ENSO Updates

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Ptarmigan
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This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.7ºC
Niño 3.4 1.1ºC
Niño 3 1.6ºC
Niño 1+2 3.4ºC

All regions warmed, except for Region 4, which is the same.
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Ptarmigan
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This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.8ºC
Niño 3.4 1.1ºC
Niño 3 1.7ºC
Niño 1+2 3.5ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

All regions warmed, except for Region 3.4. Region 3.4 remains the same.
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Ptarmigan
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This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.8ºC
Niño 3.4 1.2ºC
Niño 3 1.7ºC
Niño 1+2 3.0ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 cooled. Region 3 and 4 remains the same. Region 3.4 warmed.
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DoctorMu
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Ptarmigan wrote: Mon Jul 31, 2023 9:48 pm This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.8ºC
Niño 3.4 1.2ºC
Niño 3 1.7ºC
Niño 1+2 3.0ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 cooled. Region 3 and 4 remains the same. Region 3.4 warmed.
Looks like a robust El Niño.
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MontgomeryCoWx
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DoctorMu wrote: Tue Aug 01, 2023 2:08 pm
Ptarmigan wrote: Mon Jul 31, 2023 9:48 pm This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.8ºC
Niño 3.4 1.2ºC
Niño 3 1.7ºC
Niño 1+2 3.0ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 cooled. Region 3 and 4 remains the same. Region 3.4 warmed.
Looks like a robust El Niño.
If PDO cooperates, which the forecasts seem to think so, we could be in for a doozy of a winter.
Team #NeverSummer
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Ptarmigan
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Tue Aug 01, 2023 6:26 pm
DoctorMu wrote: Tue Aug 01, 2023 2:08 pm
Ptarmigan wrote: Mon Jul 31, 2023 9:48 pm This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.8ºC
Niño 3.4 1.2ºC
Niño 3 1.7ºC
Niño 1+2 3.0ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 cooled. Region 3 and 4 remains the same. Region 3.4 warmed.
Looks like a robust El Niño.
If PDO cooperates, which the forecasts seem to think so, we could be in for a doozy of a winter.
Looks like a strong El Nino. If it was fall and winter, the effects would be obvious. Warm PDO usually tends to have more winter weather events.
Stratton20
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Im curious, why does a warmer PDO lead to more winter weather events around here?
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Stratton20 wrote: Tue Aug 01, 2023 9:35 pm Im curious, why does a warmer PDO lead to more winter weather events around here?
Warm PDO helps to amplify ridges and supply the fuel for deep digging troughs.
Team #NeverSummer
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DoctorMu
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Tue Aug 01, 2023 10:16 pm
Stratton20 wrote: Tue Aug 01, 2023 9:35 pm Im curious, why does a warmer PDO lead to more winter weather events around here?
Warm PDO helps to amplify ridges and supply the fuel for deep digging troughs.
Critical for the time of cold air and moisture. Some La Niña winter blasts are colder, but the moisture is not in place.
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Ptarmigan
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This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.8ºC
Niño 3.4 1.1ºC
Niño 3 1.8ºC
Niño 1+2 3.4ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 and 3 warmed. Region 3.4 cooled. Region 4 remains the same.
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Ptarmigan
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This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.9ºC
Niño 3.4 1.2ºC
Niño 3 1.8ºC
Niño 1+2 3.3ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 cooled. Region 3 remains the same. Region 3.4 and 4 warmed.
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Ptarmigan
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This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 0.9ºC
Niño 3.4 1.3ºC
Niño 3 2.0ºC
Niño 1+2 3.3ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 and 4 remain the same. Region 3 and 3.4 warmed.
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Ptarmigan
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This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 1.1ºC
Niño 3.4 1.5ºC
Niño 3 2.2ºC
Niño 1+2 3.1ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 cooled. The rest warmed.
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MontgomeryCoWx
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I’d like 1+2 to be in the 2-2.5 range for Winter. All else can hold steady
Team #NeverSummer
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Ptarmigan
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This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 1.1ºC
Niño 3.4 1.6ºC
Niño 3 2.3ºC
Niño 1+2 3.2ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

All regions warmed, except for Region 4. Region 4 remains the same.
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Ptarmigan
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Posts: 3992
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This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 1.1ºC
Niño 3.4 1.6ºC
Niño 3 2.2ºC
Niño 1+2 2.9ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 and 3 cooled. Region 3.4 and 4 remain the same.
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Ptarmigan
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Posts: 3992
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This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 1.1ºC
Niño 3.4 1.6ºC
Niño 3 2.2ºC
Niño 1+2 2.6ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 cooled. Other regions remain the same.
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Ptarmigan
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Posts: 3992
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This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 1.2ºC
Niño 3.4 1.7ºC
Niño 3 2.1ºC
Niño 1+2 2.8ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

All regions warmed, except for Region 3. Region 3 cooled.
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Ptarmigan
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Posts: 3992
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This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 1.1ºC
Niño 3.4 1.5ºC
Niño 3 2.0ºC
Niño 1+2 2.8ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

All regions cooled, except for Region 1+2, which remains the same.
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Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
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Posts: 3992
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
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This Week's ENSO
Niño 4 1.2ºC
Niño 3.4 1.5ºC
Niño 3 1.9ºC
Niño 1+2 2.6ºC

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ ... ts-web.pdf

Region 1+2 and 3 cooled. Region 3.4 remains unchanged. Region 4 warmed.
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