MAY 2018 - Feelin Hot Hot Hot to end May

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Cromagnum
Posts: 2592
Joined: Thu Feb 03, 2011 10:42 pm
Contact:

Rosharon has once again missed the mark. A nice storm formed to the NE and SE of us, but both cells are moving due west leaving us dry slotted yet again. :evil:
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 5648
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

Much weaker seabreeze today. Only going to get hotter and drier for the next week. Hope the forecast changes. Maybe 0.1 in of rain yesterday. Nothing coming this way this afternoon.
unome
Posts: 3059
Joined: Fri Feb 12, 2010 6:11 pm

we just had another downpour, easily 5-7" for the last week - other nearby gauges show only 1.5-3"

I'm a happy camper, no watering for a bit at least

https://www.harriscountyfws.org/

Image
User avatar
Katdaddy
Global Moderator
Global Moderator
Posts: 2501
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 8:18 am
Location: League City, Tx
Contact:

A 40% chance of showers and a few thunderstorms along the Upper TX Coast today. Rain chances decrease for Saturday and Sunday as deeper moisture moves E and ridging builds across SE TX. Memorial Day is looking mostly sunny and hot.
Invest 90L is still likely to become the first named tropical cyclone of the 2018 hurricane season. Current model runs have a landfall between SE LA and NW FL. This would have very little effect on the Upper TX Coast except for sunny and hot weather due to subsidence and slightly higher seas offshore.
User avatar
tireman4
Global Moderator
Global Moderator
Posts: 4437
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 9:24 pm
Location: Humble, Texas
Contact:

Sub Tropical Trouble
Attachments
Sub Tropical Trouble 05 25 18.PNG
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 5648
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

tireman4 wrote:Sub Tropical Trouble
Yep - that's been on the radar for a week. The good and bad news is that the ridge will keep it away from Texas. High, dry, hot...and it's not even June yet. Austin will probably break 100°F in the coming week.
User avatar
srainhoutx
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 19611
Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 2:32 pm
Location: Maggie Valley, NC
Contact:

I received measurable rainfall for the last 5 days, excluding today. I am grateful for every drop that fell. The sprinkler system was turned off last Sunday morning. Happy Memorial Weekend folks. Never forget why we celebrate this time... ;)
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
User avatar
Katdaddy
Global Moderator
Global Moderator
Posts: 2501
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 8:18 am
Location: League City, Tx
Contact:

God’s skies are so very amazing and dynamic. Beautiful crepuscular rays from a tropical cumulus this evening.
Attachments
Screen Shot 2018-05-25 at 7.35.43 PM.png
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 5648
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

Katdaddy wrote:God’s skies are so very amazing and dynamic. Beautiful crepuscular rays from a tropical cumulus this evening.
East of I-45 they are seeing some wrap around showers from Alberto, moving SSE. Hoping to get lucky tomorrow.


Image
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 5648
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
353 PM CDT Sat May 26 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Lower level high pressure planted over the northwestern Gulf with
the very slight northwestward movement of Alberto and southwestern
upper ridging keeping eastern Texas under a pronounced northerly
flow pattern. Warm and muggy overnight conditions will be more
tolerable per an evening southerly breeze. As winds weaken below 5
knots under mainly clear skies...the probabilities for rural county
fog will be on the rise. Early Sunday patchy fog development will
likely be focused just north and west of Galveston Bay (sans the
metro area of course). As Alberto nears the Florida Panhandle
tomorrow afternoon there may be a weak disturbance that rotates
around his backside and clips extreme (south)eastern Texas. If
this weaker PVA does pass through from mid morning through late
afternoon it will be moving into a heated, fairly moist and
unstable environment. Thus, have low end POPs in place Sunday for
the southern two thirds of the forecast area to account for the
daily evolution of more numerous late morning into afternoon
scattered showers and thunder.
The main threats with the strongest
storms will be downburst winds. Small hail production and very
brief heavy rainfall rates leading to short term nuisance low-
lying area/roadway flooding.


Other than some slight chances for sea breeze convection Tuesday...
this near term through the extended period forecast strictly becomes
a temperature-themed affair. Relatively drier air moving in on
Monday and an amplifying northern Mexico upper ridge across the
state will likely place us under a heat wave throughout the
remaining days of the month. Subsequent days of greater than 90F
will likely break the most frequent days above 90s for the month
of May (currently at 15 for the month at IAH)...so odds are very
good that this year will replace 2003 for the top ranking. On a
more serious note...heat indices will certainly be dangerously
high. With maximum temperatures forecast in the middle to upper
90s by mid to late week, lower to middle 70 PM dew points,
relatively weaker winds and ample sun will push afternoon heat
indices into the Heat Advisory realm of 108 F or greater. Of
course, hydration and remaining in cooler environments during the
afternoon hours is key to your health. No matter your physical
conditioning it is recommended to limit any outdoor activity
during this coming week. 31
Post Reply
  • Information
  • Who is online

    Users browsing this forum: Ahrefs [Bot], Bing [Bot] and 92 guests