JUNE 2015 -Scattered Showers/Storms To End The Month

[srainhoutx]

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SPECIAL MARINE WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
938 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CORPUS CHRISTI HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR...
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM...
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20
NM...

* UNTIL 1045 AM CDT

* AT 938 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM...
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WATERSPOUTS AND WINDS 34 KNOTS OR GREATER...
LOCATED 11 NM SOUTHEAST OF PORT ARANSAS. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WAS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 5 KNOTS.

[srainhoutx]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
944 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL LAVACA COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...

* UNTIL 1245 PM CDT

* AT 940 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS
PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN LAVACA COUNTY.
UP TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN. FLASH FLOODING IS
EXPECTED TO BEGIN SHORTLY.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
SPEAKS...EZZELL...HOPE...VIENNA...U.S. HIGHWAY 77 AND FARM TO
MARKET ROAD 530.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
WARNED AREA.

[srainhoutx]

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON, TX
949 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

...The National Weather Service in Houston/Galveston has issued a flood warning
for the following rivers...

Navasota River Near Normangee affecting the following counties in Texas...
Brazos...Grimes...Madison...Washington
Davidson Creek near Lyons affecting the following counties in Texas...
Brazos...Burleson


For Navasota River at Normangee, Minor flooding is forecast. For Davidson
Creek at Lyons, Minor flooding is forecast.

Bands of heavy rain associated with Tropical Storm Bill has produced 7 to 9
inches of rain over the Navasota River and Davidson Creek watersheds with some
areas receiving in excess of 10 inches. Runoff from this rainfall is expected to
produce minor flooding on the Navasota River near Normangee and Davidson Creek
near Lyons.

[srainhoutx]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1104 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CORPUS CHRISTI HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
VICTORIA COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
NORTHWESTERN CALHOUN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...

* UNTIL 1230 PM CDT

* AT 1103 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING
HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. UP TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAVE
ALREADY FALLEN. SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF VICTORIA COUNTY RECEIVED
AROUND 5 INCHES OF RAIN OVERNIGHT. FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO
BEGIN SHORTLY.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
VICTORIA...PORT LAVACA...MCFADDIN...GUADALUPE...POINT COMFORT...
POINT COMFORT...DACOSTA...WOOD HI...VICTORIA REGIONAL AIRPORT...
DOWNTOWN VICTORIA...KAMEY...KAMAY...VICTORIA COLONY CREEK COUNTRY
CLUB...VICTORIA COLLEGE...SAXET LAKES...PLACEDO...OAK VILLAGE...
INEZ...VICTORIA RIVERSIDE PARK AND PORT ALTO.

[srainhoutx]

48 Hour Rainfall Totals for SE Texas greater than 2.5 inches just issued:

Code: Select all

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1109 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

...RAINFALL REPORTS PAST 48 HOURS VALUES GREATER THAN 2.5 INCHES...

LOCATION                     AMOUNT    TIME/DATE       LAT/LON              

...AUSTIN COUNTY...
SEALY 0.3 WNW                8.09 IN   0700 AM 06/17   29.78N/96.16W        
SEALY 1.9 NNE                7.81 IN   0700 AM 06/17   29.80N/96.14W        
SAN FELIPE 1.0 WNW           6.15 IN   0700 AM 06/17   29.80N/96.12W        
MILL CREEK NEAR BELLVILLE    4.69 IN   1030 AM 06/17   29.88N/96.20W        
1 SW BELLVILLE               4.64 IN   1000 AM 06/17   29.94N/96.27W        
SAN FELIPE                   4.47 IN   1104 AM 06/17   29.80N/96.12W        
BELLVILLE 0.4 NE             4.44 IN   0600 AM 06/17   29.95N/96.25W        
CAT SPRING 0.7 NNE           3.93 IN   0700 AM 06/17   29.86N/96.32W        
7 NE EAGLE LAKE              3.81 IN   1000 AM 06/17   29.66N/96.24W        
BELLVILLE 6.5 NNE            3.66 IN   0700 AM 06/17   30.03N/96.22W        
INDUSTRY 4.0 NNE             3.20 IN   0900 AM 06/17   30.03N/96.47W        
9 ENE FAYETTEVILLE           3.15 IN   1000 AM 06/17   29.98N/96.55W        

