May 2021:

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Iceresistance
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There is a marginal risk of Storms in Western Texas & Western Oklahoma for storms that will try to go up, but the Cap is too strong, it looks like that Kansas will have the first May Severe Weather event, the STPC (Significant Tornado Parameter Composite) is higher up there & into Missouri, but the STPC is too low (And the Cap) across Oklahoma & Texas will only give out the Marginal risk across Texas & Oklahoma, the uncertainty is just too high! First Post

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Cpv17
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Could have a wet next few days ahead. Both the GFS and Euro are showing potential for 2-4” widespread.
Cpv17
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Wow on the latest Euro run :o definitely going to open some eyes.
Iceresistance
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Enhanced risk from East-Central Texas (Lufkin) to Memphis, TN at the Mississippi . . .

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Cromagnum
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Post it please? I'm only seeing 10-20% until Tuesday, then 60% chance then back to dry.
Cpv17
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Cromagnum wrote: Sun May 09, 2021 12:01 pm Post it please? I'm only seeing 10-20% until Tuesday, then 60% chance then back to dry.
Models don’t really show too much for this week. Maybe half an inch to one inch south of 10. 1-3” north of 10. The Euro however shows a much bigger system late into next weekend/beginning of next week.
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DoctorMu
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djmike
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Grrr. Why is everything staying north? This is so frustrating. Have not seen a drop so far for May in Beaumont so far. Seems like Beaumont southward just doesn’t get storms anymore this time of year, like our highway of storms we always got 5-10 years ago has shifted northward. Always forecasting 60-90% for us then when the system enters our area, poof.
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
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djmike
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Had 80% overnight for me and it all stayed north, now 20% chance. Smh
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
Iceresistance
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Long-Range models are hinting a potential Outbreak across the Southern Plains Later this week, this coming weekend & into Next Week, but the agreement is too low for this moment . . .

But right now, it's only 50ºF, urgh . . . It's acting more like March than May! :x
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