldn't this reinforce the belief in a Mexico landfall? I wi...
by updraft
Mon Jun 28, 2010 8:12 am
Forum: Hurricane Central
Topic: Hurricane Alex. 40 Miles NNE of La Pesca. 100 MPH/948MB
Replies: 1386
Views: 702740

Re: TS Alex. 100 Miles WSW of Campeche. 45 MPH/991 MB

06Z Early Tracks... Mainly just "lurk" for info and I appreciate everyones knowledge. I had an observation that maybe can be explained ..... Based on that early track, it appears Alex wants to take a turn northward after landfall - and most all models agree with the northward turn once ov...
by updraft
Tue Feb 23, 2010 4:10 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February Weather Discussion. Wild Winter Storms?
Replies: 1553
Views: 879576

Re: February Weather Discussion. WSW Issued! Snow/Sleet/Rain?

Maybe someone can answer this: just an observation, but based solely on the radar animations, it looks as if the main energy of the gulf low seems to be concentrated in and around Houston area. It appears that there are storms forming to the SW near Goliad, but the line seems to be moving East at a ...
by updraft
Tue Feb 23, 2010 3:48 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February Weather Discussion. Wild Winter Storms?
Replies: 1553
Views: 879576

Re: February Weather Discussion. WSW Issued! Snow/Sleet/Rain?

At work in Deer Park close to La Porte: moderate steady rain and occasionally minor sleet mixing in a little (very little, but definitely frozen stuff) I guess it could be all the sea gulls too, but it sounds frozen. Hitting the tin roof and it's making me sleepy. :roll: Gonna be a terrible drive ho...
by updraft
Fri Feb 05, 2010 8:00 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: More cold air on the way next week!?
Replies: 757
Views: 486456

Re: Cold weather on the way next week maybe wintry precip too!?

Snippet from NWS - winter will not be over just yet after this little blast on the 11th/12th. Looks like the deep flow pattern we've had will continue till end of the month. 8-14 DAY OUTLOOK FOR FEB 12 - 18 2010 THE LONG WAVE PATTERN IN GENERAL OVER THE WESTERN HEMISPHERE SEEMS REMARKABLY STABLE, AN...
by updraft
Thu Feb 04, 2010 7:54 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: More cold air on the way next week!?
Replies: 757
Views: 486456

Re: Cold weather on the way next week maybe wintry precip too!?

I will be glad when we get out of this pattern. I cant recall the last time I saw the sun. Heres hoping the 06z trends warmer as well.... ______________________________________________________________________________________ I'm with you on that - I actually thought I saw mold on my arms yesterday....
by updraft
Thu Feb 04, 2010 7:08 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: Welcome To The Weather Forum
Replies: 39
Views: 26912

Re: Welcome To The Weather Forum

srainhoutx wrote:Try the avatar now.
______________________________________________________________________________

Got the avatar to work!! Thank you very much for the hard work and thanks to all those who offer their knowledge to newbie weather fans - like me. :D
by updraft
Wed Feb 03, 2010 3:39 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: Welcome To The Weather Forum
Replies: 39
Views: 26912

Re: Welcome To The Weather Forum

Ditto ... it'll take some getting used to.