...BRAZORIA COUNTY...
WEST COLUMBIA 1 ESE          3.04 IN   0800 AM 06/17   29.14N/95.63W        

...BRAZOS COUNTY...
EASTERWOOD FIELD AIRPORT     2.84 IN   0653 AM 06/17   30.59N/96.36W        
BRYAN 3.5 NNW                2.54 IN   0800 AM 06/17   30.71N/96.39W        

...BURLESON COUNTY...
1 SSE SOMERVILLE             3.49 IN   0800 AM 06/17   30.32N/96.53W        
CALDWELL                     2.93 IN   1103 AM 06/17   30.53N/96.71W        

...CHAMBERS COUNTY...
3 SSW MONT BELVIEU           3.85 IN   1055 AM 06/17   29.80N/94.90W        
MONT BELVIEU 1.5 NNW         3.31 IN   0800 AM 06/17   29.87N/94.89W        
NR CHARLOTTE                 2.61 IN   0846 AM 06/17   29.87N/94.71W        

...COLORADO COUNTY...
5 W EAGLE LAKE               4.79 IN   1000 AM 06/17   29.58N/96.42W        
WEIMAR 1.2 WNW               4.19 IN   0700 AM 06/17   29.71N/96.80W        
COLUMBUS 3.2 WSW             4.11 IN   0700 AM 06/17   29.68N/96.60W        
6 NE EAGLE LAKE              4.03 IN   1035 AM 06/17   29.67N/96.27W        
7 S WEIMAR                   3.97 IN   0900 AM 06/17   29.60N/96.77W        
7 E ELLINGER                 3.63 IN   0900 AM 06/17   29.83N/96.58W        
NEW ULM 5.1 S                3.63 IN   0800 AM 06/17   29.82N/96.48W        
COLUMBUS                     3.18 IN   1015 AM 06/17   29.71N/96.54W        
9 ESE FAYETTEVILLE           2.79 IN   1044 AM 06/17   29.85N/96.53W        

...GALVESTON COUNTY...
BACLIFF 0.5 SSE              3.86 IN   0700 AM 06/17   29.50N/94.99W        
KEMAH 0.2 WNW                3.62 IN   0700 AM 06/17   29.53N/95.02W        
LEAGUE CITY 3.6 ENE          3.01 IN   0800 AM 06/17   29.52N/95.04W        
TEXAS CITY 1.5 E             2.53 IN   0900 AM 06/17   29.41N/94.93W        

