January 2021

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
cperk
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DoctorMu wrote: Sun Jan 03, 2021 2:06 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Sun Jan 03, 2021 1:43 pm
Kingwood36 wrote: Sun Jan 03, 2021 1:39 pm

And im guessing nothing here...
North of I-10 there’s some. Rain south of there.

Interesting development...
That is getting close to us. :)
Kingwood36
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cperk wrote: Sun Jan 03, 2021 3:26 pm
DoctorMu wrote: Sun Jan 03, 2021 2:06 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Sun Jan 03, 2021 1:43 pm

North of I-10 there’s some. Rain south of there.

Interesting development...
That is getting close to us. :)
It will be gone by tonight or tomorrow...just rain here lol
Cpv17
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18z GFS has two systems to watch.
harp
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Cpv17 wrote: Sun Jan 03, 2021 5:43 pm 18z GFS has two systems to watch.
You in the Houston area?
Cpv17
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harp wrote: Sun Jan 03, 2021 5:45 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Sun Jan 03, 2021 5:43 pm 18z GFS has two systems to watch.
You in the Houston area?
One hour southwest of Houston.
harp
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Cpv17 wrote: Sun Jan 03, 2021 6:13 pm
harp wrote: Sun Jan 03, 2021 5:45 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Sun Jan 03, 2021 5:43 pm 18z GFS has two systems to watch.
You in the Houston area?
One hour southwest of Houston.
Ok. I'm just west of New Orleans. Many times, what the Houston area gets, we get the next day. We are about the same latitude.
Last edited by harp on Sun Jan 03, 2021 9:21 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Kingwood36
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"Looking interesting for Texas the next two weekends. GFS has winter weather down to SE TX the following weekend. We'll see.."

Well you know there is atleast a chance when wxman57 mentions southeast tx...
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MontgomeryCoWx
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GFS would deliver a Winter Storm on the 3 year anniversary of our last measurable Winter event here. Mid January 2018
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TexasBreeze
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Well back to the drawing board - re: gfs 0z
Cpv17
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TexasBreeze wrote: Sun Jan 03, 2021 10:40 pm Well back to the drawing board - re: gfs 0z
The CMC has it now. Euro up next. I think by Wednesday we’ll know a lot more.
redneckweather
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CMC is money for Southeast Texas and surrounding areas.
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DoctorMu
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Cpv17 wrote: Mon Jan 04, 2021 12:14 am
TexasBreeze wrote: Sun Jan 03, 2021 10:40 pm Well back to the drawing board - re: gfs 0z
The CMC has it now. Euro up next. I think by Wednesday we’ll know a lot more.
GEM bringing it hard with the Euro.

Canadian has 2 low to mid teen nights after the winter storm. This could be an interesting next few days.
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redneckweather
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CMC and GFS keep the frozen stuff well north of Southeast Texas around the 10th. That looks more plausible.
Kingwood36
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redneckweather wrote: Mon Jan 04, 2021 11:20 am CMC and GFS keep the frozen stuff well north of Southeast Texas around the 10th. That looks more plausible.
Not suprised
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don
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12z EURO still shows a winter storm down to the I-10 corridor fwiw. And the reason why is the placement of the low,on the EURO the low is further south in the gulf which allows cold air advection to spill in while the low brings in moisture from the gulf. While the CMC and GFS have the low inland which keeps us on the warm side of the storm due to warm air advection from the gulf.Which is what happened with last weeks storm system as the gulf low tracked inland. The placement and direction of the gulf low will be very important in determining who gets snow or just rain.
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redneckweather
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don wrote: Mon Jan 04, 2021 1:06 pm 12z EURO still shows a winter storm down to the I-10 corridor fwiw. And the reason why is the placement of the low,on the EURO the low is further south in the gulf which allows cold air advection to spill in while the low brings in moisture from the gulf. While the CMC and GFS have the low inland which keeps us on the warm side of the storm due to warm air advection from the gulf.Which is what happened with last weeks storm system as the gulf low tracked inland. The placement and direction of the gulf low will be very important in determining who gets snow or just rain.

Make it happen Don, the entire weather board is counting on you. No pressure.😀
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don
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redneckweather wrote: Mon Jan 04, 2021 1:54 pm
don wrote: Mon Jan 04, 2021 1:06 pm 12z EURO still shows a winter storm down to the I-10 corridor fwiw. And the reason why is the placement of the low,on the EURO the low is further south in the gulf which allows cold air advection to spill in while the low brings in moisture from the gulf. While the CMC and GFS have the low inland which keeps us on the warm side of the storm due to warm air advection from the gulf.Which is what happened with last weeks storm system as the gulf low tracked inland. The placement and direction of the gulf low will be very important in determining who gets snow or just rain.

Make it happen Don, the entire weather board is counting on you. No pressure.😀
LOL I'll try ;) :D
Kingwood36
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Is it more or does storm2k texas winter weather thread have a Dallas bias? Or is it just me?
Cpv17
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Kingwood36 wrote: Mon Jan 04, 2021 3:55 pm Is it more or does storm2k texas winter weather thread have a Dallas bias? Or is it just me?
The majority of the people on there are from the DFW area so that’s why.
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MontgomeryCoWx
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They are good people, but a heavy focus on North and West Texas.

There are some signals out there that the next 6 weeks could be very, very active. The subtrop jet stays busy, and the cold in Siberia looks to transition over to our side of the globe mid-late month. Omega block locks us in through February.

Weeklies looked insane yesterday. It looked more like Oklahoma City (for SE Texas) than anything else.
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