June 2021:

[jasons2k]

The timing of the Euro, if headed this way, would be after our hole is dug but before the plaster is blasted. Not good timing for me personally on that run.

[Cpv17]

Regardless if we get a system here or not, we could see a return to wet weather next week.

[Rip76]

Regardless if we get a system here or not, we could see a return to wet weather next week.

I’m in

[don]

From HGX discussion this afternoon.

.TROPICAL...
The Gulf Coast weathersphere is abuzz with the potential for
tropical development around the Central American gyre, with some
model guidance suggesting a tropical cyclone at some point next
week. Will this happen? Well, it`s hurricane season, so of course
it can happen! Really though, the models that do develop a
tropical cyclone are plausible, but so are the models that do not.
We`ll be keeping a close eye on things in the days to come, but at
this point, we just simply don`t know enough to say with
confidence just yet how this plays out. Stick with us, trust the
process - we`ll continue to tell you everything we do know, and
the important things we still need to figure out

[Stratton20]

Man the GFS is going to give us a headache, it doesn't know what to do with this potential system

[Cpv17]

Man the GFS is going to give us a headache, it doesn't know what to do with this potential system

Hopefully by this weekend we’ll know a lil more.

[Stratton20]

I agree

[Kingwood36]

Man the GFS is going to give us a headache, it doesn't know what to do with this potential system

Hopefully by this weekend we’ll know a lil more.

There isnt a storm...that's why it's having problems lol

[Kingwood36]

Off topic...can we change our usernames on here? I don't live in Kingwood anymore and I'd like my name to reflect where I'm at now...anyone know if that's possible and how you go about doing it?

[jasons2k]

Off topic...can we change our usernames on here? I don't live in Kingwood anymore and I'd like my name to reflect where I'm at now...anyone know if that's possible and how you go about doing it?

Send a request to the Admins. That's how they changed mine.

Latest TWO:

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Jun 9 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A broad trough of low pressure has developed over the southwestern
Caribbean Sea associated with a westward-moving tropical wave.
However, significant development of this system is not expected
while the disturbance moves west-northwestward over Central America
during the next couple of days. Regardless, this system could
produce heavy rainfall across northern Colombia and portions of
Central America from Honduras southward late this week and over the
weekend. See products from your local meteorological service for
more information.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

$$
Forecaster Papin/Stewart

[Cpv17]

Man the GFS is going to give us a headache, it doesn't know what to do with this potential system

Hopefully by this weekend we’ll know a lil more.

There isnt a storm...that's why it's having problems lol

Yeah it doesn’t have an initialization point so that’s definitely a factor.

[Stratton20]

I know haha, I just
hope we get more consistency by friday or saturday tbh

[DoctorMu]

From HGX discussion this afternoon.

.TROPICAL...
The Gulf Coast weathersphere is abuzz with the potential for
tropical development around the Central American gyre, with some
model guidance suggesting a tropical cyclone at some point next
week. Will this happen? Well, it`s hurricane season, so of course
it can happen! Really though, the models that do develop a
tropical cyclone are plausible, but so are the models that do not.
We`ll be keeping a close eye on things in the days to come, but at
this point, we just simply don`t know enough to say with
confidence just yet how this plays out. Stick with us, trust the
process - we`ll continue to tell you everything we do know, and
the important things we still need to figure out

Just hoping for some lemonade. If it heads for the LATX border as an organized system, my lawn will crisp again, just like storm after storm last year.

[DoctorMu]

Man the GFS is going to give us a headache, it doesn't know what to do with this potential system

Hopefully by this weekend we’ll know a lil more.

There isnt a storm...that's why it's having problems lol

Variance in Initial conditions, or lack thereof kills reliable iterations.

[DoctorMu]

Hopefully by this weekend we’ll know a lil more.

There isnt a storm...that's why it's having problems lol

Yeah it doesn’t have an initialization point so that’s definitely a factor.

https://youtu.be/IX2bE-OBtwk

[Stratton20]

Out of curiosity has their ever been a time when a model has picked up on a storm beyond 9-10 days and that storm actually happened or formed? That is something that has me curious if its happened before

[djmike]

From HGX discussion this afternoon.

.TROPICAL...
The Gulf Coast weathersphere is abuzz with the potential for
tropical development around the Central American gyre, with some
model guidance suggesting a tropical cyclone at some point next
week. Will this happen? Well, it`s hurricane season, so of course
it can happen! Really though, the models that do develop a
tropical cyclone are plausible, but so are the models that do not.
We`ll be keeping a close eye on things in the days to come, but at
this point, we just simply don`t know enough to say with
confidence just yet how this plays out. Stick with us, trust the
process - we`ll continue to tell you everything we do know, and
the important things we still need to figure out

Just hoping for some lemonade. If it heads for the LATX border as an organized system, my lawn will crisp again, just like storm after storm last year.

Please. No TX/La border. Us in Beaumont dont want another ANYTHING. Well...maybe cooler temps, BUT THATS IT! Lolol We’ve had our fair share for the next 50 years. Im done. (Jk...it really is all still exciting to see, watch and predict.)

[jasons2k]

Just checked the gauge - my high today was 97F. Definitely summer now.

[DoctorMu]

From HGX discussion this afternoon.

Just hoping for some lemonade. If it heads for the LATX border as an organized system, my lawn will crisp again, just like storm after storm last year.

Please. No TX/La border. Us in Beaumont dont want another ANYTHING. Well...maybe cooler temps, BUT THATS IT! Lolol We’ve had our fair share for the next 50 years. Im done. (Jk...it really is all still exciting to see, watch and predict.)

We're with you Mike!

5 times bitten, 10X shy!

[DoctorMu]

Just checked the gauge - my high today was 97F. Definitely summer now.

I thought College Station was hot. We peaked at 94-95°F. What circle of hell do you live in?