...GRIMES COUNTY...
8 SE NAVASOTA                5.32 IN   1101 AM 06/17   30.29N/96.00W        

...HARRIS COUNTY...
CEDAR BAYOU SH 146           3.96 IN   1003 AM 06/17   29.77N/94.92W        
4 WSW THE WOODLANDS          3.52 IN   1105 AM 06/17   30.13N/95.55W        
LITTLE VINCE BAYOU AT JACKSO 3.52 IN   0843 AM 06/17   29.71N/95.20W        
CEDAR BAYOU NEAR CROSBY (US  3.40 IN   0755 AM 06/17   29.97N/94.99W        
IH-10 @ NORMANDY             3.36 IN   0757 AM 06/17   29.77N/95.21W        
TAYLOR LAKE VILLAGE          3.32 IN   1100 AM 06/17   29.56N/95.05W        
1 NE HOUSTON                 3.15 IN   1101 AM 06/17   29.78N/95.37W        
6 W SPRING                   3.09 IN   1102 AM 06/17   30.05N/95.49W        
2 SW THE WOODLANDS           3.07 IN   1100 AM 06/17   30.13N/95.52W        
2 WSW PASADENA               3.03 IN   0700 AM 06/17   29.65N/95.19W        
3 WNW TAYLOR LAKE VILLAGE    3.00 IN   1104 AM 06/17   29.60N/95.11W        
SPRING 9.8 WNW               2.98 IN   0700 AM 06/17   30.13N/95.53W        
HUNTING BAYOU AT I-10        2.96 IN   0840 AM 06/17   29.77N/95.23W        
GREENS BAYOU NR. US HWY 75   2.92 IN   0914 AM 06/17   29.96N/95.42W        
1 NNE HOUSTON                2.88 IN   1052 AM 06/17   29.79N/95.38W        
KINGWOOD 1.8 E               2.86 IN   0700 AM 06/17   30.06N/95.16W        
IH 10 AT ELDRIDGE            2.84 IN   0834 AM 06/17   29.78N/95.62W        
SAN JACINTO RIVER NEAR RIO V 2.84 IN   0753 AM 06/17   29.88N/95.08W        
HOUSTON 1.4 NE               2.81 IN   0700 AM 06/17   29.79N/95.37W        
PASADENA 2.8 SW              2.80 IN   0700 AM 06/17   29.63N/95.19W        
TAYLOR LAKE VILLAGE 4.1 WNW  2.80 IN   0650 AM 06/17   29.60N/95.12W        
IH 45 W ROAD HOV ENTERANCE   2.72 IN   0942 AM 06/17   29.92N/95.41W        
ADDICKS RESERVOIR            2.68 IN   0844 AM 06/17   29.79N/95.62W        
3 WNW CROSBY                 2.68 IN   1059 AM 06/17   29.95N/95.11W        
CLOVERLEAF 1.7 W             2.67 IN   0600 AM 06/17   29.79N/95.20W        
IH 10 AT SH 6                2.64 IN   0814 AM 06/17   29.79N/95.67W        
HIGHLAND HEIGHTS             2.64 IN   0913 AM 06/17   29.87N/95.47W        
GUM GULLY AT DIAMOND HEAD    2.60 IN   0837 AM 06/17   29.90N/95.08W        
HOUSTON INTERCONTINENTAL     2.60 IN   0653 AM 06/17   29.98N/95.34W        
WILLOW CK NEAR TOMBALL (KUYK 2.60 IN   0752 AM 06/17   30.11N/95.55W        
HOUSTON 2.1 NNE              2.59 IN   0700 AM 06/17   29.80N/95.37W        
WHITE OAK BAYOU @ PINEMONT   2.59 IN   0909 AM 06/17   29.83N/95.45W        
PASADENA 4.4 WNW             2.58 IN   0620 AM 06/17   29.68N/95.22W        
JACINTO CITY                 2.57 IN   0859 AM 06/17   29.77N/95.19W        
CYPRESS CREEK NEAR WESTFIELD 2.52 IN   0914 AM 06/17   30.04N/95.43W        
3 W SPRING                   2.49 IN   1106 AM 06/17   30.05N/95.44W        

...JACKSON COUNTY...
GANADO 1.5 W                 11.77 IN  0700 AM 06/17   29.04N/96.54W        
LA WARD                      6.54 IN   1105 AM 06/17   28.84N/96.46W        
4 SSE EDNA                   6.18 IN   1105 AM 06/17   28.91N/96.63W        
6 WSW LA WARD                5.90 IN   1103 AM 06/17   28.79N/96.55W        
7 S GANADO                   5.75 IN   1058 AM 06/17   28.94N/96.52W        
EDNA 7 NW                    5.73 IN   0700 AM 06/17   29.06N/96.76W        
9 W LA WARD                  5.40 IN   1058 AM 06/17   28.82N/96.62W        
5 S LA WARD                  4.69 IN   1104 AM 06/17   28.77N/96.46W        
8 SSE LA WARD                3.22 IN   1059 AM 06/17   28.73N/96.42W        

...LIBERTY COUNTY...
4 NNW DAYTON                 3.62 IN   1007 AM 06/17   30.11N/94.93W        
CLEVELAND 0.9 SW             3.08 IN   0700 AM 06/17   30.33N/95.09W        
3 S CLEVELAND                2.65 IN   0700 AM 06/17   30.29N/95.08W        

...MARINE REPORTING STATIONS...
16 E PALACIOS                5.21 IN   0900 AM 06/17   28.68N/95.97W        

...MATAGORDA COUNTY...
2 W BAY CITY                 7.26 IN   1015 AM 06/17   28.97N/96.01W        
9 W MARKHAM                  6.28 IN   1000 AM 06/17   28.94N/96.21W        

