September 2021: Hurricane Nicholas

Mon Sep 13, 2021 2:08 pm

Dls2010r wrote: ↑Mon Sep 13, 2021 2:06 pm I’m confused. I’m in Santa Fe. What are we looking at. CPV says it’s a non event. I’m just like where’s it going cause it looks like a mess to me.

It’s all relative. If you live in College Station, it probably will be a non-event. If you live in Freeport, you may have a colorful night.

Mon Sep 13, 2021 2:10 pm

We *may be seeing a bit more organization with Nicholas this afternoon. While not completely stacked, the circulation due east of Corpus Christi looks a bit more dominant with some convection even trying to rotate up-shear. We’ll see.

Anyone saying this is a non-event, needs to be careful. Some people come to this forum for weather information in a conversational format. It’s premature to call it a day.

Mon Sep 13, 2021 2:16 pm

Dls2010r wrote: ↑Mon Sep 13, 2021 2:06 pm I’m confused. I’m in Santa Fe. What are we looking at. CPV says it’s a non event. I’m just like where’s it going cause it looks like a mess to me.

Santa Fe area will see more action than most of us. You’ll probably get 8-12” there with some 60mph gusts, possibly even higher.

Mon Sep 13, 2021 2:17 pm

Jeff Lindner posted about the possibly new center also.

https://twitter.com/JeffLindner1/status ... 0552980485

Mon Sep 13, 2021 2:17 pm

Knowing my Luck in College Station, we probably wont even get a drop of rain out of this Lol

Mon Sep 13, 2021 2:19 pm

Dear All,

This will be an exhaustive couple of days coming up. I know you all have your opinions, but remember, what you might think to be nothing in your area, might be more than enough for others. Please watch how and what you say in your opinions. I am not censoring by any means, but please do not discount ( not that any of you were trying to) a possible event before it happens. The real threat is rain ( if you look at the radar) and that is coming into our area. Please stay safe and monitor all conditions. We all have to be vigilant during this time. This is an ever-changing situation.

Mon Sep 13, 2021 2:20 pm

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Mon Sep 13, 2021 2:16 pm
Dls2010r wrote: ↑Mon Sep 13, 2021 2:06 pm I’m confused. I’m in Santa Fe. What are we looking at. CPV says it’s a non event. I’m just like where’s it going cause it looks like a mess to me.
Santa Fe area will see more action than most of us. You’ll probably get 8-12” there with some 60mph gusts, possibly even higher.

Santa Fe is my hometown ( I grew up there). Yes, the conditions will be more intense than in College Station.

Mon Sep 13, 2021 2:26 pm

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Mon Sep 13, 2021 2:17 pm Knowing my Luck in College Station, we probably wont even get a drop of rain out of this Lol

Yeah it’s not looking good for you guys up there at all. Hopefully y’all are at least getting some cloud cover to keep the temps down.

Mon Sep 13, 2021 2:31 pm

CPV17 interesting to see the NWS is giving a 70% chance of rain tomorrow in CS, but have a high temp of 80 as well

this cloud cover is definitely making things feel better

Mon Sep 13, 2021 2:33 pm

Thank You! Not trying to cause problems but the drainage here sucks. I’m just trying to figure it out. Thank you for all the responses.

Mon Sep 13, 2021 2:38 pm

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Mon Sep 13, 2021 2:26 pm
Stratton20 wrote: ↑Mon Sep 13, 2021 2:17 pm Knowing my Luck in College Station, we probably wont even get a drop of rain out of this Lol
Yeah it’s not looking good for you guys up there at all. Hopefully y’all are at least getting some cloud cover to keep the temps down.

Just remember..when we get snow this winter and yall get the mother load and we down here don't get anything but a few sleet pellets...remember this day lol

Mon Sep 13, 2021 2:51 pm

ive been out of pocket all day....update on golden triangle expectations? Any changes since last night? thanks

Mon Sep 13, 2021 2:53 pm

Taking advantage of the free spot-free power rinse that's on the way and washed my truck (I have super softened water due to our community well). Yall can blame me depending which weather gods that pissed off: the ones that will dry slot us to spoil my efforts, or the ones that will drench us because a clean vehicle is a sin.

Mon Sep 13, 2021 2:56 pm

The HRRR running right now, keeps the storm offshore past the TX/LA border. Pretty crazy.

Mon Sep 13, 2021 2:59 pm

davidiowx wrote: ↑Mon Sep 13, 2021 2:56 pm The HRRR running right now, keeps the storm offshore past the TX/LA border. Pretty crazy.

Was it the HRRR the one who did well with Harvey? Not saying this is a Harvey by any means...

Mon Sep 13, 2021 3:02 pm

https://spacecityweather.com/what-to-ex ... -nicholas/

SCW’s latest post seems to be a bit more positive.

Mon Sep 13, 2021 3:15 pm

Nasty line of storms moving in within the hour.

Mon Sep 13, 2021 3:22 pm

Cromagnum wrote: ↑Mon Sep 13, 2021 1:18 pm Unless this goes due NW, there is no way it's coming ashore in Matagorda Bay.

The CoC is much closer to shore than as marked.

Props to Nicholas for wrapping up tighter. This would be a good time to prepare ahead for tomorrow.

Mon Sep 13, 2021 3:24 pm

Man these gusts embedded in these rain bands are pretty stout

Mon Sep 13, 2021 3:29 pm

Been raining hard by Galveston bay the last hour

September 2021: Hurricane Nicholas

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