July 2021

[Stratton20]

DoctorMu I wouldnt say 10+ days, thats a bit of a stretch

[jasons2k]

The dig is underway and we may gunite in by Tuesday. I see rain chances next Wed. and Thu. have been raised a bit to 40%

[DoctorMu]

DoctorMu I wouldnt say 10+ days, thats a bit of a stretch

Up here in College Station, we could go easily for the next month with only isolated showers...unless there's something tropical. When there's a sea breeze, it will be crushed by Navasota, even with a relatively weak ridge.

Back to more typical Texas summer weather. I enjoyed it while it lasted.

[DoctorMu]

The dig is underway and we may gunite in by Tuesday. I see rain chances next Wed. and Thu. have been raised a bit to 40%

Just 20-30% here. Concrete hardens and cures pretty fast. It has an exothermic reaction anyway, but should like the sun. Hope they dig and lay down steel reinforcement quickly.

[jasons2k]

Yeah, rebar tomorrow, plumbing Monday and gunite Tuesday. Once it’s in, it has to be rinsed and hosed down twice a day for 10 days, so a little rain would actually be a good thing.

[Stratton20]

Might have to watch that tropical disturbance near florida, majority of the GFS Ensembles bring this disturbance westward into the gulf of mexico due to a blocking high fo its north, granted the ensembles show just a open wave when it gets into the gulf, but we all know to never write off anything completely as history has shown us some pretty unexpected outcomes in the gulf, will be watching this closely

[Scott747]

12z Euro has a mild signature with 90l that eventually comes w towards Nawlins before eventually washing out around Lake Charles.

[Stratton20]

Scott747 Definitely something to watch as most ensemble members have this getting pushed into the Gulf, I think the current model runs might be under-doing 90L just a bit , because looking on satellite imagery 90L looks very healthy and it definitely looks like it’s organizing

[jasons2k]

It’s over 100 here now. Not just me but several stations on the Wundermap are also in the triple digits. It’s hot!!!

[DoctorMu]

Yeah, I see a 101 and 100°F near Spring. Even 98°F in The Woodlands. We're at 94°, but with a mid 70s DP, the heat index is nearing 110°F. The DP this morning was 79° - oppressive jungle-like. Still, I'll take last night's rain!

Don't think I want to finish mowing when I get home. Anyone have a spare goat?

[Cpv17]

It’s over 100 here now. Not just me but several station on the Wundermap are also in the triple digits. It’s hot!!!

Nowhere near 100 here in Rosenberg. 94°F feels like 106.

[Stratton20]

12z Euro and GFS ensembles both generally track 90L into the Gulf and to the west, ensemble spread is anywhere from Texas to the Florida Panhandle

[Kingwood36]

12z Euro and GFS ensembles both generally track 90L into the Gulf and to the west, ensemble spread is anywhere from Texas to the Florida Panhandle

We have 90l? Where?..
Edit: nevermind found it

[Stratton20]

KingWood36 haha yeah NHC just labeled that area 90L Yesterday or today I believe, regardless just something to casually watch

[Rip76]

A little bit of cloudiness just shot out into the gulf below Mississippi.

[Stratton20]

Rip76 I think that might be associated with 90L, does have some background Vorticity to it tho, enhanced MJO phase is beginning to enter the gulf, interesting times ahead

[Stratton20]

90L currently is located in a pocket of Mid level shear which is probably why the NHC environmental conditions only appear marginal for some development , however I believe if this gets into the gulf, it will encounter a much more conducive environment for development, low wind shear and low mid level shear, combine that with an enhanced MJO phase moving in, I think we might see some surprises with this one, Hope it develops, this weather has been boring lately, we need some excitement

[DoctorMu]

Today's the first real Feels Like Surface of the Sun day. Cloudless sky. Upper 90s. Dewpoint in mid 70s. Hardly a breath of wind.

Yesterday had a breeze and lower DP in CLL, and especially in our visit near Waco.

[Stratton20]

Active Phase of the MJO moves in to the Atlantic this week, will be interesting to see if anything flares up, 90L probably wont develop aince we are still in a suppressed phase right now, that ULL to the east of 90L looks really healthy though

[Rip76]

Getting closer and closer to blast furnace.
Ugh.