...MONTGOMERY COUNTY...
WF SAN JACINTO               7.06 IN   1030 AM 06/17   30.24N/95.46W        
4 N TOMBALL                  3.26 IN   1055 AM 06/17   30.16N/95.63W        
3 ENE PINEHURST              3.19 IN   1104 AM 06/17   30.22N/95.66W        
LAKE CREEK AT HONEA-EGYPT RO 3.00 IN   0842 AM 06/17   30.25N/95.58W        
FM 2978                      2.96 IN   0835 AM 06/17   30.13N/95.60W        
HUFSMITH                     2.80 IN   0904 AM 06/17   30.17N/95.54W        
SPRING                       2.67 IN   1000 AM 06/17   30.13N/95.48W        
THE WOODLANDS 5.8 NW         2.67 IN   0700 AM 06/17   30.21N/95.56W        
THE WOODLANDS 1.4 WNW        2.64 IN   0746 AM 06/17   30.17N/95.51W        
MAGNOLIA 10.6 ENE            2.61 IN   0635 AM 06/17   30.23N/95.57W        
4 NW THE WOODLANDS           2.56 IN   1101 AM 06/17   30.21N/95.54W        

...POLK COUNTY...
7 ENE SEVEN OAKS             3.52 IN   1014 AM 06/17   30.90N/94.75W        
LIVINGSTON 8.4 W             3.13 IN   0800 AM 06/17   30.70N/95.08W        

...WALLER COUNTY...
BROOKSHIRE                   2.94 IN   0936 AM 06/17   29.77N/96.04W        
6 SSW TODD MISSION           2.73 IN   1103 AM 06/17   30.17N/95.86W        
BROOKSHIRE 6.9 NNW           2.60 IN   0800 AM 06/17   29.87N/96.00W        

...WASHINGTON COUNTY...
6 WSW NAVASOTA               5.64 IN   1103 AM 06/17   30.34N/96.18W        
BRENHAM 7.2 SW               4.70 IN   0700 AM 06/17   30.09N/96.49W        
BRAZOS RIVER AT HEMPSTEAD    4.34 IN   1045 AM 06/17   30.13N/96.19W        
HEMPSTEAD 10.0 NNW           4.23 IN   0700 AM 06/17   30.23N/96.14W        
CHAPPELL HILL 1.0 NW         3.75 IN   0700 AM 06/17   30.16N/96.26W        
BRENHAM 8.0 E                3.61 IN   0700 AM 06/17   30.16N/96.26W        
CHAPPELL HILL 1.8 N          3.55 IN   0700 AM 06/17   30.17N/96.25W        
WASHINGTON 3.1 SSW           3.41 IN   0745 AM 06/17   30.28N/96.17W        
WASHINGTON 8.6 SSW           3.17 IN   0700 AM 06/17   30.22N/96.22W        
BRENHAM                      3.05 IN   0700 AM 06/17   30.17N/96.40W        
6 ESE BURTON                 3.05 IN   1104 AM 06/17   30.13N/96.52W        
BRENHAM 1.4 NNW              2.80 IN   0543 AM 06/17   30.18N/96.40W        

...WHARTON COUNTY...
8 N GANADO                   11.52 IN  1000 AM 06/17   29.16N/96.51W        
2 NW EL CAMPO                9.91 IN   1000 AM 06/17   29.22N/96.29W        
EL CAMPO 2.7 NW              8.55 IN   0800 AM 06/17   29.23N/96.30W        
EL CAMPO 4.9 SSE             8.16 IN   0700 AM 06/17   29.13N/96.26W        
6 WNW WHARTON                7.04 IN   1000 AM 06/17   29.34N/96.20W        
EL CAMPO 1.0 NW              6.48 IN   0600 AM 06/17   29.21N/96.29W        
9 WSW BOLING-IAGO            6.11 IN   0900 AM 06/17   29.19N/96.07W        
1 W DANEVANG                 6.01 IN   0700 AM 06/17   29.05N/96.23W        
WHARTON 3.1 NE               4.76 IN   0700 AM 06/17   29.35N/96.07W        
WHARTON                      4.67 IN   0915 AM 06/17   29.31N/96.10W        
WHARTON 3.9 NW               3.88 IN   0700 AM 06/17   29.35N/96.15W        
8 SE EAGLE LAKE              3.86 IN   1055 AM 06/17   29.50N/96.22W        
BOLING-IAGO                  3.42 IN   1102 AM 06/17   29.27N/95.95W        
1 NE EAST BERNARD            2.87 IN   1000 AM 06/17   29.53N/96.06W        

OBSERVATIONS ARE COLLECTED FROM A VARIETY OF SOURCES WITH VARYING
EQUIPMENT AND EXPOSURE. NOT ALL DATA LISTED ARE CONSIDERED OFFICIAL.

$$

NWS HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX

[Ounce]

Here in Robstown, 10 miles w of Corpus, the wind direction is 191 degrees, cloudy, and windy. I left my signature Wayne Dolcefino anemometer at home.

