June 2021:

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
weatherguy425
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jasons2k wrote: Wed Jun 30, 2021 11:00 am It’s looking like the 4th Fireworks may actually be rained-out this year. I don’t recall this happening as long as I’ve lived here. Of course it’s the year we are (trying to) build a pool. :x

Got a note from them today the dig is on-hold until the 7-day forecast looks better.

The "big" show made it, even after almost everything else was cancelled a few years ago. Maybe a similar action this year? Less spectators, but same show? Though, timing may mean rain well into the evening.

https://www.chron.com/news/houston-texa ... 047480.php
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Rip76
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Stratton20 wrote: Wed Jun 30, 2021 11:04 am In still shooting fireworks even if its raining, gotta take a bit of risk sometimes🙂🙂
Do it in the house if you have to.
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Rip76 dont think I want to set my house on fire lol
Cpv17
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Just another 4-7” on the way for southeast Texas. No big deal :lol:

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TexasBreeze
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Gfs only has about half that amount the entire noon run. Looks like they prefer Ecmwf.
Cpv17
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TexasBreeze wrote: Wed Jun 30, 2021 3:17 pm Gfs only has about half that amount the entire noon run. Looks like they prefer Ecmwf.
Check out the latest CMC.
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DoctorMu
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Cpv17 wrote: Wed Jun 30, 2021 3:23 pm
TexasBreeze wrote: Wed Jun 30, 2021 3:17 pm Gfs only has about half that amount the entire noon run. Looks like they prefer Ecmwf.
Check out the latest CMC.
1-2 feet of rain. East of I-45. :shock:

We'll see. Models are all over from an inch to a foot.

https://weather.us/model-charts/can/tex ... 0600z.html
Scott747
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Advisories will begin on former 97l. I think it will get a little deeper in the Caribbean than the modeling but for now looks like it would track across Cuba and towards the egom.
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DoctorMu
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Nice view of the seabreeze cranking up.

https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/c ... &length=24
Cpv17
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Scott747 wrote: Wed Jun 30, 2021 3:36 pm Advisories will begin on former 97l. I think it will get a little deeper in the Caribbean than the modeling but for now looks like it would track across Cuba and towards the egom.
If I’m being completely honest (and I bet a lot of others feel this way too), I have no interest in tracking a storm that has no chance in coming here. Now I’m not saying it’s not coming here because there’s still a long ways to go but early indications are like you said the eastern Gulf towards Florida. Now if it starts trending west then my interest will be piqued.
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srainhoutx
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We will be moving into the July thread overnight. Wishing everyone an early Happy Independence Day!
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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Officially have a cone on TD5

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cperk
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Cpv17 wrote: Wed Jun 30, 2021 3:55 pm
Scott747 wrote: Wed Jun 30, 2021 3:36 pm Advisories will begin on former 97l. I think it will get a little deeper in the Caribbean than the modeling but for now looks like it would track across Cuba and towards the egom.
If I’m being completely honest (and I bet a lot of others feel this way too), I have no interest in tracking a storm that has no chance in coming here. Now I’m not saying it’s not coming here because there’s still a long ways to go but early indications are like you said the eastern Gulf towards Florida. Now if it starts trending west then my interest will be piqued.
Ditto I only get the tracking chart out when our neck of the woods is threatened.
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jasons2k
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Then y’all were late in the game for Ike - haha!
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Rip76
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jasons2k wrote: Wed Jun 30, 2021 5:28 pm Then y’all were late in the game for Ike - haha!
For sure.
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djmike
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Just had a torrential downpour. 4.5” in 30 min in Beaumont. It was hell driving home. Everything is flooded. Sheesh. These small cell storms can pack a punch!
Mike
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cperk
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jasons2k wrote: Wed Jun 30, 2021 5:28 pm Then y’all were late in the game for Ike - haha!
Not really I started tracking Ike when it was over Cuba.
Cpv17
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cperk wrote: Wed Jun 30, 2021 5:39 pm
jasons2k wrote: Wed Jun 30, 2021 5:28 pm Then y’all were late in the game for Ike - haha!
Not really I started tracking Ike when it was over Cuba.
I didn’t really track storms back then. I wasn’t as passionate about the weather back then as I am now and plus I was on the dry side of Ike so I got absolutely nothing from it.
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DoctorMu
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Cpv17 wrote: Wed Jun 30, 2021 6:29 pm
cperk wrote: Wed Jun 30, 2021 5:39 pm
jasons2k wrote: Wed Jun 30, 2021 5:28 pm Then y’all were late in the game for Ike - haha!
Not really I started tracking Ike when it was over Cuba.
I didn’t really track storms back then. I wasn’t as passionate about the weather back then as I am now and plus I was on the dry side of Ike so I got absolutely nothing from it.
We got wind, then 103°F.
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snowman65
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cperk wrote: Wed Jun 30, 2021 5:23 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Wed Jun 30, 2021 3:55 pm
Scott747 wrote: Wed Jun 30, 2021 3:36 pm Advisories will begin on former 97l. I think it will get a little deeper in the Caribbean than the modeling but for now looks like it would track across Cuba and towards the egom.
If I’m being completely honest (and I bet a lot of others feel this way too), I have no interest in tracking a storm that has no chance in coming here. Now I’m not saying it’s not coming here because there’s still a long ways to go but early indications are like you said the eastern Gulf towards Florida. Now if it starts trending west then my interest will be piqued.
Ditto I only get the tracking chart out when our neck of the woods is threatened.
just my 2 cents but over the last 5 or 6 years I dont count anything NOT coming to my neck of the woods until it is totally gone..
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