November 2020

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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DoctorMu
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After a nice stretch, it looks like there will be some A/C over the next few days. In November. Here we go again - another non-winter.
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snowman65
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everyone complaining about the lack of winter...again....you knew it would be this way...again...it's La Nina...it's like knowing months in advance there would be voter fraud...and now it's here lol
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jasons2k
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Temps don’t bother me at all. I’ll take this over freezing. I just want some rain in the forecast - I’m afraid before long we’re gonna see us painted on the USDA drought monitor. I hope this La Nina comes and goes.
Cromagnum
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When October is supposed to be one of our rainier months and I'm having to drag a sprinkler around its pretty crap.
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DoctorMu
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Cromagnum wrote: Thu Nov 05, 2020 3:29 pm When October is supposed to be one of our rainier months and I'm having to drag a sprinkler around its pretty crap.
"Fortunately" brown patch despite repeated fungicide apps has taken over a lot of the front years. I'm waving the white flag. :lol:

A/C and water bills are ridiculous in the Brazos Valley in the summer. Houston sees a lot more cloud cover, even if it doesn't rain. My wallet needs a rest.

We've had some reinforcing dry air that may keep the A/C from needing significant use.
Kingwood36
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Well I would like to atleast wear a jacket for 2 weeks this winter..is that to much to ask for?
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jasons2k
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Kingwood36 wrote: Thu Nov 05, 2020 9:53 pm Well I would like to atleast wear a jacket for 2 weeks this winter..is that to much to ask for?
You’ll get to, don’t worry, it’s barely into November ;)
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Katdaddy
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A beautiful warm Fall weekend for SE TX. No concern for TD Eta which will be rainmaker for Florida and the EGOM this weekend and into next week
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tropiKal
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Just give it a decade or two - mangroves will forest the Texas coast, and Houston will be struggling to dip below 55 in winter.
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MontgomeryCoWx
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I’d rather November be warm than December. In La Niña years, with a cold 1+2 and warm GOA, we usually run cold air in 3-4 week cycles.

Winter should be dry but there will be 2-3 shots of cold air that will dwarf last Winter.

Recently, La Niña delivered our Winter events despite being warmer than average Winters.
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TXWeatherMan
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tropiKal wrote: Fri Nov 06, 2020 6:28 pm Just give it a decade or two - mangroves will forest the Texas coast, and Houston will be struggling to dip below 55 in winter.
The mangrove part sounds good, but not dipping below 55 in the winter doesn’t sound that great lol.
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DoctorMu
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TXWeatherMan wrote: Sat Nov 07, 2020 2:31 pm
tropiKal wrote: Fri Nov 06, 2020 6:28 pm Just give it a decade or two - mangroves will forest the Texas coast, and Houston will be struggling to dip below 55 in winter.
The mangrove part sounds good, but not dipping below 55 in the winter doesn’t sound that great lol.
Averages may slowly climb, although cc effects are less in TX than say ND...but we're going to get occasional sub-freezing dips, because of the Great Plains - very little to stop shallow cold air.
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srainhoutx
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There will never be mangrove in Texas...period.
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jasons2k
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srainhoutx wrote: Sat Nov 07, 2020 7:11 pm There will never be mangrove in Texas...period.
They have been creeping up the coast for decades. They’re very prevalent near Port Aransas now - I’ve seen it myself - and some stands are even getting established near Galveston.

https://uh.edu/mangrove/
Models predict that an increase in winter minimum temperatures of 2-4° C may lead to black mangroves replacing salt marsh on 100% of the Texas coast and 95% of the Louisiana coast (Osland et al. 2013).
Last edited by jasons2k on Sun Nov 08, 2020 9:24 am, edited 2 times in total.
TXWeatherMan
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srainhoutx wrote: Sat Nov 07, 2020 7:11 pm There will never be mangrove in Texas...period.
I don’t think so either, but it would be good for fishing
kyzsl51
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Wtf is mangrove?? 🤣🤣
TXWeatherMan
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kyzsl51 wrote: Sat Nov 07, 2020 8:50 pm Wtf is mangrove?? 🤣🤣
A plant that grows along the coast and bays, mainly in south Florida and very tropical places.
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snowman65
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how did y'all like our winter this year?
redneckweather
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snowman65 wrote: Sat Nov 07, 2020 10:54 pm how did y'all like our winter this year?
Typical La Nina but I think we all will be in for a wintry surprise or two this winter which isn't here yet. I'm not too fond of El Nino winters down here. They typically give us cold (not cold enough for wintry precip) and wet weather which gets in the bones. Those deep Canadian fronts just don't penetrate far enough south in El Nino winters to give us a good shot of cold air for wintry precip, at least it seems that way to me.

I'm liking our chances this winter where fronts can't penetrate deep into the south. All we will need is some moisture to work with.
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jasons2k
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This photo is from a fishing trip I took down in Port A back in 2015. That’s mangrove. I don’t have more pictures but in other places, there were massive groves of mangroves that had overtaken a lot of the old fishing camps.

By the way the fishing is great by the mangroves. And they filter the water, too.
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