June 2021:
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Ar this point ai dont even know what to believe anymore lol
Me either.
I’ve read on a chat the storm is coming here, no it’s going to Louisiana, wait! It’s going to Alabama and Mississippi and even to Florida. The hysteria over a tropical blob is over the top. And all this time I thought we had to have a center of circulation to
determine where a storm most likely go. Not go in a tour of the Gulf Coast . Oh and don’t anyone dare contradict anyone else’s track forecast because they will get mad if anyone does
determine where a storm most likely go. Not go in a tour of the Gulf Coast . Oh and don’t anyone dare contradict anyone else’s track forecast because they will get mad if anyone does
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Lmao for a landfall only 2.5 days out, this is ridiculous to see this models flip flopping this much
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Not having a actual center will do that
The model watching will drive you crazy.
The forecast for this one is actually pretty straightforward. I don’t expect any significant changes in the thinking between now and landfall.
I ran my sprinklers today.
The forecast for this one is actually pretty straightforward. I don’t expect any significant changes in the thinking between now and landfall.
I ran my sprinklers today.
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Jasons2k Dont jinx it
- Texaspirate11
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Has anyone listened to the hgx update?
Just because you're disabled, you don't have to be a victim
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- Texaspirate11
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Thought it was tomorrow???
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Im confused, I thiught they were out flying today?
I honestly haven't observed the mission schedule, but did notice they went up and offshore. They've since returned closer to shore around KGLS.
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Maybe it was just a test flight?
- Texaspirate11
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Probably just found a messtxbear wrote: ↑Wed Jun 16, 2021 4:49 pmI honestly haven't observed the mission schedule, but did notice they went up and offshore. They've since returned closer to shore around KGLS.
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18Z GFS, you can see the split of energy with the main center close to the upper Texas coast, with a separate piece of energy in Mississippi.The vorticty is also helping to rob moisture away from the main storm. Seems like whats giving the models a hard time is the split of energy that occurs between the main circulation and vorticity on the north side of the storm. In some runs the northern vorticity becomes the main circulation and pulls off to the northeast. While in other runs the models show the main circulation remaining separated from the vorticity to the north.And continuing further west until the trough picks up the storm.
Last edited by don on Wed Jun 16, 2021 5:29 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Had a quick minute and checked NHC. You were correct that USAF mission tasking is for tomorrow. Reposition, familiarization, etc today. As I type, TEAL95 has since departed our area for our neighbors along I-35.Texaspirate11 wrote: ↑Wed Jun 16, 2021 5:14 pmProbably just found a mess
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OFC the GFS trended back to the west, surprise surprise lol
Yeah, I don't seem anything tricky about this mess. A few showers along the SETX shore, but the bulk of activity in Louisiana and east.
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As i said we will see , dont jinx it, until we have a defined center of circulation we still arent out of the woods
Please pass way way east. My ac broke yesterday. 12 days for parts. Ugh