Keep in mind that the GFS does not agree...

IAH = rain

http://68.226.77.253/text/1DegGFS/GFS_Kiah.txt

CXO (conroe) = rain

http://68.226.77.253/text/1DegGFS/GFS_Kcxo.txt

UTS (huntsville) = Snow

http://68.226.77.253/text/1DegGFS/GFS_Kuts.txt

Ok, in laymen terms....(Srainhoutx and Candy Cane and Portastorm), what does that mean for the Houston Metro area? Does the 18z NAM show snow at Hooks Airport? Is this going to suprise many folks? The NAM shows 850 temps cooling to freezing before the event is over as heights fall and the low pushe...

NOW I SEE IT! Sorry, looked at the wrong cotten picken thing. Here's the link. It's like a bowling ball...

http://wxweb.meteostar.com/models/noaap ... UMBLOOP=10

Looks like the core of the upper low will pass just to our north... http://wxweb.meteostar.com/models/noaaport_loop.php?PATH=/var/www/leads_images/satellite/SCR/WV/ Not sure how you're getting that. Looks to me like it's still digging southeast . At this rate it will go south of Houston. The trend ...

Looks like the core of the upper low will pass just to our north... http://wxweb.meteostar.com/models/noaaport_loop.php?PATH=/var/www/leads_images/satellite/SCR/WV/ Not sure how you're getting that. Looks to me like it's still digging southeast . At this rate it will go south of Houston. The trend ...

Well what you want is for the low to track right overhead where the coldest pocket of air is.

Here's the 12z GFS 850 temps...gfs brings us below freezing after the precip exits stage right.

http://wxmaps.org/pix/avnmr.850.html

Okay, what am I doing wrong as far as posting images?

Looks like the core of the upper low will pass just to our north...

http://wxweb.meteostar.com/models/noaap ... te/SCR/WV/

Wowzers. Colder yet. We may in fact see a change over, no? It reminds me very much of March 2008 when it all started as rain and then briefly changed to a moderate wet snow for a few hours before ending. That was in College Station... http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/18/fp1...

Thanks for the links, Steve! They are like triple saved now. Man, the upcoming pattern looks icy cold for the south...

BTW, everybody should glance at the Florida panhandle. How often do you see Pensacola, FL under a Winter Storm Warning?!?!?! Incredible.

can somebody post the link to the euro and canadian. i have lost both links--AGAIN! The PSU site only goes out to 168.

Here's the 00z gfs for the same area:



well the pic won't show, so here's the link. It's not nearly as impressive as the NAM.

http://wxcaster.com/gis-gfs-snow-overla ... TIONID=FWS

Well, it may snow--especially north of the beltway. HOWEVER, the only reason why it would is the same reason is IP'd today--evaporative cooling. With that said, evaporative cooling is only sufficient at the beginning of an event before the column becomes saturated and or begins to mix with warmer ai...

The low, according to HPC, wants to track right over head. It should also be mentioned that the HPC has no hatched areas across Texas for significant snowfall. Grant it, they only go out to day 3, but that will be something to watch for... http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/lowtracks/lowtrack_ensembles.gi...

For such a "big" snow event for Dallas, their AFD doesn't sound like they are taking it to seriously... AS FOR THE THURSDAY SYSTEM...NAM/ECMWF ARE MORE CONSERVATIVE WITH QPF BUT IT DOES LOOK LIKE WE WILL SEE A WINTER MIX. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE FREEZING ACROSS ALL OF NORTH TE...

This time it's out of Africa...

http://www.foxnews.com/scitech/2010/02/ ... edibility/

It's interesting that the NWS from Fort Worth and Austin/San Antonio have snow/sleet in the likely category for Robertson, Milam, Leon and Lee Counties. Yet, the Houston office has cold rain for Burleson and Brazos Counties. The Houston office, to be fair, does mention in the AFD that they'll need t...

The predicted back and forth known otherwise known as the medium-long range GFS continues. Hopefully the shift of the freezing line further west and north of our area for late next week is only a temporary blip. I will be happy once all this cold air gets out of here and temps are back into the 90'...

Hey Hey! Look who's here!