I’m about to bust a cap in that cap’s ###
April 2020
And just like clockwork, we had 70% for tomorrow and now 40% for tomorrow...soo tired of this routine. We actually had some decent QPF coverage for Beaumont at one time.
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
I've been watering my lawn all day.
It’s just very strange to see a disturbance get together so well in the southern part of the Hill Country and then just fizzle out in the evening hours once it gets to SETX. Not sure I’ve seen that before.
Are we (amateurs and promets, alike) just missing something atmospherically, at the mesoscale perhaps, that has thrown things off? The dynamics seem to be there, but it seems like there is some unspoken cap in place that just throws a kink in the whole thing. A common theme as everyone has pointed out at one time or another that rain chances even 3 days out are favorable, only to see them drop to nil or the bear minimum 20%.
I still have hope being in far northwest Cypress but every model busted big time on this one so far. Timing is way off, today was supposed to be storms all afternoon into the evening and here we are with a radar that’s about 10 hours behind the models. Hopefully it comes together and pushes into the areas with some decent rains.
Hi JDsGN, may I ask what models you were looking at that had storms coming in 10 hours earlier than now? HRRR, NAM, WRF and RGEM all had in their operational runs yesterday (00z-18z) along with the runs today didn't have thunderstorms moving into the SE TX region until after 00z (7:00pm). NWS HGX mentioned this as well in previous forecast. Most of today was supposed to be fairly cloudy with isolated showers possible.JDsGN wrote: ↑Fri Apr 03, 2020 5:10 pm I still have hope being in far northwest Cypress but every model busted big time on this one so far. Timing is way off, today was supposed to be storms all afternoon into the evening and here we are with a radar that’s about 10 hours behind the models. Hopefully it comes together and pushes into the areas with some decent rains.
As far as current time: the little bit of peaks of sunshine through parts of the area today helped rise temperatures into the low 80s (82F out in Katy) to provide a bit more instability over our area. Pretty solid width of rain/thunderstorms out west and heading our way. Severe threat looks relatively low with the loss of daytime heating, but areas west of I-45 will likely get the most out of this as it slowly begins to lose its punch.
Blake
Boomer Sooner
Boomer Sooner
Watched Fox 26 and KPRC last night , both had multiple models showing storms to the southwest this morning and storms for us early afternoon and pushing past northwest Harris county by 7. The southwest storms started this afternoon instead. One was even earlier and one was a bit later. Can’t tell you which was which but rain was predicted to start early afternoon on both forecast. At least it’s raining a bit at my place now.Belmer wrote: ↑Fri Apr 03, 2020 6:35 pmHi JDsGN, may I ask what models you were looking at that had storms coming in 10 hours earlier than now? HRRR, NAM, WRF and RGEM all had in their operational runs yesterday (00z-18z) along with the runs today didn't have thunderstorms moving into the SE TX region until after 00z (7:00pm). NWS HGX mentioned this as well in previous forecast. Most of today was supposed to be fairly cloudy with isolated showers possible.JDsGN wrote: ↑Fri Apr 03, 2020 5:10 pm I still have hope being in far northwest Cypress but every model busted big time on this one so far. Timing is way off, today was supposed to be storms all afternoon into the evening and here we are with a radar that’s about 10 hours behind the models. Hopefully it comes together and pushes into the areas with some decent rains.
As far as current time: the little bit of peaks of sunshine through parts of the area today helped rise temperatures into the low 80s (82F out in Katy) to provide a bit more instability over our area. Pretty solid width of rain/thunderstorms out west and heading our way. Severe threat looks relatively low with the loss of daytime heating, but areas west of I-45 will likely get the most out of this as it slowly begins to lose its punch.
Just mist here. All the heavier stuff (once again) headed north of us or just vanishing on radar. This pattern blows.
KPRC - they love the RPM. I never quite understood their reliance on it.
It’s been raining pretty hard here for about an hour and a half. Looks like .75 so far. Had a lightning bolt hit the street light outside. I know my parents place was in need of rain in central west Austin county and they are getting a good training rain as well right now.
Some nice soaking rains here in Richmond area. Just what we needed and hope it stays this way through the night 
I’ve had over 1/2” here with more rain in the forecast. Our friends on the SW side of Austin got totally dumped on. Oak Hill baseball fields flooded. Y’all take care.
Just enough to make my driveway damp. Hope we get a better chance in coming days.
opening windows & airing out the house while it's cool with low pollen & a break in the rain - pollen #s crank back up tomorrow - so thankful for that cleansing rain
https://www.pollen.com/map/tx
https://preview.weather.gov/edd/resourc ... ined|1#%2F
https://www.pollen.com/map/tx
https://preview.weather.gov/edd/resourc ... ined|1#%2F
RAIN!!!
Thank God...
Thank God...
Looks like it's all gonna go north again...
Well, I finally found the voodoo curse to fix the issue. I caught a nail in my tire and have to fix a flat so now its pouring. Yall can thank me later.