EARLY INPUT FOR FALL WEATHER

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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snowman65
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interesting....
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snowman65
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Relief on the way???
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TXWeatherMan
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The GFS is hinting at a front coming down around the 22nd, followed by a better one on the 27th. I hope it pans out because this heat is getting unbearable, but I’m not getting my hopes up.
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srainhoutx
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The overnight Euro does show a weak front around September 21/22, but nothing earth shattering. I continue to be cautious with the various computer schemes as the Hemispheric pattern looks to be transitioning to a volatile setup. A very vigorous Convectively Coupled Kelvin Wave is moving our way across the Pacific and there are some indications the MJO may actually wake up and move into a favorable phase in our side of the Globe for increased tropical development potential. That said we are midway through the month of September and a transition to Fall is a certainty as the days getting increasingly shorter.
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09122019 MJO ECMF_phase_MANOM_51m_small.gif
09122019 MJO GEFS diagram_40days_forecast_GEFS_member.gif
09122019 CCKW twc_mjoCCKW_vp200.png
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snowman65
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Looks like we're just going to go straight from summer to winter at some point. have we ever NOT had a fall season? lol
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