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Temperature and Latitude Analysis to Predict Potential Spread and Seasonality for COVID-19

Posted: Sun Mar 15, 2020 10:58 am
by Ptarmigan
Temperature and Latitude Analysis to Predict Potential Spread and Seasonality for COVID-19
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm ... id=3550308

COVID-19 is mostly striking areas between 30 to 50 degrees latitude, like Wuhan, Daegu, Northern Iran, Northern Italy, Seattle, and New York City.

Re: Temperature and Latitude Analysis to Predict Potential Spread and Seasonality for COVID-19

Posted: Sun Mar 15, 2020 4:20 pm
by jasons2k
Thank you for posting this. I have been looking for an analysis like this.

Re: Temperature and Latitude Analysis to Predict Potential Spread and Seasonality for COVID-19

Posted: Sun Mar 15, 2020 6:55 pm
by Ptarmigan
jasons2k wrote: Sun Mar 15, 2020 4:20 pm Thank you for posting this. I have been looking for an analysis like this.
Your welcome Jason. COVID-19 is on everyone's mind. I will be keeping an eye on COVID-19 and weather related articles.

Re: Temperature and Latitude Analysis to Predict Potential Spread and Seasonality for COVID-19

Posted: Sun Mar 15, 2020 7:03 pm
by Ptarmigan
Deep dive: Coronavirus vs. population and temperatures
https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather- ... res/701036

Interesting article. Some highly populated areas are affected by COVID-19 like China, South Korea, Japan, Iran, Italy, Spain, and France. Same goes with Seattle, New York City, and Boston. India on the other hand has not seen many cases.

There are other factors that come to play.

Re: Temperature and Latitude Analysis to Predict Potential Spread and Seasonality for COVID-19

Posted: Sun Mar 15, 2020 10:47 pm
by Ptarmigan
Why do dozens of diseases wax and wane with the seasons—and will COVID-19?
https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/03 ... l-covid-19

Long, but interesting read. SARS was contained due to intensive containment efforts. MERS jumps from camel to humans. Coronaviruses often cause colds, which occur in the winter. Coronavirus colds rarely occur in the summer. It is unknown if COVID-19 will be like other coronaviruses. There have been transmission in Singapore, but not widespread like in Wuhan, Daegu, Milan, Tehran, Madrid, London, Seattle, and New York City.

Re: Temperature and Latitude Analysis to Predict Potential Spread and Seasonality for COVID-19

Posted: Mon Mar 16, 2020 7:08 pm
by unome
thank you 4 this, Ptarmigan

ps - I also "heart" Josh https://twitter.com/iCyclone/status/1239657819541929984

Re: Temperature and Latitude Analysis to Predict Potential Spread and Seasonality for COVID-19

Posted: Wed Mar 18, 2020 11:16 pm
by Ptarmigan
Increased UV exposure may limit spread of new coronavirus
https://www.accuweather.com/en/health-w ... rus/703393

Spring and Summer is coming. It could curb the spread of COVID-19.

Re: Temperature and Latitude Analysis to Predict Potential Spread and Seasonality for COVID-19

Posted: Wed Mar 18, 2020 11:17 pm
by Ptarmigan
unome wrote: Mon Mar 16, 2020 7:08 pm thank you 4 this, Ptarmigan

ps - I also "heart" Josh https://twitter.com/iCyclone/status/1239657819541929984
Your welcome Unome. Thank you for the Twitter link.

Re: Temperature and Latitude Analysis to Predict Potential Spread and Seasonality for COVID-19

Posted: Wed Mar 18, 2020 11:19 pm
by Ptarmigan
New study says 'high temperature and high relative humidity significantly reduce' spread of COVID-19
https://www.accuweather.com/en/health-w ... -19/703418

Heat and humidity could reduce the spread of COVID-19.

Re: Temperature and Latitude Analysis to Predict Potential Spread and Seasonality for COVID-19

Posted: Sat Mar 21, 2020 1:29 pm
by Ptarmigan
Increased UV exposure may limit spread of new coronavirus
https://www.accuweather.com/en/health-w ... rus/703393

As we approach summer, there is more ultraviolet radiation from the Sun. It could reduce the spread of COVID-19.