[srainhoutx]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1128 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CORPUS CHRISTI HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN VICTORIA COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...

* UNTIL 1230 PM CDT

* AT 1127 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING
HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. FLASH FLOODING WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE OVER THE AREA.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
VICTORIA...VICTORIA DETAR HOSPITAL NORTH...SALEM...FORDTRAN...
NURSERY...VICTORIA MALL AND MISSION VALLEY.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
WARNED AREA.

[srainhoutx]

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1144 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

LIBERTY TX-POLK TX-SAN JACINTO TX-
1144 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
LIBERTY COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
POLK COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
SOUTHEASTERN SAN JACINTO COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 145 PM CDT

* AT 1142 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN DUE TO HEAVY
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. THIS WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING
IN THE ADVISORY AREA. RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS AS THEY MOVE NORTH THROUGH THE
ADVISORY AREA.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
LIBERTY...CLEVELAND...DAYTON...LIVINGSTON...SHEPHERD...CORRIGAN...
AMES...DAISETTA...HARDIN...PLUM GROVE...KENEFICK...DEVERS...
GOODRICH...NORTH CLEVELAND...SEVEN OAKS...DAYTON LAKES...
ALABAMA-COUSHATTA RESERVATION...WEST LIVINGSTON...LAKE LIVINGSTON
STATE PARK AND MOSS HILL.

[srainhoutx]

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SPECIAL MARINE WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1140 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CORPUS CHRISTI HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR...
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM...
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20
NM...

* UNTIL 1245 PM CDT

* AT 1139 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM...
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WATERSPOUTS AND WINDS 34 KNOTS OR GREATER...
LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTH OF PORT ARANSAS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 5
KNOTS.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY OPEN WATERS.

[srainhoutx]

From Nesdis: (Worth the read)

SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 06/17/15 1713Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13 1700Z KUSSELSON
NOAA AMSU:1540Z 1301Z DMSP SSMIS:1432Z 1250Z
.
LOCATION...EXT SW AND W CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SE AND E CENTRAL TEXAS...
.
ATTN WFOS...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD...CRP...EWX...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...WGRFC...
.
NESDIS IS CONTINUING TO ACCEPT APPEALS ON THE RETIREMENT OF THE SPENES
PRODUCT. APPEALS CAN BE SUBMITTED BY EMAILING JOHN.SIMKO@NOAA.GOV
.
EVENT...CONCENTRATION OF EXCEPTIONALLY HIGH MOISTURE...HEAVY RAIN NEAR
CONVERGENT BANDS...HVY RAIN JUST OFF THE MID TEXAS COAST INCHING CLOSER
TO THE COAST...
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...TD BILL CONTINUES TO DRIFT SLOWLY NORTH
THROUGH NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS. ONLY POSSIBLE KICKER SHORT WAVES WEST IN
THE SHORT TERM WERE HIGH LEVEL SHORT WAVE MOVING ACROSS COLORADO WITH
ITS TROUGH EXTENDED INTO NEW MEXICO THAT WAS SLOWLY MOVING EAST BUT NOT
ENOUGH TO AFFECT ACTION IN TEXAS FOR THE SHORT TERM. WEAK SHORT WAVE IN
MEXICO SHOWED NO SIGN OF MOVING MUCH EAST...SO THAT WON'T BE MUCH HELP.
ON THE EAST SIDE...DRY AIR/LOWER PWATS IN GULF WAS CONTINUING TO EXPAND
WEST THANKS TO PERSISTENT HIGH OVER THE SOUTHEAST US....HOWEVER AT A
MUCH SLOWER RATE WEST. STILL DEEP VERY HIGH MOISTURE WAS CONTINUING TO
BE MORE CONCENTRATED OVER SOUTHEAST TEXAS. SO CONVECTION CURRENTLY OVER
SOUTHEAST TO E CENTRAL TEXAS INTO EXT WESTERN LOUISIANA LOOKS TO BE GOING
NOWHERE OR ONLY MOVING VERY SLOWLY. AND THEN THERE IS THE ADDITION OF
THE CONVECTION JUST OFFSHORE MID TEXAS COAST THAT SEEMED TO BE INCHING
ITS WAY CLOSER TO THE COAST. SO ALL IN ALL, THREE DISTINCT AREAS OF
CONCERN...CONVECTIVE AREA IN VARIOUS BANDS THAT ARE INTERACTING WITH EACH
OTHER IN A VERY HIGH MOIST ENVIRONMENT BOUNDED FROM GOLIAD TO REFUGIO
COUNTY ON THE WEST TO BRAZORIA/HARRIS COUNTY IN THE EAST...COLD CLOUD
TOP CONVECTION ALONG AND JUST OF THE MID TEXAS COAST AND INCHING TOWARD
ARANSAS AND CALHOUN COUNTY. AND THIRD AREA WITH FEEDER BANDS WELL EAST
OF CENTER OF BILL (CIRCULATION NEAR JOHNSON COUNTY) AND ORIENTED WITH
SOUTHERLY FLOW FOR EXCEPTIONAL NARROW TRAINING AREAS FROM INLAND AREAS
OF THE UPPER TEXAS COAST..IE LIBERTY/JASPER...
NORTH THROUGH E CENTRAL TEXAS AND INTO INTERIOR NE TEXAS...WHERE
AREAL EXTEND OF RAIN IS RELATIVELY SMALL...BUT AMOUNTS CAN BE VERY HIGH
ESPECIALLY NEAR NARROW TRAINING AREAS BECAUSE OF THE EXTRAORDINARY 2-2.5"
PWAT MOISTURE BEING DRAWN NORTH FROM THE CONCENTRATED POOL OVER THE FAR
WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND SE TEXAS.
.
AN ANNOTATED SATELLITE GRAPHIC SHOWING THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION
THREAT AREA SHOULD BE AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET ADDRESS LISTED
BELOW IN APPROXIMATELY 10-15 MINUTES.
.
SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 1700-2000Z...MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FACTOR
IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...THREE DISTINCT AREAS WITH HAVE HEAVY RAIN ISSUES
IN THE TIME PERIOD. CONVECTION IN WESTERN GULF AND BACKING INTO COASTAL
ARANSAS AND REFUGIO COUNTY WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND INLAND AND FUSE IN WITH
MULTIPLE CONVECTIVE BANDS THAT CAN HAVE TRAINING AND SLOW MOVING CELLS
THAT EFFICIENTLY PRODUCE EXCEPTIONAL RAINFALL AND WILL ENCOMPASS DEWITT
TO REFUGIO COUNTY ON WET SIDE AND HARRIS/GALVESTON COUNTY ON THE EAST
WITH HIGHEST AMOUNTS THIS PERIOD NEAR REFUGIO/VICTORIA TO BRAZORIA COUNTY
AND POSSIBLY EXTENDING TO HARRIS COUNTY. OTHER AREA INLAND TO THE UPPER
TEXAS COAST NORTH TO INTERIOR NE TEXAS WITH CONVECTIVE MOSTLY S-N NARROW
FEEDER BANDS FOR TRAINING CELLS THAT CAN PRODUCE GENERAL 0.5"-1.0"/HR
RATES WITH ISOLATED 1-1.5" AND HIGHLY ISOLATED 2-3 INCHES OVER A 2-3HRS
AND GRAZING EXT WESTERN LOUISIANA BEAUREGARD TO SABINE PARISH.

[srainhoutx]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1217 PM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
WESTERN WHARTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
JACKSON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
WEST CENTRAL MATAGORDA COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 315 PM CDT

* AT 1214 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED
AREA. STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DEVELOP SOUTHWEST OF THE
AREA AND MOVE NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE WARNED AREA. FLASH FLOODING
WILL CONTINUE. RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
EL CAMPO...EDNA...PALACIOS...GANADO...LA WARD...PIERCE...LOLITA...
BLESSING...CORDELE...EGYPT...LAKE TEXANA DAM...MORALES...
DANEVANG...LOUISE...GARWOOD...VANDERBILT...MIDFIELD AND NADA.

[kellybell4770]

we are supposed to go camping at Lake Texana tomorrow - anyone know how I can find out about road closures between Angleton and there? Thanks

[unome]

we are supposed to go camping at Lake Texana tomorrow - anyone know how I can find out about road closures between Angleton and there? Thanks

http://www.drivetexas.org

[kellybell4770]

thank you so much! it's perfect!

