Search found 3337 matches
- Sat Jan 29, 2022 11:18 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: February 2022
- Replies: 1249
- Views: 257465
Re: February 2022
Not seeing much of a change today. It still looks like frozen precipitation will remain north and west of the region. Likely a pretty significant system for Central and North Texas with a lot of ice and sleet. More than likely just cold rain for most of us down here. The GFS still detaches some of t...
- Sat Jan 29, 2022 2:22 am
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: January 2022
- Replies: 867
- Views: 171187
Re: January 2022
For Monday's storm models have the upper-level shortwave trough dipping further south and the coastal low developing further southeast across the GOM. As a result, a lot of the convection associated with a possible MCS may stay further south and west than initially anticipated. One more thing to kee...
- Sat Jan 29, 2022 12:55 am
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: February 2022
- Replies: 1249
- Views: 257465
Re: February 2022
Still not seeing much in the form of frozen precipitation for this area. North Texas and those in Central Texas have a better chance but the GFS is notorious for keeping too much moisture around post-frontal. There is a little bit of low and mid-level lift along the coast towards the end of the week...
- Fri Jan 28, 2022 12:32 am
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: February 2022
- Replies: 1249
- Views: 257465
Re: February 2022
It looks like next week we could see the coldest temperatures of this winter across the region. With that said, models have pulled back some on how far south the upper-level trough will dig. Instead of the cold air funneling straight south, it's tracking further east and remaining over the Central P...
- Tue Jan 25, 2022 4:19 am
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: We Need Your Help: Donations
- Replies: 44
- Views: 156396
Re: We Need Your Help: Donations
Hey everyone, my apologies for the tardiness in updating the SSL certificate. It should be updated now. I will try to make sure I reissue the certificate next year before it expires. As Grimes mentioned we never collect any payment details on this site and the only information we collect is your ema...
- Tue Sep 14, 2021 6:51 am
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: September 2021: Hurricane Nicholas
- Replies: 1416
- Views: 378217
Re: September 2021: Hurricane Nicholas
winds have calmed quite a bit here at home north of the heights. We had wind gusts reach the 50s and 60s with a lot of twigs and limbs scattered around the yard. Over 400K without power across the region
- Tue Sep 14, 2021 4:53 am
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: September 2021: Hurricane Nicholas
- Replies: 1416
- Views: 378217
Re: September 2021: TS Nicholas NW Gulf Threat
This is much worse than I thought it would be. A bunch of my coworkers in SE Harris county have lost power. Winds are very impressive for this system. It’s crazy. I didn’t think they’d be this impressive. That was something I was concerned about once the flooding risk (for Houston) diminished. A bu...
- Tue Sep 14, 2021 4:10 am
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: September 2021: Hurricane Nicholas
- Replies: 1416
- Views: 378217
- Mon Sep 13, 2021 9:55 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: September 2021: Hurricane Nicholas
- Replies: 1416
- Views: 378217
Re: September 2021: TS Nicholas NW Gulf Threat
Reed Timmer has some good video down in Matagorda. Winds are pretty gusty down there.
https://twitter.com/ReedTimmerAccu/stat ... 7975678980
https://twitter.com/ReedTimmerAccu/stat ... 7975678980
- Mon Sep 13, 2021 7:24 am
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: September 2021: Hurricane Nicholas
- Replies: 1416
- Views: 378217
Re: September 2021: TS Nicholas NW Gulf Threat
06Z ECMWF is a little slower with the turn to the northeast and shows most of the region seeing 5-10 inches
- Mon Sep 13, 2021 7:18 am
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: September 2021: Hurricane Nicholas
- Replies: 1416
- Views: 378217
Re: September 2021: TS Nicholas NW Gulf Threat
I know I should wait for recon but I can't help myself. :) Either a reformation to the ne is starting to take place and there will be a track adjustment at 10. Or the current center is having issues and drifting to the e before resuming a heading on the current track and delaying landfall by about ...
- Mon Sep 13, 2021 7:04 am
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: September 2021: Hurricane Nicholas
- Replies: 1416
- Views: 378217
Re: September 2021: TS Nicholas NW Gulf Threat
my daughter is in galveston in an apartment. just moved in last month. advice on what she should be preparing for? her classes have not been cancelled yet...kinda dumb.. Tropical storm force winds later this evening into the overnight hours with gusts possibly reaching hurricane status. Flooding wi...
- Mon Sep 13, 2021 6:50 am
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: September 2021: Hurricane Nicholas
- Replies: 1416
- Views: 378217
Re: September 2021: TS Nicholas NW Gulf Threat
Center relocation has moved up landfall by several hours.Cromagnum wrote: ↑Mon Sep 13, 2021 6:48 amLast I saw was around 7 AM if it goes to Matagorda Bay.Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Mon Sep 13, 2021 6:38 am When is he suppose to make landfall? Sometime this evening right?
- Mon Sep 13, 2021 6:50 am
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: September 2021: Hurricane Nicholas
- Replies: 1416
- Views: 378217
Re: September 2021: TS Nicholas NW Gulf Threat
When is he suppose to make landfall? Sometime this evening right? The GFS & ECMWF are showing landfall around 5-10pm this afternoon. The ECMWF is a little further west but slower overall while the GFS shows landfall across Matagorda Bay. Based on the latest radar data I would probably aim for c...
- Mon Sep 13, 2021 6:36 am
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: September 2021: Hurricane Nicholas
- Replies: 1416
- Views: 378217
Re: September 2021: TS Nicholas NW Gulf Threat
Storm still seems off to me... Anyways recon is finally headed towards the storm and will alleviate whatever I think I'm seeing. Fwiw both hurricane models had a fairly decent shift up the coast being this close to landfall. HWRF shows a reformation like the GFS. It's possible we see a jump east la...
- Mon Sep 13, 2021 6:32 am
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: September 2021: Hurricane Nicholas
- Replies: 1416
- Views: 378217
Re: September 2021: TS Nicholas NW Gulf Threat
KGYF which is approximately 120NM NE of the center is reporting wind speeds of 53kts currently. While the ob is ~200ft above the water it's still impressive the distance that tropical storm-force winds will likely be felt during landfall
- Mon Sep 13, 2021 6:05 am
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: September 2021: Hurricane Nicholas
- Replies: 1416
- Views: 378217
Re: September 2021: TS Nicholas NW Gulf Threat
Southwesterly shear is still impacting the storm a good bit. The center of Nicholas still remains southeast of Brownsville and with not much additional convection firing overhead, it may be difficult to sustain some of the convection further east. Not the healthiest storm, but still a lot more devel...
- Mon Sep 13, 2021 1:41 am
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: September 2021: Hurricane Nicholas
- Replies: 1416
- Views: 378217
Re: September 2021: TS Nicholas NW Gulf Threat
Nicholas still remains sheared to the east and while strengthening has occurred we need to monitor if additional convection can fire to the west.
- Mon Sep 13, 2021 1:27 am
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: September 2021: Hurricane Nicholas
- Replies: 1416
- Views: 378217
Re: September 2021: TS Nicholas NW Gulf Threat
00Z ECMWF has shifted towards the other models with landfall near Matagorda Bay and a track to the northeast. No stall this time. It shows similar rainfall totals like the GFS with most seeing 4-8 inches and pockets of 10-15. Max wind gusts could reach close to 60mph in the city though.
- Mon Sep 13, 2021 12:34 am
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: September 2021: Hurricane Nicholas
- Replies: 1416
- Views: 378217
Re: September 2021: TS Nicholas NW Gulf Threat
UKMET has shifted east and is more in line with the GFS