August 2017: Looking Back at Harvey 5 Year Later

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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Rip76
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Joe Bastardi on Twitter.

"Weather doesnt stop cause of the eclipse..Harvey likely to ramp up as fast as Franklin did once leaving Yucatan. Texas should pay attention."
cperk
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Rip76 wrote:Joe Bastardi on Twitter.

"Weather doesnt stop cause of the eclipse..Harvey likely to ramp up as fast as Franklin did once leaving Yucatan. Texas should pay attention."
And that we on this forum will.
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DoctorMu
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GFS and GEFS ensemble see potential devastating rain in the Hill Country. Can't titrate mother nature, unfortunately.

Image

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HWRF has Harvey striking just south of the Valley.

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Eyes peeled.
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brooksgarner
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We are monitoring the flooding threat late this week for south/central Texas as the remnant tropical wave of Harvey is expected to redevelop into a tropical cyclone... As of today (Monday 8/21/17) EURO and GFS ensembles point to a south Texas solution as of latest runs, but that could change. For Houston we're more concerned about heavy rainfall potential from remnants of Harvey early next week, less so of an acute wind threat... yet.

GFS ENSEMBLE
gefs_AL09_2017082112.png
EURO ENSEMBLE
eps_AL09_2017082100.png
-Brooks
p.s. What a wild partial eclipse we all enjoyed!!
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jeff
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12Z ECWMF...eeek!

Shows massive rains with peak accumulations of 32 inches over portions of SE/SC TX. A tropical system moving up from the SSE into a frontal zone should be of concern in this state.

Even if the landfall is over NE MX...we have seen many times the real disaster is over TX from inland flooding.
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Rip76
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Hmmmm.

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Scott747
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18z gfs is further n at hr 60.....
Scott747
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Decent weakness with a more wnw/nw heading. Looks like this run will have a lower Texas coast hit.
Scott747
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Scott747 wrote:Decent weakness with a more wnw/nw heading. Looks like this run will have a lower Texas coast hit.
Off Corpus at hr 96 as a borderline cane and further weakness. Should slide up the coast just inland.

The trend is now clear...
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