June 2021:

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Stratton20
Posts: 4225
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

00z Intensity Guidance on tropical tidbits gets really interesting
Harveyvsallison
Posts: 51
Joined: Fri Jun 11, 2021 3:39 pm
Contact:

Stratton20 wrote: Sat Jun 12, 2021 8:41 pm 00z Intensity Guidance on tropical tidbits gets really interesting
I was just about to mention those ! Also the HWRF and HMON hurricane models both develop 92L into a tropical storm within 24 hours !
Stratton20
Posts: 4225
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

Harveyvsallison we will have to see what happens but considering what im seeing from intensity guidance, we definitely gotta be on the look out for what happens in the next 3 days
Harveyvsallison
Posts: 51
Joined: Fri Jun 11, 2021 3:39 pm
Contact:

Stratton20 wrote: Sat Jun 12, 2021 9:24 pm Harveyvsallison we will have to see what happens but considering what im seeing from intensity guidance, we definitely gotta be on the look out for what happens in the next 3 days
Also I’m thinking if this gets its act together quickly it’ll be able to fend off dry air better later down the road. Just keep watching intensity models and satellite
Stratton20
Posts: 4225
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

Harveyvsallison definitely agree about that , tonights GFS, CMC, ICON and Euro runs are going to be interesting to see what they day
User avatar
don
Posts: 2575
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 3:33 pm
Location: Heights
Contact:

0Z Intensity models.
Attachments
92L_intensity2_latest.png
Harveyvsallison
Posts: 51
Joined: Fri Jun 11, 2021 3:39 pm
Contact:

Stratton20 wrote: Sat Jun 12, 2021 9:33 pm Harveyvsallison definitely agree about that , tonights GFS, CMC, ICON and Euro runs are going to be interesting to see what they day
Yes I will be staying up for the 00Z suites ! I’m interested in the next batch of euro ensembles !!!! Watch the ensembles
Harveyvsallison
Posts: 51
Joined: Fri Jun 11, 2021 3:39 pm
Contact:

Things will be really interesting come Wednesday
Stratton20
Posts: 4225
Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
Location: College Station, Texas
Contact:

Harveyvsallison I definitely am staying up as well😂 I usually got to bed around 2 am so just after the Euro model comes out
TexasMetBlake
Pro Met
Pro Met
Posts: 839
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:03 pm
Location: Spring/Woodlands
Contact:

With the SAL layer moving in, wind shear AND the fact that the circulation is so broad, I find it hard to believe this would become much more than a low grade tropical storm--at least the way it looks to me now. If this is a shrimpy system then landfall will be irrelevant with as most of the rain will be east of the center.
Post Reply
  • Information