Sobering to see velocity depicted at 158mph near surface. Hurricane force winds extending nearly 50+ miles out.

Absolute monster. This is why you should never wishcast tropical anything.

Able to see a nice little meso-circulation just east of Corpus on HGX and CRP radars. Am I correct in thinking this is the low that is instigating what little shear Ida is experiencing, and the weakness between its eastern periphery and the western portion of the ridge is where Ida will track? I ten...

Don fingers crossed the GFS is wrong about a stronger ridge, ira been hot and dry long enough here Wrong. I’m constantly amazed (to put it nicely) by your wishcasting of a storm to hit the area with all the impacts there entailed. If you’re so adamant on experiencing a storm, why don’t you put your...

Scott747 jesus christ dude I wasnt attacking you... I was simply stating that its too early to know where 95L will track, there are alot of questions that remain to be answered with this system, you really need to calm down Simmer down. You harp on model run after model run, but when someone points...

TEAL37 (Hurricane Hunters) is making a flight out into the Gulf from KEFD. I would suspect familiarization/training sortie, but an interesting observation none the less

Core rain events happen with tropical systems or warm core lows.When the heat from the day releases back into the atmosphere at night.And creates thunderstorms with very high rainfall rates that sit over an area for an extended time.As the tropical low helps to pull moisture in from the gulf,which ...

Thought it was tomorrow??? I honestly haven't observed the mission schedule, but did notice they went up and offshore. They've since returned closer to shore around KGLS. Probably just found a mess Had a quick minute and checked NHC. You were correct that USAF mission tasking is for tomorrow. Repos...

For what it's worth, USAF Hurricane Hunters TDY to Ellington. Suspect will see flights and data soon. Edit: Looks like they're off on first recon...callsign TEAL95 Thought it was tomorrow??? I honestly haven't observed the mission schedule, but did notice they went up and offshore. They've since re...

For what it's worth, USAF Hurricane Hunters TDY to Ellington. Suspect will see flights and data soon.

Edit: Looks like they're off on first recon...callsign TEAL95

Literally just stole the words right out of my mouth. Our weather here is wack. It used to not be like this. And my intuition is telling me that the water hose has turned off and we’re about to enter one long hot and dry pattern. Out of sheer curiosity, for the uninitiated (myself having lived here...

It was hot today! Just the beginning of it dries out and we don’t get some rain Always the way it is. Zero rains for weeks or too much all at once. Literally just stole the words right out of my mouth. Our weather here is wack. It used to not be like this. And my intuition is telling me that the wa...

The 0z Euro dropped potential mischief in the BoC last night but the 12z GFS and Canadian continue with the idea of something, though it continues to be pushed back in the long range. Not surprising with these type of gyre setups as the models have issues resolving the eventual genesis. Can always ...

MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Mon May 24, 2021 7:35 pm If it rained every day in the Summer, I wouldn't complain. Can it stay in the 80s all Summer, and then stop raining when CFB season rolls around with the first major cold front? That's not too much to ask is it?

“I like your style, dude” - txbear...Sam Elliot in Big Lebowski

Looks like some heavy rains setting up and training over Brazoria, Ft Bend and Western Harris counties this morning. That's some deep fetching of Gulf moisture. Got dark enough before the skies opened up that the street lights and neighbors' outdoor lighting kicked on. Pretty efficient rains to the...

Well...that escalated quickly. Think there was at least consensus that we weren't out of the woods yet with this set up, but tropical mischief is another level. UKMET also on board. The rest of the 12z run has it running north through the hill country, central texas, and into the big country.

The firehose is certainly on full blast with everything seemingly anchored right along the coast and on out in to the gulf. I was looking at the 12z HRRR and it looked like it initiated decently well with the current radar, and trended to maybe some additional showers mainly I-10 and south. I think ...

Watch expanded eastward as I had thought. Just too much energy out there, and as y’all have already noted the sun being out much of the day really added fuel to the fire. That’s a heck of a line. One of the more impressive ones I’ve seen in some time. Watch that area to the east of Halletsville and ...

Tornado watch is verifying for sure. Could be a one-two punch with a serious flood and added severe threat.

Don’t have time to post details but the tornado watch just went up. Here to eat my crow in anticipating the watch type haha. They went with Tornado. 18z HRRR is running now, but Skew T looks a bit more favorable to back up SPC's decision to go tornado with a bit more in lower and mid-level shear. I...