February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Warmup Begins

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Cromagnum
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Stratton20 wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 8:04 pm https://images.weatherbell.com/model/hr ... 0rioVE.png
Holy moly check out the 00z HRRR model!
Dry slotted for me. Hoping that doesn't happen. Will be miserable to deal with thr pipe busting cold and nothing to show for it.
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jasons2k
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It is colder in Bay City, Palacios, and Port Lavaca -- even Corpus and points south - than it is up here at my place. Crazy.
Last edited by jasons2k on Sat Feb 13, 2021 8:11 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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srainhoutx
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00Z HRRR ice and snow.
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weatherguy425
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jasons2k wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 8:06 pm It is colder in Bay City, Palacios, and Port Lavaca -- even Corpus and points south - than it is up here at my place. Crazy.
Physics (density) at its best. So interesting to see!
txsnowmaker
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tireman4 wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 7:50 pm Live from swim meet ..do you think the NWS estimates are underestimated on accumulations?
Yes
jerryh421
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srainhoutx wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 8:07 pm 00Z HRRR ice and snow.
Love the snowier trend! I hope it continues! :)
txsnowmaker
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srainhoutx wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 8:07 pm 00Z HRRR ice and snow.
Perfect.
Cpv17
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Look out to our south and west. The radar is beginning to light up folks!!
txbear
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I’m curious what the aircraft soundings are looking like.
txsnowmaker
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Kingwood36
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How is that low out in the gulf looking on Monday? Is it still forecast to move further away from the coast and further into the gulf?
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jasons2k
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Temp steady here for the last two hours.
kyzsl51
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Looks like it's been the same pretty much throughout the state...don't worry the boundary will come!
Cromagnum
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Fox has it getting to 40 and back to normal by Wednesday and for the rest of the week.
Kingwood36
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Cromagnum wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 9:54 pm Fox has it getting to 40 and back to normal by Wednesday and for the rest of the week.
I wouldn't trust fox or "Dr" jim...
Cromagnum
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Kingwood36 wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 9:55 pm
Cromagnum wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 9:54 pm Fox has it getting to 40 and back to normal by Wednesday and for the rest of the week.
I wouldn't trust fox or "Dr" jim...
Oh I dont.
Stratton20
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https://images.weatherbell.com/model/gf ... 13VQf4.png
00 GFS. run has heavy accumulating snow as far south as columbus, katy, houston etc. Showing some impressive amounts!!
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jasons2k
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Cromagnum wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 9:55 pm
Kingwood36 wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 9:55 pm
Cromagnum wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 9:54 pm Fox has it getting to 40 and back to normal by Wednesday and for the rest of the week.
I wouldn't trust fox or "Dr" jim...
Oh I dont.
I have my days....when I wish I had become an OCM. I think I could do a better job than some folks in the local market, but not naming names...

I'm pretty good at public speaking (so I'm often told after presentations). I've also been told I do a decent job of taking complex/technical/scientific information and explaining it in ways that anyone can understand.
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Ptarmigan
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The UK forecasts sub zero temperatures. :shock: :o
https://weather.us/model-charts/gbr/244 ... 1200z.html

The forecast models are all over the place.
Last edited by Ptarmigan on Sat Feb 13, 2021 10:26 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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tireman4
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jasons2k wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 10:16 pm
Cromagnum wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 9:55 pm
Kingwood36 wrote: Sat Feb 13, 2021 9:55 pm

I wouldn't trust fox or "Dr" jim...
Oh I dont.
I have my days....when I wish I had become an OCM. I think I could do a better job than some folks in the local market, but not naming names...

I'm pretty good at public speaking (so I'm often told after presentations). I've also been told I do a decent job of taking complex/technical/scientific information and explaining it in ways that anyone can understand.


Well, there is. online.msstate.edu...:)
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