[srainhoutx]

MESOSCALE PRECIPITATION DISCUSSION 0233
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
229 PM EDT WED JUN 17 2015

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND SOUTHERN TX

CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING LIKELY

VALID 171828Z - 180028Z

SUMMARY...INFLOW BANDS INTO TROPICAL DEPRESSION BILL REMAIN
CAPABLE OF HOURLY RAIN RATES UP TO 3". FLASH FLOODING IS
CONSIDERED LIKELY FOR AREAS THAT HAVE RECEIVED 6-12" LOCALLY.

DISCUSSION...TWO AREAS OF THUNDERSTORMS -- ONE A BAND NEAR THE
LA/TX BORDER AND A SECOND A MORE DISORGANIZED CLUSTER ACROSS
SOUTH-CENTRAL TX -- HAVE BEEN SPREADING OUTWARD AT ~10 KTS BY A
GROWING COLD POOL ACROSS SOUTHEAST TX. HOURLY RAIN RATES AS OF
LATE HAVE BEEN CLOSE TO 2.5" (NEAR THE PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
IN THE REGION). LOCAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN BOTH AREAS ARE IN THE
6-9" RANGE, WITH 10-13" AMOUNTS INDICATED BY RADAR INLAND OF THE
MIDDLE TX COAST. DESPITE RAP FORECASTS TO THE CONTRARY,
CONVERGENT 850 HPA INFLOW IS SEEN ACROSS BOTH AREAS, WITH
INSTABILITY ON THE ORDER OF 1000-2000 J/KG SEEN ACROSS THE
NORTHWEST GULF AND LA WITH 2000-3000 J/KG CAPES ACROSS SOUTHERN
TX. VAD WIND PROFILES INDICATE 25-45 KT INFLOW INTO THE REGION,
2-3 TIMES THE MAGNITUDE OF THE MEAN 850-400 HPA WIND.

THERE IS A FAIRLY UNIFIED SIGNAL IN THE MESOSCALE GUIDANCE FOR
LOCAL 3-5" AMOUNTS NEAR THE TX/LA BORDER AND LOCAL 5-7" AMOUNTS
ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL TX THROUGH 00Z, WHICH COULD OCCUR WITHIN 2-3
HOURS. WITH HOURLY RAIN RATES UP TO 3" POSSIBLE, FLASH FLOODING
IS CONSIDERED LIKELY OVER QUICKLY SATURATING SOILS.

ROTH

ATTN...WFO...BRO...CRP...EWX...HGX...LCH...SHV...

[srainhoutx]

FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
144 PM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

LIBERTY TX-GALVESTON TX-CHAMBERS TX-
144 PM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN LIBERTY COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
NORTHEASTERN GALVESTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
CHAMBERS COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 445 PM CDT

* AT 142 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED HEAVY RAIN DUE TO SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS STREAMING NORTH INTO THE ADVISORY AREA. WITH THE
SOIL SATURATED IN MANY AREAS AND STANDING WATER IN OTHER THIS WILL
LEAD TO RAPID RUNOFF INTO LOW LYING ROADS AND AREAS.

THIS WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING IN THE ADVISORY AREA.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
ANAHUAC...OLD RIVER-WINFREE...COVE...HIGH ISLAND...BOLIVAR
PENINSULA...WINNIE...CRYSTAL BEACH...STOWELL...GILCHRIST...ROLLOVER
PASS...HANKAMER...OAK ISLAND AND WALLISVILLE.

[nuby3]

just noticed that NWS raised my Heavy Rain percentage from 50 to 80 for tonight.

[tireman4]

Me too.....80 percent. That would coincide with the Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion from the NWS Weather Prediction Center

[Baseballdude2915]

just noticed that NWS raised my Heavy Rain percentage from 50 to 80 for tonight.

They must think all the bands over Corpus will hold together and pull through here overnight.
That's going to be a mess if it does, slow moving and lots of life left. Bill isn't leaving us quietly.

[nuby3]

just noticed that NWS raised my Heavy Rain percentage from 50 to 80 for tonight.

They must think all the bands over Corpus will hold together and pull through here overnight.
That's going to be a mess if it does, slow moving and lots of life left. Bill isn't leaving us quietly.

I agree, and if that did happen, it would be a real mess. i'm not confident in anything right now lol.