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Re: July 2021
Posted: Tue Jul 27, 2021 8:26 pm
by Stratton20
I would like yalls opinion on that healthy and vigorous looking tropical wave in the western Caribbean, it has sustained its thunderstorm convection all day long, is it possible that the NHC might highlight this system depending on what it looks like tomorrow? For me personally this wave has caught my attention
Re: July 2021
Posted: Tue Jul 27, 2021 9:42 pm
by DavidH
Texaspirate, thank you ma'am. That was a good read. Cool story.
Re: July 2021
Posted: Tue Jul 27, 2021 9:46 pm
by Katdaddy
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN CHAMBERS...SOUTHERN
LIBERTY AND SOUTHEASTERN HARRIS COUNTIES UNTIL 945 PM CDT...
At 912 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
southeastern Mont Belvieu, or 8 miles north of Beach City, moving
southwest at 25 mph.
Pea size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.
Locations impacted include...
Northern Pasadena, Baytown, La Porte, Deer Park, northeastern
Seabrook, Liberty, Dayton, Beach City, Channelview, Highlands,
Barrett, northern Clear Lake, Crosby, Mont Belvieu, Anahuac,
Shoreacres, Old River-Winfree, Ames, Cove and Devers.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
Re: July 2021
Posted: Tue Jul 27, 2021 9:57 pm
by Rip76
Back door East to West storms can be brutal.
Watching the lightning from Friendswood.
Re: July 2021
Posted: Tue Jul 27, 2021 10:40 pm
by DoctorMu
jasons2k wrote: ↑Tue Jul 27, 2021 6:22 pm
Funny how the storms usually miss me and now they keep forming on top of me with never-ending thunder and lightning. It's been a long time since I've had this much lightning so close for so long.
0.56" so far with the cells expanding.
There's rain from the expanding cell 1/2 a mile from our home.
Would be shocked if there is more encroachment...
Re: July 2021
Posted: Tue Jul 27, 2021 11:47 pm
by Cromagnum
So much for this evenings storms. Evaporated as soon as it was getting closer.
Re: July 2021
Posted: Wed Jul 28, 2021 11:06 am
by Texaspirate11
DavidH wrote: ↑Tue Jul 27, 2021 9:42 pm
Texaspirate, thank you ma'am. That was a good read. Cool story.
[/qu
Thanks for reading it! Bill Read did a lot of research on it! Shout out to our NWS!
Re: July 2021
Posted: Wed Jul 28, 2021 3:29 pm
by Stratton20
Things could get pretty active in the tropics around the 2nd and beyond, the 12z GFS is indicating lots of upward rising air will overspread the gulf, Caribbean and the MDR by the 2nd and persisting for quite a while, that is when the models are suggesting a backdoor front kay enter the picture as well, could be watching the gulf around that timeframe for any tropical mischief
Re: July 2021
Posted: Wed Jul 28, 2021 5:27 pm
by jasons2k
Texaspirate11 wrote: ↑Wed Jul 28, 2021 11:06 am
DavidH wrote: ↑Tue Jul 27, 2021 9:42 pm
Texaspirate, thank you ma'am. That was a good read. Cool story.
Thanks for reading it! Bill Read did a lot of research on it! Shout out to our NWS!
Yes, thank you! That was a good read!
There was a little writeup in today’s Houston Chronicle as well:
https://www.chron.com/weather/article/h ... 343027.php
Re: July 2021
Posted: Wed Jul 28, 2021 6:23 pm
by Stratton20
18z GFS says we may be returning to a prolonged wet weather pattern next week after the front goes through,
Re: July 2021
Posted: Wed Jul 28, 2021 6:27 pm
by Kingwood36
Stratton20 wrote: ↑Wed Jul 28, 2021 6:23 pm
18z GFS says we may be returning to a prolonged wet weather pattern next week after the front goes through,
I hope not
Re: July 2021
Posted: Wed Jul 28, 2021 6:30 pm
by Stratton20
Kingwood36 we are going to have to agree to disagree lol
Re: July 2021
Posted: Wed Jul 28, 2021 9:10 pm
by Cpv17
Stratton20 wrote: ↑Wed Jul 28, 2021 6:23 pm
18z GFS says we may be returning to a prolonged wet weather pattern next week after the front goes through,
Big change in the CPC forecast today.
Re: July 2021
Posted: Wed Jul 28, 2021 9:26 pm
by Stratton20
CPV17 yep saw that, hoping this pans out, persistent troughs and an occasional summer front ,ill gladly take over having a death ridge sit over us for the majority of summer, only concern I have is this persistent troughiness combined with the font the models are showing, could definitely cause some tropical mischief
Re: July 2021
Posted: Wed Jul 28, 2021 10:06 pm
by DoctorMu
One August front in CLL is a miracle. A second is...2021 weather.
GFS sniffs that first backdoor front around August 3rd and a second one around the 11th. Canadian agrees.
Even the Ensembles are progging 1-4 inches of rain over 15 days across SETX.
Would be fantastic events, especially after today's megabust.
Re: July 2021
Posted: Wed Jul 28, 2021 10:07 pm
by DoctorMu
Cpv17 wrote: ↑Wed Jul 28, 2021 9:10 pm
Stratton20 wrote: ↑Wed Jul 28, 2021 6:23 pm
18z GFS says we may be returning to a prolonged wet weather pattern next week after the front goes through,
Big change in the CPC forecast today.
Yep. They've bought in.
Euro is on board with the first front.
Re: July 2021
Posted: Wed Jul 28, 2021 10:43 pm
by Stratton20
DoctorMu yeah im keeping my fingers crossed for this pattern to come to fruition, would be nice to get a good break from this heat, speaking of the heat, why is it always at nighttime that I find ao many toads on my front porch?
They out their just hopping around
Re: July 2021
Posted: Thu Jul 29, 2021 10:58 am
by DoctorMu
GFS is doubling down on fronts and rain chances. Fingers crossed.
Re: July 2021
Posted: Thu Jul 29, 2021 11:14 am
by Rip76
DoctorMu wrote: ↑Thu Jul 29, 2021 10:58 am
GFS is doubling down on fronts and rain chances. Fingers crossed.
Good news.
Re: July 2021
Posted: Thu Jul 29, 2021 12:08 pm
by Kingwood36
As long as it doesn't rain next Friday night and Saturday I'm good..it can rain it's butt off except for those 2 days
They out their just hopping around