What is the 12z ICON showing for precip in the Houston area?

brazoriatx wrote: ↑Fri Dec 16, 2022 9:37 am It will...then it will magically reappear...happens 95% of the time

Yep, it’s already done that with this particular system.

I don't buy that 6Z GFS run for a second, by the way. It's been way too bullish with west Gulf lows all season. Odds are it doesn't have the pattern right. Right on cue from 57 😆 I’ll take my cues from 57 when it comes to tropical weather but I’ll take my cues from our on-air mets when it comes to ...

There’s a met on S2K predicting that it goes further south for a 2004 redux where we end up with nothing here. I sure hope that doesn’t turn out to be the case.

A white Christmas in Houston per 6z GFS. A sight to behold! http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?prog=forecast&model=GFS&grid=3&model_yyyy=2022&model_mm=12&model_dd=16&model_init_hh=06&fhour=252&parameter=SNOWIN&level=SURFACE&unit=none&maximize=n&mode=...

brazoriatx wrote: ↑Thu Dec 15, 2022 4:50 pm What are the chances of us getting a warm nose with this? It almost usually happens and gives us ice instead of snow

A lot less than usual with the cold air mass already here.

From Travis on fb Christmas is now in view of our 10 day forecast, and right out of the gate we are predicting this to be among Houston's top 5 coldest Christmas mornings. It will likely be even colder for the days leading up to Christmas, and yes, there is a small but legit chance there could be w...

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Wed Dec 14, 2022 1:20 am 00z Euro is hot dog

What does that mean?

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Tue Dec 13, 2022 1:28 pm 12z Euro holy moly!

73 degrees on the 23rd in Houston? No thanks!

Christmas bullseye with half a foot of snow for Houston on the 18z GFS. Fun to ponder! http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?prog=forecast&model=GFS&grid=3&model_yyyy=2022&model_mm=12&model_dd=12&model_init_hh=18&fhour=324&parameter=SNOWIN&level=SURFACE&unit=no...

ABC 13 weather team in Houston now mentioning Siberian air and giving an early heads up about “severe cold” by Christmas weekend… “An arctic cold front?! Will this be a repeat of the February 2021 winter storm? And could we have a white Christmas? It's too early to know exactly how we will be impact...

February 2021, it was good to see the snow, but it was bad because EROCOT was not prepared for that severe of a cold outbreak which wreaked havoc on the power grid in in Texas. I hope if this scenario were to play out, they are prepared. Also it happening 2 day from Christmas would likely cancel tr...

snowman65 wrote: ↑Mon Dec 12, 2022 11:40 am surely those temps cant actually happen here.. surely.

They’ve happened here before. Dec. 1989.

snowman65 wrote: ↑Mon Dec 12, 2022 11:17 am what the frick??? lol. 10 inches here for Christmas lolol

That is a thing of beauty.

Does anyone know what days next week are portrayed in the Euro control run showing the I-10 snow event that would include Houston?

A replay of this sure would be fun. It was more of a snow event than ice as I recall. https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=3zHls2HP17o Haha The big hair era in America. Many would take 1989 or my avatar. Except I'd have to drive 50-60 miles to find the snow for a Christmas Even 2004 analog - the 2004 stor...

A replay of this sure would be fun. It was more of a snow event than ice as I recall.

Check out the 16:40 mark for Ch. 2’s Doug Johnson talking about -20 wind chill at Hobby!

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=3zHls2HP17o

How reliable is the GEFS 7 days out? Shows snow depth in Houston from next Sunday through next Wednesday.

https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.ph ... 118&fh=168

brazoriatx wrote: ↑Sun Dec 11, 2022 6:07 pm

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Sun Dec 11, 2022 6:01 pm Channel 13 forecast has no 30’s in the forecast the next 10 days and has highs in the mid 50’s to low 60’s lol

They ALWAYS do this..they gotta be cautious at first

If that’s the worst case scenario I’d gladly take it after this misery!

The pattern the models have setting up around the 17th of the month and onward is a textbook setup for significant winter weather down here.With multiple gulf lows spawning off the coast and allowing arctic air to filter in on the backside of the low,with overrunning precip.It's the pattern you wan...