April 2021

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Cpv17
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Re: April 2021

Post by Cpv17 » Sat Apr 17, 2021 11:56 am

don wrote:
Sat Apr 17, 2021 11:03 am
Global models have been consistently showing a potent storm system moving into Texas next Friday.They differ though on how progressive the system will be at this time.A more progressive system would mean less rainfall but a higher chance of severe weather.While a weaker system that's slower would pose more of a flash flood threat which is what the GFS has been showing,while the ICON,CMC, and EURO show a more potent and progressive system more conductive for severe weather.Bears watch as late next week we could have our first significant storm of the Spring season.
I’ve been noticing this the past few days on the models. Last nights 0z run of the GFS looked great and then woke up this morning to crickets on the 6z GFS lol

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don
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Re: April 2021

Post by don » Sat Apr 17, 2021 12:26 pm

12z GFS looks very wet with training along the I-10 corridor through Louisiana.

Cromagnum
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Re: April 2021

Post by Cromagnum » Sat Apr 17, 2021 1:21 pm

Less than a quarter inch through all 3 days of this so far. What a joke.

Cpv17
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Re: April 2021

Post by Cpv17 » Sat Apr 17, 2021 1:44 pm

Not much on the Euro. GFS looks much better and even then the GFS only has about an inch of rain for areas south of 10 for the next two weeks.

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Re: April 2021

Post by Cpv17 » Sat Apr 17, 2021 1:54 pm

Cromagnum wrote:
Sat Apr 17, 2021 1:21 pm
Less than a quarter inch through all 3 days of this so far. What a joke.
We got about half an inch here. At my job in Rosenberg though they probably got about 2”.

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djmike
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Re: April 2021

Post by djmike » Sat Apr 17, 2021 3:19 pm

Is this rain evaporating before hitting the ground? Doesnt seem to be much falling compared to radar.
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)

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don
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Re: April 2021

Post by don » Sat Apr 17, 2021 5:18 pm

djmike wrote:
Sat Apr 17, 2021 3:19 pm
Is this rain evaporating before hitting the ground? Doesnt seem to be much falling compared to radar.
Yep it seems to be virga, i noticed the same thing.

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DoctorMu
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Re: April 2021

Post by DoctorMu » Sat Apr 17, 2021 6:42 pm

May's gonna suck, but a beautiful week ahead, then showers on Friday.

Got about 1/2 inch out of the last front. The hail's done a number though on my rain gauge. Time for a new one!

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Re: April 2021

Post by Cpv17 » Sat Apr 17, 2021 7:16 pm

DoctorMu wrote:
Sat Apr 17, 2021 6:42 pm
May's gonna suck, but a beautiful week ahead, then showers on Friday.

Got about 1/2 inch out of the last front. The hail's done a number though on my rain gauge. Time for a new one!
We better get some rain and storms in May or else we’ll probably be in for a long dry hot summer.

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Rip76
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Re: April 2021

Post by Rip76 » Sat Apr 17, 2021 7:38 pm

I don’t remember (because last April was so weird/Covid, etc), but was it this cool, this late in April last year?

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