June 2021: PTC 3 & Traking A Cold Front

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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jasons2k
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Re: June 2021

Post by jasons2k » Wed Jun 09, 2021 9:34 pm

DoctorMu wrote:
Wed Jun 09, 2021 9:11 pm
jasons2k wrote:
Wed Jun 09, 2021 7:01 pm
Just checked the gauge - my high today was 97F. Definitely summer now.
I thought College Station was hot. We peaked at 94-95°F. What circle of hell do you live in? ;)
IAH hit 95F. I’m usually a degree or two hotter in the summer (along with surrounding gauges I check) and I’m usually 1-2 degrees colder in the winter mornings. Seems about right since I’m a touch further away from salt water.

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don
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Re: June 2021

Post by don » Wed Jun 09, 2021 9:52 pm

Stratton20 wrote:
Wed Jun 09, 2021 6:34 pm
Out of curiosity has their ever been a time when a model has picked up on a storm beyond 9-10 days and that storm actually happened or formed? That is something that has me curious if its happened before
Yes, and it happens more often than it use to. Due too the models being better at tropical genesis than they were 10+ years ago.Models now produce much less phantom canes than they use too also.

Cpv17
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Re: June 2021

Post by Cpv17 » Wed Jun 09, 2021 11:43 pm

The only model that’s been somewhat consistent is the Euro with this system. All the other models are all over the place. No telling what’s going to happen.

Stratton20
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Re: June 2021

Post by Stratton20 » Wed Jun 09, 2021 11:45 pm

Cpv17 yeah thats why my biggest attention is on the EURO, not saying it will be right, but it has been pretty consistent with developing the system, Im not even gonna bother looking at the GFS until we get some sort of agreement

Stratton20
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Re: June 2021

Post by Stratton20 » Thu Jun 10, 2021 1:18 am

00z Euro has a strong tropical storm heading North towards Houston or just east of houston

Cpv17
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Re: June 2021

Post by Cpv17 » Thu Jun 10, 2021 6:41 am

The latest Euro and GFS are in complete agreement right now on timing and track lol go figure! They both have a tropical storm hitting around the TX/LA border in 10 days.

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don
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Re: June 2021

Post by don » Thu Jun 10, 2021 6:51 am

0Z Euro
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Screenshot 2021-06-10 at 07-35-10 Models ECMWF Hi-Res — Pivotal Weather.png

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djmike
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Re: June 2021

Post by djmike » Thu Jun 10, 2021 7:14 am

don wrote:
Thu Jun 10, 2021 6:51 am
0Z Euro
I SAID NOOOO TX/LA BORDER! Stop it! <wink wink>
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)

Stormlover2020
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Re: June 2021

Post by Stormlover2020 » Thu Jun 10, 2021 7:35 am

One thing to remember this year we have airlines busy!! Last year we didn’t due to Covid so we couldn’t get as much data model wise, our commercial planes collect temps pressure dew points and it's all fed into the models, like mobile weather stations.

Pas_Bon
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Re: June 2021

Post by Pas_Bon » Thu Jun 10, 2021 7:43 am

djmike wrote:
Thu Jun 10, 2021 7:14 am
don wrote:
Thu Jun 10, 2021 6:51 am
0Z Euro
I SAID NOOOO TX/LA BORDER! Stop it! <wink wink>

Well, these model runs are happening because you’re an A&M fan.

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