January: Calmer Pattern To End The Month
The 18z Nam is a little more aggressive with the precip, shows possibly 1-2 inches of snow and or sleet in the Houston area.
Thermal profiles with the 18Z NAM are cooler than the previous run. Hence more of a sleet/snow mix.
'There's a spirit can ne'er be told...'
tireman4 wrote:Some interesting days ahead folks. Stay tuned here and your local NWS. As the models try to lock onto what is going on, a bear watch will be maintained.
I can't wait till the HGX NWS update their discussion after ingesting todays model info and this forum is great going over a 100 pages. (a bear watch is a good idea).
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TexasBreeze
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- Location: NW Houston, TX
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Must be interesting! They are running late with it.cperk wrote:tireman4 wrote:Some interesting days ahead folks. Stay tuned here and your local NWS. As the models try to lock onto what is going on, a bear watch will be maintained.
I can't wait till the HGX NWS update their discussion after ingesting todays model info and this forum is great going over a 100 pages. (a bear watch is a good idea).
30 percent chance. Snow and sleet for Harris county Tuesday.
What is the Euro showing towards Austin?wxman57 wrote:The Euro predicts about an inch of snow in Houston Tuesday. Canadian last night said 3-6". Haven't seen 12Z yet.
EWX had a wintry mix in their forecast Tues but after last night's model runs took it out, now after the new model runs they have it back in Tues and Tues night forecast. Nothing like a little uncetainty to keep them on there toes.
Last edited by ndale on Sat Jan 25, 2014 4:17 pm, edited 1 time in total.
alright peeps.... going to the TC dike for sunset, CHALLENGE!!!! who can tell me the ETA for sunset at dike!!!! QUICKEST answer wins!!!
Award winning BBQ up for grabs for this prize!
U ain't from Texas are ya????
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
351 PM CST SAT JAN 25 2014
.DISCUSSION...
WHAT A DIFFERENCE A DAY MAKES. WEST SOUTHWEST WINDS AND PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES HAVE ALLOWED TEMPERATURES TO WARM TO NEAR 60 DEGREES
THIS AFTERNOON. EXPECT SIMILAR CONDITIONS ON SUNDAY...WITH
TEMPERATURES LIKELY NEARING 70 ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION.
AFTER OUR BRIEF RESPITE OLD MAN WINTER WILL RETURN ON MONDAY AS A
STRONG FRONT BRINGS ARCTIC AIR BACK TO THE REGION. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY OCCUR IN THE MORNING AS THE FRONT SHOULD
BE MOVING THROUGH COLLEGE STATION BY DAYBREAK AND INTO THE HOUSTON
METRO AREA BY LUNCHTIME. TEMPERATURES TUESDAY MORNING WILL FALL
BELOW FREEZING ACROSS ALL BUT THE IMMEDIATE COASTLINE WITH
NORTHERN AREAS FALLING INTO THE MID 20S. OF GREATER CONCERN IS THE
APPROACH OF AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE WHICH WILL LEAD TO THE
POTENTIAL FOR SOME FROZEN PRECIPITATION TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.
MODELS HAVE TRENDED SLIGHTLY SLOWER WITH THE APPROACH OF THIS
FEATURE ALLOWING SURFACE AND NEAR SURFACE TEMPERATURES TO COOL
FURTHER. WHILE THERE REMAINS GREAT UNCERTAINTY WITH THIS EVENT
THERE IS ENOUGH MODEL CONSENSUS TO INTRODUCE A MENTION OF FROZEN
PRECIPITATION INTO THE FORECAST. TEMPERATURES LOOK TO BE COLDER
THAN LAST WEEK WHICH WOULD SHIFT THE THREAT MORE TOWARD SLEET AND
SNOW...RATHER THAN FREEZING RAIN. GREATEST IMPACTS WILL LIKELY BE
CONFINED TO AN AREA ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM COLLEGE STATION
TO HOUSTON TO WINNIE. FURTHER NORTH...MOISTURE WILL BE SOMEWHAT
LIMITED AND SNOW FLURRIES ARE POSSIBLE. ONE CONCERN WITH THIS
SOLUTION WILL BE THE AMOUNT OF INTERACTION WITH THE SHORTWAVE AND
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WHICH IS FORECAST TO HANG BACK OVER NORTHERN
MEXICO...WHICH COULD CHANGE THE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE AVAILABLE TO
WORK WITH. AGAIN...EXPECT TO SEE CHANGES IN THE FORECAST AS WE GET
CLOSER BUT ANOTHER BRUSH WITH WINTER WEATHER LOOKS POSSIBLE THIS
WEEK.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
351 PM CST SAT JAN 25 2014
.DISCUSSION...
