May 2021:

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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DoctorMu
Posts: 5647
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
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Very heavy rain here at A&M. Evidently light rain at home.
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DoctorMu
Posts: 5647
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
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No hail here, but lots of wind and rain.

Message: NOAA-NWS-ALERTS-TX1261A05769F8.SevereThunderstormWarning.1261A05777A4TX.HGXSVRHGX.589148d75cacc57ce36cd20d969fe874 from w-nws.webmaster@noaa.gov
Sent: 16:10 CDT on 05-11-2021
Effective: 16:10 CDT on 05-11-2021
Expires: 16:45 CDT on 05-11-2021
Event: Severe Thunderstorm Warning
Alert:
The National Weather Service in League City has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Northwestern Grimes County in southeastern Texas...
East central Burleson County in southeastern Texas...
Southeastern Brazos County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 445 PM CDT.

* At 410 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near College
Station, moving east at 25 mph.
HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage
to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
College Station, Millican, Kyle Field, Wellborn and Carlos.
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
Instructions: For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building.
Target Area:
Brazos
Burleson
Grimes
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jasons2k
Posts: 5360
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 12:54 pm
Location: Imperial Oaks
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Mesoscale Discussion 0595
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0437 PM CDT Tue May 11 2021

Areas affected...East-central Texas and far southwest Louisiana

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 164...

Valid 112137Z - 112300Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 164
continues.

SUMMARY...Severe storms in east-central Texas may move out of watch
164 in the next few hours.

DISCUSSION...The strongest storms within watch 164 are moving into
Trinity county, Texas at 2130Z. The environment downstream of this
ongoing activity remains favorable with 1500 to 2000 J/kg MLCAPE and
effective shear around 35 to 40 knots per SPC mesoanalysis. In
addition, this activity is located near a warm frontal boundary.
Locally backed winds near this boundary are increasing low-level
SRH. The KPOE VWP can be used as a proxy for this low-level shear
profile and it is showing 0-1 SRH in excess of 200 m2/s2 and flow
around 2km has increased to around 45 knots. Therefore, a localized
tornado threat will exist near this warm front over the next few
hours as these storms move across east-central Texas.

In addition, given the favorable downstream environment, this
activity may persist east of watch 164 and a downstream watch may be
needed across portions of southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana.

..Bentley/Hart.. 05/11/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...
Attachments
mcd0595.gif
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djmike
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Joined: Fri Jan 07, 2011 12:19 pm
Location: BEAUMONT, TX
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I may actually get more than 3 drops in Beaumont finally. Yippee!
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
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jasons2k
Posts: 5360
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 12:54 pm
Location: Imperial Oaks
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Haha
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D6D6D749-36A3-4666-BD7B-9CC8CDDE33B2.png
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djmike
Posts: 1702
Joined: Fri Jan 07, 2011 12:19 pm
Location: BEAUMONT, TX
Contact:

Uh oh. May get more than I bargained for in Beaumont. Feast or famine.
647151D4-D1DF-412A-8E26-046480128C54.jpeg
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
suprdav2
Posts: 92
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 5:39 pm
Location: Cypress, TX
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Not a drop here in Cypress. Got re6dark and windy, then poof.....nothing.

I blame my neighbor who decided to put on their sprinklers.
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jasons2k
Posts: 5360
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 12:54 pm
Location: Imperial Oaks
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Got a whole 0.11”
Cpv17
Posts: 5234
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
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I don’t really think I’m going to get anything from this event here in Wharton. All good though. Don’t need any rain. By the looks of it, we could all be flooded out by next week:

Image

Image

Image

That’s one heck of rain signal from the CPC directly over southeast TX.
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