July 2018: Weekend/Early Next Week Rain Chances

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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srainhoutx
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redneckweather wrote:Not gonna happen. Radar trends no bueno.
Our only hope is with the shortwave in the NW flow aloft over Central Texas organizing a bit with the heat of the day, but other than that, you're probably right.

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davidiowx
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HRRR is showing development over most of Houston as the day progresses. I am def keeping my fingers crossed!
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jasons2k
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Man if this all slides off the the east and misses us again....

EDIT: I may get rain, I just might get rain....crossing fingers!!
Last edited by jasons2k on Tue Jul 31, 2018 10:09 am, edited 1 time in total.
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srainhoutx
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HGX reports waterspouts in the Gulf off Galveston.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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Katdaddy
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BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SPECIAL MARINE WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
955 AM CDT TUE JUL 31 2018

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR...
COASTAL WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT TX OUT 20 NM...
GALVESTON BAY...

* UNTIL 1030 AM CDT.

* AT 955 AM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING WATERSPOUTS WAS
LOCATED NEAR OFFATTS BAYOU...OR NEAR GALVESTON CAUSEWAY...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS.

HAZARD...WATERSPOUTS.

SOURCE...MARINE WEATHER SPOTTER.

IMPACT...WATERSPOUTS CAN EASILY OVERTURN BOATS AND CREATE LOCALLY
HAZARDOUS SEAS.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
NORTH JETTY...GALVESTON SHIP CHANNEL AND GALVESTON BAY ENTRANCE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE SUDDEN WATERSPOUTS. WATERSPOUTS CAN EASILY
OVERTURN BOATS AND CREATE LOCALLY HAZARDOUS SEAS. SEEK SAFE HARBOR
IMMEDIATELY.
BlueJay
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Ptarmigan wrote:A wet start to July.
One of my favorite posts for this month. It was made on July 9th.

I am hearing some thunder and hoping that we can finish off the month with a bit of rain.
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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1116 AM CDT TUE JUL 31 2018

GRIMES TX-WALLER TX-INLAND HARRIS TX-MONTGOMERY TX-AUSTIN TX-
1116 AM CDT TUE JUL 31 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN AUSTIN...SOUTHERN
GRIMES...EASTERN WASHINGTON...SOUTHEASTERN BRAZOS...SOUTHWESTERN
MONTGOMERY...WALLER AND NORTHWESTERN HARRIS COUNTIES UNTIL NOON
CDT...

AT 1116 AM CDT, DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR PINEHURST TO PINE ISLAND. MOVEMENT WAS
SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH AND PONDING OF LOW LYING AREAS WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
TOMBALL, NAVASOTA, HEMPSTEAD, PRAIRIE VIEW, PINEHURST, HOCKLEY,
WALLER, MAGNOLIA, PINE ISLAND, STAGECOACH, PATTISON, TODD MISSION,
WILLOWBROOK, CYPRESS, DOBBIN, MONAVILLE, DACUS
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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BlueJay
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:D We are getting soaked!
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jasons2k
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Don't want to jinx it, but the radar looks very promising right now. Please hold together!!!
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srainhoutx
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I am hearing rumbles of thunder for the first time since July 4th! The SPC has just updated the Convective Outlook to include a Marginal Risk for SE Texas.
Attachments
07312018 SPC day1otlk_20180731_1630_prt.gif
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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jasons2k
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It is pouring here. A good old-fashioned. Florida style. I am overjoyed :-) Happy dance!!
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srainhoutx
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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1151 AM CDT TUE JUL 31 2018

WALLER TX-NORTHERN LIBERTY TX-CHAMBERS TX-COASTAL HARRIS TX-
INLAND HARRIS TX-SOUTHERN LIBERTY TX-FORT BEND TX-MONTGOMERY TX-
AUSTIN TX-
1151 AM CDT TUE JUL 31 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL AUSTIN...
SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY...NORTH CENTRAL FORT BEND...NORTHWESTERN
CHAMBERS...SOUTHERN WALLER...SOUTHWESTERN LIBERTY AND NORTHERN HARRIS
COUNTIES UNTIL 1245 PM CDT...

AT 1150 AM CDT, DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES SOUTH OF PLUM GROVE TO 7 MILES SOUTH OF
PINE ISLAND. MOVEMENT WAS SOUTH AT 15 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS. HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL ALSO CAUSE REDUCED VISIBILITIES
AND PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HUMBLE, KATY, TOMBALL, JERSEY VILLAGE, DAYTON, SEALY, BROOKSHIRE,
NORTHSIDE / NORTHLINE, KINGWOOD, SPRING BRANCH NORTH, GREATER
GREENSPOINT, SPRING, BARRETT, ALDINE, SPRING BRANCH WEST, ADDICKS
PARK TEN, NORTHWESTERN GREATER HEIGHTS, NEAR NORTHSIDE HOUSTON,
HOCKLEY AND CROSBY.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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Rip76
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Liquid Gold..
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jasons2k
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1.23" after the first big storm. Still a 2nd line up to the north if it can hold together...
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BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1221 PM CDT TUE JUL 31 2018

The National Weather Service in League City has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Northwestern Galveston County in southeastern Texas...
Northeastern Brazoria County in southeastern Texas...
Southeastern Harris County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 1245 PM CDT.

* At 1221 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Northshore,
or over Jacinto City, moving southeast at 35 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
Pasadena, eastern Pearland, League City, Friendswood, La Porte,
Deer Park, Alvin, Dickinson, South Houston, Seabrook, Galena Park,
Jacinto City, Webster, Kemah, Cloverleaf, South Belt / Ellington,
Greater Fifth Ward, Greater Hobby Area, Clear Lake and Channelview.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.
Andrew
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Haven't been this happy for rain in a while. Radar is doing a good job of showing 50-60kt winds just east of Houston racing south/southeast. Pretty impressive line overall.
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Jut saw a 22 MPH wind gust in Northern Brazoria Co. It's getting dark outside. =8-0
Gene Beaird,
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Radar Update
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tireman4
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000
FXUS64 KHGX 311735
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1235 PM CDT Tue Jul 31 2018

.AVIATION...
A strong to severe storm is currently progressing through IAH and
approaching HOU and SGR. Winds in excess of 50 knots are possible
in some areas with torrential rainfall, frequent lightning, and
ponding on runways. Visibilities can get as low as 1/4 sm in the
heaviest areas. This storm should progress through the southern
terminals through 20Z.

Outflow behind this storm, combined with other outflow boundaries
and the sea breeze, will allow shower and thunderstorm coverage to
continue through the early evening with gusty winds and heavy
rainfall. We return to VFR late this evening with calmer
northerly winds as a cold front passes through Southeast Texas.

22
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srainhoutx
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Just shy of 1 inch in the gage. Need another 10th or 2 take make an inch official in my backyard.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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