ENSO Updates

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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Ptarmigan
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Re: ENSO Updates

Post by Ptarmigan » Mon Jul 17, 2023 8:07 pm

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.7ºC
Niño 3.4 1.1ºC
Niño 3 1.6ºC
Niño 1+2 3.4ºC

All regions warmed, except for Region 4, which is the same.

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Ptarmigan
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Re: ENSO Updates

Post by Ptarmigan » Mon Jul 24, 2023 8:17 pm

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.8ºC
Niño 3.4 1.1ºC
Niño 3 1.7ºC
Niño 1+2 3.5ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

All regions warmed, except for Region 3.4. Region 3.4 remains the same.

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Ptarmigan
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Re: ENSO Updates

Post by Ptarmigan » Mon Jul 31, 2023 8:48 pm

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.8ºC
Niño 3.4 1.2ºC
Niño 3 1.7ºC
Niño 1+2 3.0ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 cooled. Region 3 and 4 remains the same. Region 3.4 warmed.

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DoctorMu
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Re: ENSO Updates

Post by DoctorMu » Tue Aug 01, 2023 1:08 pm

Ptarmigan wrote:
Mon Jul 31, 2023 8:48 pm
This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.8ºC
Niño 3.4 1.2ºC
Niño 3 1.7ºC
Niño 1+2 3.0ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 cooled. Region 3 and 4 remains the same. Region 3.4 warmed.
Looks like a robust El Niño.

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MontgomeryCoWx
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Re: ENSO Updates

Post by MontgomeryCoWx » Tue Aug 01, 2023 5:26 pm

DoctorMu wrote:
Tue Aug 01, 2023 1:08 pm
Ptarmigan wrote:
Mon Jul 31, 2023 8:48 pm
This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.8ºC
Niño 3.4 1.2ºC
Niño 3 1.7ºC
Niño 1+2 3.0ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 cooled. Region 3 and 4 remains the same. Region 3.4 warmed.
Looks like a robust El Niño.
If PDO cooperates, which the forecasts seem to think so, we could be in for a doozy of a winter.
Team #NeverSummer

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Ptarmigan
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Re: ENSO Updates

Post by Ptarmigan » Tue Aug 01, 2023 8:30 pm

MontgomeryCoWx wrote:
Tue Aug 01, 2023 5:26 pm
DoctorMu wrote:
Tue Aug 01, 2023 1:08 pm
Ptarmigan wrote:
Mon Jul 31, 2023 8:48 pm
This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.8ºC
Niño 3.4 1.2ºC
Niño 3 1.7ºC
Niño 1+2 3.0ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 cooled. Region 3 and 4 remains the same. Region 3.4 warmed.
Looks like a robust El Niño.
If PDO cooperates, which the forecasts seem to think so, we could be in for a doozy of a winter.
Looks like a strong El Nino. If it was fall and winter, the effects would be obvious. Warm PDO usually tends to have more winter weather events.

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Re: ENSO Updates

Post by Stratton20 » Tue Aug 01, 2023 8:35 pm

Im curious, why does a warmer PDO lead to more winter weather events around here?

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MontgomeryCoWx
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Re: ENSO Updates

Post by MontgomeryCoWx » Tue Aug 01, 2023 9:16 pm

Stratton20 wrote:
Tue Aug 01, 2023 8:35 pm
Im curious, why does a warmer PDO lead to more winter weather events around here?
Warm PDO helps to amplify ridges and supply the fuel for deep digging troughs.
Team #NeverSummer

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DoctorMu
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Re: ENSO Updates

Post by DoctorMu » Fri Aug 04, 2023 12:55 pm

MontgomeryCoWx wrote:
Tue Aug 01, 2023 9:16 pm
Stratton20 wrote:
Tue Aug 01, 2023 8:35 pm
Im curious, why does a warmer PDO lead to more winter weather events around here?
Warm PDO helps to amplify ridges and supply the fuel for deep digging troughs.
Critical for the time of cold air and moisture. Some La Niña winter blasts are colder, but the moisture is not in place.

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Ptarmigan
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Re: ENSO Updates

Post by Ptarmigan » Mon Aug 07, 2023 8:14 pm

This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.8ºC
Niño 3.4 1.1ºC
Niño 3 1.8ºC
Niño 1+2 3.4ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 and 3 warmed. Region 3.4 cooled. Region 4 remains the same.

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