WHAT A DIFFERENCE A DAY MAKES. WEST SOUTHWEST WINDS AND PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES HAVE ALLOWED TEMPERATURES TO WARM TO NEAR 60 DEGREES
THIS AFTERNOON. EXPECT SIMILAR CONDITIONS ON SUNDAY...WITH
TEMPERATURES LIKELY NEARING 70 ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION.
AFTER OUR BRIEF RESPITE OLD MAN WINTER WILL RETURN ON MONDAY AS A
STRONG FRONT BRINGS ARCTIC AIR BACK TO THE REGION. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY OCCUR IN THE MORNING AS THE FRONT SHOULD
BE MOVING THROUGH COLLEGE STATION BY DAYBREAK AND INTO THE HOUSTON
METRO AREA BY LUNCHTIME. TEMPERATURES TUESDAY MORNING WILL FALL
BELOW FREEZING ACROSS ALL BUT THE IMMEDIATE COASTLINE WITH
NORTHERN AREAS FALLING INTO THE MID 20S. OF GREATER CONCERN IS THE
APPROACH OF AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE WHICH WILL LEAD TO THE
POTENTIAL FOR SOME FROZEN PRECIPITATION TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.
MODELS HAVE TRENDED SLIGHTLY SLOWER WITH THE APPROACH OF THIS
FEATURE ALLOWING SURFACE AND NEAR SURFACE TEMPERATURES TO COOL
FURTHER. WHILE THERE REMAINS GREAT UNCERTAINTY WITH THIS EVENT
THERE IS ENOUGH MODEL CONSENSUS TO INTRODUCE A MENTION OF FROZEN
PRECIPITATION INTO THE FORECAST. TEMPERATURES LOOK TO BE COLDER
THAN LAST WEEK WHICH WOULD SHIFT THE THREAT MORE TOWARD SLEET AND
SNOW...RATHER THAN FREEZING RAIN. GREATEST IMPACTS WILL LIKELY BE
CONFINED TO AN AREA ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM COLLEGE STATION
TO HOUSTON TO WINNIE. FURTHER NORTH...MOISTURE WILL BE SOMEWHAT
LIMITED AND SNOW FLURRIES ARE POSSIBLE. ONE CONCERN WITH THIS
SOLUTION WILL BE THE AMOUNT OF INTERACTION WITH THE SHORTWAVE AND
THE UPPER LEVEL LOW WHICH IS FORECAST TO HANG BACK OVER NORTHERN
MEXICO...WHICH COULD CHANGE THE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE AVAILABLE TO
WORK WITH. AGAIN...EXPECT TO SEE CHANGES IN THE FORECAST AS WE GET
CLOSER BUT ANOTHER BRUSH WITH WINTER WEATHER LOOKS POSSIBLE THIS
WEEK.
Really, can we have a simple answer and not quote the national weather service? Just wanted to know the ETA for sunset on the Dike, trivia, that's all people, was trying to make this fun..... cutting and pasting doesn't count
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TexasBreeze
- Posts: 942
- Joined: Sun Sep 26, 2010 4:46 pm
- Location: NW Houston, TX
- Contact:
5:51 pm
kayci wrote:Really, can we have a simple answer and not quote the national weather service? Just wanted to know the ETA for sunset on the Dike, trivia, that's all people, was trying to make this fun..... cutting and pasting doesn't count
I'm not at all sure of what you're talking about.
Re: January: Strong Arctic Front/Wintry Michief Early Next W
Postby kayci » Sat Jan 25, 2014 5:16 pm
alright peeps.... going to the TC dike for sunset, CHALLENGE!!!! who can tell me the ETA for sunset at dike!!!! QUICKEST answer wins!!!
Original post... sorry, for those of you who don't know how to play... was just trying to liven things up a bit... sorry to interrupt all things serious................
Postby kayci » Sat Jan 25, 2014 5:16 pm
alright peeps.... going to the TC dike for sunset, CHALLENGE!!!! who can tell me the ETA for sunset at dike!!!! QUICKEST answer wins!!!
Original post... sorry, for those of you who don't know how to play... was just trying to liven things up a bit... sorry to interrupt all things serious................
TexasBreeze wrote:5:51 pm
THANX!
From NWS
Interesting.
Interesting.
TxJohn wrote:From NWS
Interesting.
TxJohn where did you find that graphic.
Here: http://www.srh.noaa.gov/hgx/cperk wrote:TxJohn wrote:From NWS
Interesting.
TxJohn where did you find that graphic.