May 2021

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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jasons2k
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Re: May 2021

Post by jasons2k » Tue May 04, 2021 11:38 am

Cromagnum wrote:
Tue May 04, 2021 11:18 am
As soon as the cells get to the LA state line the storms are blowing up.
Right? And yes, like clockwork, the cell by IAH busts through as soon as the line passed.

txbear
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Re: May 2021

Post by txbear » Tue May 04, 2021 11:48 am

Think the HRRR got the storms right in general, location was off though with the biggest cluster going north and east...sound familiar? Models are models, not crystal balls.

Cap must be pretty stout south and west considering the dynamics in play. A little more in rain to add to the "reserve tank" in preparation for summer would've been nice.

Cpv17
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Re: May 2021

Post by Cpv17 » Tue May 04, 2021 12:05 pm

txbear wrote:
Tue May 04, 2021 11:48 am
Think the HRRR got the storms right in general, location was off though with the biggest cluster going north and east...sound familiar? Models are models, not crystal balls.

Cap must be pretty stout south and west considering the dynamics in play. A little more in rain to add to the "reserve tank" in preparation for summer would've been nice.
Maybe next week. Rest of this week looks dry.

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don
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Re: May 2021

Post by don » Tue May 04, 2021 1:39 pm

Models are showing a stormy pattern again next week as a slow moving front stalls near the coast.With disturbances moving over the state in the northwest flow aloft.We'll see if the trends continue...

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jasons2k
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Re: May 2021

Post by jasons2k » Tue May 04, 2021 2:15 pm

Oh it’s only 10 degrees warmer than forecast....nothing to see here....

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djmike
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Re: May 2021

Post by djmike » Tue May 04, 2021 2:30 pm

A whole lot of nothing for me in Beaumont. Knew it. Well 2 maaaaaybe 3 drops.
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)

Cpv17
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Re: May 2021

Post by Cpv17 » Tue May 04, 2021 4:31 pm

don wrote:
Tue May 04, 2021 1:39 pm
Models are showing a stormy pattern again next week as a slow moving front stalls near the coast.With disturbances moving over the state in the northwest flow aloft.We'll see if the trends continue...
The CPC is seeing this as well:

Image

Image

Image

Definitely looks like a wet pattern could be in the works.

Cromagnum
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Re: May 2021

Post by Cromagnum » Wed May 05, 2021 5:59 am

Feels really nice outside this morning.

unome
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Re: May 2021

Post by unome » Wed May 05, 2021 9:42 am

Texas' dry-line weather on May 3rd made the NOAA / NESDIS Image of the Day

with a great explaination of dry-line storm formation

https://twitter.com/NOAASatellites/stat ... 2673552389
https://www.nesdis.noaa.gov/content/goe ... s-dry-line

Image

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DoctorMu
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Re: May 2021

Post by DoctorMu » Fri May 07, 2021 9:28 pm

If it feels hotter and in the last decade WHEN it (finally) rains it pours (like Harvey and Memorial Day? events), then you're right!

https://www.chron.com/weather/article/g ... 6a35e392f3

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