May 2021:
The fv-3 was an upgraded version of the gfs based on the gfdl grid and released back in 2019.
The latest upgrade of the gfs that was released back in March is basically an upgrade of the fv-3.
Exact rainfall amounts and locations are nearly impossible to forecast accurately this far out.What to take from the models right now is that the the setup is there for significant rainfall totals possibly over a widespread area,but it will be a couple of more days still before the forecasts is fine tuned more.
Goodness, that’s a huge swath of land that rain will cover. The whole eastern two thirds or 3/4 of the state and much of Oklahoma basically. Big ticket event, no doubt.
Last edited by Cpv17 on Sat May 15, 2021 3:15 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Will any of the weather currently east of San Antonio and around Victoria make it here today/tonight?
It doesn’t look like it. Short range models have that falling apart within the next few hours. Maybe some areas in the far western part of the viewing area could see a little bit out of it.
Looks like the WPC has finally bought in, sorta:
Geez. My dang yard looks like a lake