Well Sleet, as Wxman57 has said on more than one occasion about next week ... none of the modeling can be trusted until Monday or even Tuesday. The normally trusty Euro has had its problems this winter and is, IMHO, no lock. Same with the Canadian.

The run looks a lot like the 0z run. It has gone back to much colder and more precip ... basically saying "game on" for a winter storm threat for much of Texas late next week. I'll refrain from commenting further. ;) http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/18/model_l.sht...

The 12z Euro says "12z GFS ... you nuts!" ... blasts cold air down the Southern Plains into Texas by Tuesday.

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/ECMW ... floop.html

(Long sigh) ... well, after two days of consistently showing a big winter storm for parts of central, west, and north Texas ... the freakin' 12z GFS run is much warmer and says a cold rain for most of us. I guess Wxman57 is right once again in that there is too much model variability to buy into on...

(Long sigh) ... well, after two days of consistently showing a big winter storm for parts of central, west, and north Texas ... the freakin' 12z GFS run is much warmer and says a cold rain for most of us. I guess Wxman57 is right once again in that there is too much model variability to buy into one...

I agree, I didnt have ne problems with the conformation code either. They were actually pretty big letters :shock: When I tried to register yesterday, the numbers/letters were not on a plain background as they are today. There were many horizontal, vertical and diagonal lines and blotches of differ...

The 0z GFS is certainly on board for a major winter storm next week for portions of central, west, and north Texas. The Canadian also in agreement. The trusty Euro is a little less eager with the event and that is bothersome to this poster who believes the Euro is usually money in the bank. In their...

I really see the event next week (late next week that is) being a lot like the current ongoing event in south Texas ... except the surface temps should be 10-15 degrees colder in many spots. Isentropic lift and overrunning will get heavier as we see surface low development off the coast. Perhaps sev...

Thanks Steve for all of your incredible hard work and dedication to making this happen.

A job well done!

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