July 2021

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Stratton20
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Re: July 2021

Post by Stratton20 » Wed Jul 21, 2021 1:05 pm

Rip76 Got a highlighted 20% area off the southeast us coast for a quick spin up associated with this front , nothing in the GOM, but this is an indication that the tropics are starting to slowly wake up, I suspect we will see activity start to increase in the next 8-10 days

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tireman4
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Re: July 2021

Post by tireman4 » Wed Jul 21, 2021 2:33 pm

lood Advisory
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
234 PM CDT Wed Jul 21 2021

TXC201-212130-
/O.NEW.KHGX.FA.Y.0145.210721T1934Z-210721T2130Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Harris TX-
234 PM CDT Wed Jul 21 2021

The National Weather Service in League City has issued a

* Urban and Small Stream Flood Advisory for...
Harris County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 430 PM CDT.

* At 234 PM CDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated
heavy rain due to thunderstorms. This may cause urban and small
stream flooding. Between 1 and 2 inches of rain have fallen.

Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Jersey Village, Hunters Creek Village, Bunker Hill Village, Piney
Point Village, Spring Branch North, Spring Valley, Spring Branch
West, northwestern Greater Heights, northwestern Northside /
Northline, Addicks Park Ten, Greater Greenspoint, Aldine,
northeastern Eldridge / West Oaks, Hedwig Village, Hilshire
Village, Fairbanks / Northwest Crossing, Langwood, Greater Inwood,
Spring Branch Central and Carverdale.

Additional rainfall of up to 2 inches is expected over the area.
This additional rain will result in minor flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Advisory means river or stream flows are elevated, or
ponding of water in urban or other areas is occurring or is imminent.

Excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause flooding of small
creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses
as well as other drainage areas and low lying spots.

&&

LAT...LON 2997 9543 2995 9536 2988 9537 2981 9544
2974 9550 2976 9564 2981 9566 2990 9559
2994 9551

$$


Flash Flood Warning
Flash Flood Warning
TXC201-212100-
/O.NEW.KHGX.FF.W.0029.210721T2009Z-210721T2100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
309 PM CDT Wed Jul 21 2021

The National Weather Service in League City has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
Harris County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 400 PM CDT.

* At 309 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
heavy rain across the warned area. Between 2 and 3 inches of rain
have fallen. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin
shortly.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

SOURCE...Doppler radar and automated gauges.

IMPACT...Flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas,
highways, streets and underpasses as well as other
drainage and low lying areas.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
Jersey Village, Hunters Creek Village, Bunker Hill Village, Piney
Point Village, Spring Branch North, Spring Branch West, Spring
Valley, eastern Addicks Park Ten, Hedwig Village, Hilshire
Village, Westbranch, Spring Branch Central, Carverdale, Fairbanks
/ Northwest Crossing, Langwood, Spring Branch East, Greater
Inwood, Greater Uptown, Central Northwest and Memorial.

Additional rainfall amounts up to 1 inch are possible in the warned
area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause flooding of small
creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses
as well as other drainage areas and low lying spots.

&&

LAT...LON 2977 9560 2976 9549 2989 9548 2988 9560

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR AND GAUGE INDICATED

$$

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DoctorMu
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Re: July 2021

Post by DoctorMu » Wed Jul 21, 2021 5:17 pm

My backyard and frontyard are redefining Donut Hole today. How can we possibly miss these packed but scattered passing showers?? Only days away from The Big Suck and my grass is drying out. I need to mow and if it doesn't rain today, I'll need to go full monty on the sprinklers tonight in the front and tomorrow in the back... and the city of College Station charges for water like it's liquid gold. But it's not. The high levels of sodium in our water make it alkaline, so metal, grass, trees are not happy. The lawn is due for more Sta-Green high nitrogen feed with 2% iron, but brown patches, chinch bugs will descend. :cry:

Going to enjoy one last day of emerald green grass. Will have to feed and water all the trees tomorrow two...and now they're spoiled by highs in the upper 80s and actual summer rainfall.

Horticulture in the Texas Brazos Valley - it's not for the faint of heart. :lol:

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srainhoutx
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Re: July 2021

Post by srainhoutx » Wed Jul 21, 2021 6:10 pm

Woke up at 5 AM and had to close my bedroom windows. It was a unusually chilly 56F here in the Smoky Mountains on July 21st! I don't miss running the A/C from early March to late November in SE Texas. Keep an eye on the Tropics as we turn the calendar to August. It's looking like an active peak Hurricane Season!
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

Member: National Weather Association
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DoctorMu
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Re: July 2021

Post by DoctorMu » Wed Jul 21, 2021 6:21 pm

srainhoutx wrote:
Wed Jul 21, 2021 6:10 pm
Woke up at 5 AM and had to close my bedroom windows. It was a unusually chilly 56F here in the Smoky Mountains on July 21st! I don't miss running the A/C from early March to late November in SE Texas. Keep an eye on the Tropics as we turn the calendar to August. It's looking like an active peak Hurricane Season!
Glad you're enjoying it! (don't rub it in)

Really, up until this week it's been eastern NC weather with scattered showers on most days and high around 90°F. However, the Big Suck is coming and if we donut hole any more this week, we'll need to change the name of the city from name College Station to Shipley's.

We'll keep an eye on the front remnant and then BoC and the usual suspects in August.
Last edited by DoctorMu on Wed Jul 21, 2021 6:25 pm, edited 1 time in total.

Stratton20
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Re: July 2021

Post by Stratton20 » Wed Jul 21, 2021 6:24 pm

srainhoutx I definitely agree about watching the tropica in August and beyond, I got a feeling we will be tracking a lot of potential storms

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jasons2k
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Re: July 2021

Post by jasons2k » Wed Jul 21, 2021 7:06 pm

No rain again today. By the end of July, my actuals will probably be very close to climatology at this point.

Pool dig scheduled for Friday 🤞🤞🤞🤞🤞🤞

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DoctorMu
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Re: July 2021

Post by DoctorMu » Wed Jul 21, 2021 7:19 pm

I'm watering the front, tempting the cell lurking about 5 miles from the house. It appears to be turning tail and running north with the rest of the scattered line. :(

Stratton20
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Re: July 2021

Post by Stratton20 » Wed Jul 21, 2021 9:47 pm

http://mikeventrice.weebly.com/mjo.html
This link shows the MJO and what we can expect going forward, as early as the 23rd you can see on this chart that some of the blue is creeping into the gulf which indicates rising air, which means a favorable phase of the MJO is on the move towards the atlantic, may see activity start to increase within the next 8-10 days

Stratton20
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Re: July 2021

Post by Stratton20 » Wed Jul 21, 2021 11:14 pm

Tonights model runs got a bit interesting, both the CMC and ICON models are hinting at the possibility of a low pressure system forming in the gulf roughly 6 days from now, especially the ICON, GFS doesnt show anything tho🤔🤔

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