May 2021:

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Cpv17
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Another pretty wet stretch coming up:

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Stratton20
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Noaa calls for a well above normal precipitation period while the WPC only has southeast Texas picking up .25 to maybe 1 inch for the entire week🤔🤔🤨
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Rip76
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I’m guessing today’s rain chances fizzled out.
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jasons2k
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Rip76 wrote: Sat May 29, 2021 4:15 pm I’m guessing today’s rain chances fizzled out.
Yep they have been lowered for the rest of today along with next week’s rain chances. Ridging is a touch stronger, and it’s still a tad dry.
Stratton20
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Boooo I want that ridge to stay away!👎👎 Hope next week rain chances go back up, as someone who lived in the middle east for 2 years, ai cant stand dry weather, rainy weather is where its at!
Cpv17
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Stratton20 wrote: Sat May 29, 2021 2:55 pm Noaa calls for a well above normal precipitation period while the WPC only has southeast Texas picking up .25 to maybe 1 inch for the entire week🤔🤔🤨
That’s a 6 to 10 day forecast for the dates of June 4th through June 8th from the CPC. The WPC QPF forecast is for the next 7 days and often times the WPC is way off on their predictions and it tends to actually rain quite a bit more than what it’s actually saying. They’re usually very conservative.
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Rip76
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Couple of storms near Beaumont, moving SW.
Should die out before Houston.
Cpv17
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The 0z Euro came in very wet showing 4-6”.
Stratton20
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Strong signal in the GFS for potential tropical development in the gulf around the 9th or 10th, I know its far out but some people are starting to mention it, definitely could happen as conditions are slowly becoming more conducive for development
Cpv17
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Rip76 wrote: Sat May 29, 2021 4:15 pm I’m guessing today’s rain chances fizzled out.
Those rain chances that were originally predicted for Saturday actually came late Friday night so no they didn’t really fizzle out, they just came earlier than predicted.
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Rip76
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Cpv17 wrote: Sun May 30, 2021 2:47 pm [quote=Rip76 post_id=98169 time=<a href="tel:1622322940">1622322940</a> user_id=222]
I’m guessing today’s rain chances fizzled out.
Those rain chances that were originally predicted for Saturday actually came late Friday night so no they didn’t really fizzle out, they just came earlier than predicted.
[/quote]

I was thinking the same.
Cpv17
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The WPC is slowly coming around:

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The Euro is really wet too.


So is the CPC:

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Also, check out the cooler temps:

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And if you combine all that with the warming SST’s in the Gulf and the GFS hinting at development, anything that does develop could potentially head towards the western Gulf.
Last edited by Cpv17 on Mon May 31, 2021 10:17 am, edited 2 times in total.
Stratton20
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Yeah we definitely could be looking at some tropical development within the next 7-10 days, and definitely concerned about a Texas Impact should anything form. Ridging in the east and Northeast will pretty much send any sort of tropical system our way
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DoctorMu
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^Going to enjoy this while it lasts. EVery week of cool(ish) and wet brings us one week closer to football season...and eventually something that mimics Fall for 2-3 weeks. :lol:
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Rip76
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DoctorMu wrote: Sun May 30, 2021 4:56 pm ^Going to enjoy this while it lasts. EVery week of cool(ish) and wet brings us one week closer to football season...and eventually something that mimics Fall for 2-3 weeks. :lol:
This!
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srainhoutx
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NWS Houston
@NWSHouston
Map showing Category 4 Hurricanes within 120 miles of Galveston. Laura (2020) joins select group: Galveston 1900 and 1915 hurricanes, 1932 storm, and Carla (1961).
Attachments
E2qE8FZXwAQtVG9.jpeg
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
Stratton20
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Interesting map
Dls2010r
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Didn’t CPV call this possible storm a few days ago?
Stratton20
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Huh?
Dls2010r
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Huh what! You know damn well he did.
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