April 2021

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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srainhoutx
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Re: April 2021

Post by srainhoutx » Thu Apr 15, 2021 7:17 pm

txbear wrote:
Thu Apr 15, 2021 7:06 pm
srainhoutx wrote:
Thu Apr 15, 2021 6:49 pm
I'm seeing some impressive hail reports from Montgomery County and Tomball. Not sure why the whining from some folks... ;)
Didnt complain about not getting hailed on. Said it before, been there done that. Seen the dents and damage.

Just opined on not feeling great about opportunity for rain tomorrow. Think that’s a fair statement given the lack of rain thus far.
Don't mind me. I'm warming up under my electric blanket with the heater running after covering my vegetable garden for a frost in the morning! :D
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Re: April 2021

Post by txbear » Fri Apr 16, 2021 7:39 am

srainhoutx wrote:
Thu Apr 15, 2021 7:17 pm
txbear wrote:
Thu Apr 15, 2021 7:06 pm
srainhoutx wrote:
Thu Apr 15, 2021 6:49 pm
I'm seeing some impressive hail reports from Montgomery County and Tomball. Not sure why the whining from some folks... ;)
Didnt complain about not getting hailed on. Said it before, been there done that. Seen the dents and damage.

Just opined on not feeling great about opportunity for rain tomorrow. Think that’s a fair statement given the lack of rain thus far.
Don't mind me. I'm warming up under my electric blanket with the heater running after covering my vegetable garden for a frost in the morning! :D
Carry on, srain. That is some fine mid-April weather y'all are having in the Appalachian's. Bottle it up for us folks down here. Cheers.

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don
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Re: April 2021

Post by don » Fri Apr 16, 2021 8:30 am

The latest HRRR and NAM models don't look too bad,they have scattered thunderstorms this afternoon,with much more widespread rain with tomorrows disturbance.Looks like tomorrows disturbance is more potent than what the models thought earlier.

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don
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Re: April 2021

Post by don » Fri Apr 16, 2021 9:03 am

12z mesocale models,some are even showing storm training tomorrow.
Attachments
Screenshot_2021-04-16 Models HRRR — Pivotal Weather.png
Screenshot_2021-04-16 Models NAM 3km CONUS — Pivotal Weather.png
Screenshot_2021-04-16 Models HRW NMMB — Pivotal Weather.png

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Re: April 2021

Post by Cromagnum » Fri Apr 16, 2021 11:25 am

Down to 40% today. Just misty which at least won't let it get any drier, but not what we need down here really.

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Re: April 2021

Post by JDsGN » Fri Apr 16, 2021 6:31 pm

Man I was really hoping we would get that 1-2” this week but it just didn’t happen. We got a 1/4” or here in Fairfield. Is the HRRR still looking healthier tomorrow ?

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Re: April 2021

Post by Cpv17 » Fri Apr 16, 2021 11:48 pm

Man the 0z GFS looks amazing tonight!! Lock it in!

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Re: April 2021

Post by Kingwood36 » Sat Apr 17, 2021 9:37 am

How long is this suppose to last before it pushes out of here

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Re: April 2021

Post by Cpv17 » Sat Apr 17, 2021 9:46 am

Kingwood36 wrote:
Sat Apr 17, 2021 9:37 am
How long is this suppose to last before it pushes out of here
It’s going to be a close call on your event tonight. Could very well be some light rain still around Brazoria county this evening.

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Re: April 2021

Post by don » Sat Apr 17, 2021 11:03 am

Global models have been consistently showing a potent storm system moving into Texas next Friday.They differ though on how progressive the system will be at this time.A more progressive system would mean less rainfall but a higher chance of severe weather.While a weaker system that's slower would pose more of a flash flood threat which is what the GFS has been showing,while the ICON,CMC, and EURO show a more potent and progressive system more conductive for severe weather.Bears watch as late next week we could have our first significant storm of the Spring season.

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