September 2021: Hurricane Nicholas

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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tireman4
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The first month of meteorological fall ( September 1) as well as the Fall Equinox. What will be in store for us this year?
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captainbarbossa19
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tireman4 wrote: Mon Aug 16, 2021 10:02 am The first month of meteorological fall ( September 1) as well as the Fall Equinox. What will be in store for us this year?
Hopefully cooler weather and no hurricanes!
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MontgomeryCoWx
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College Football, first real cold fronts and the start of a frigid end to another less than ideal year dominated by global idiocy. :)
Team #NeverSummer
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DoctorMu
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Wed Aug 18, 2021 6:30 pm College Football, first real cold fronts and the start of a frigid end to another less than ideal year dominated by global idiocy. :)
Aggies often talk about next year.

To morph a line from The Blind Side:

"It's next year, Bert."

As one of our high school coaches would say: "The biscuits are on the table. Who is the hungriest?"

Time to run the table. Get vaccinated. Test negative. Let's go!

...and bring on some cool, real Fall air!
weatherguy425
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There has already been some discussion about this, but I figured it belonged more in this thread.

Most models are indicating an area of low pressure will develop In the southern Caribbean or a Gulf of Honduras next week. From there, likely lifting northward. Of course, guidance is all over the place as to its eventual outcome. Something to watch.
Pas_Bon
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Has there been any more model support for this phantom Labor Day storm?
Stratton20
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Pas-Bon yes , 00z CMC and GFS runs both are showing or hinting at more gulf mischief in days 7-8
redneckweather
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Wed Aug 18, 2021 6:30 pm College Football, first real cold fronts and the start of a frigid end to another less than ideal year dominated by global idiocy. :)


I'll drink to that! One more week till college football and the first cool front on the near horizon. My absolute favorite time of year. Roll Tide!😎
weatherguy425
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Pas_Bon wrote: Sat Aug 28, 2021 12:27 am Has there been any more model support for this phantom Labor Day storm?
Operational models have shown a system at times as well as some of each model’s ensemble members. In addition, MJO and some other environmental factors are supportive of development.

The question of exactly when and where, though, remains unanswered.
Stratton20
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12z Euro showing a weak tropical wave getting into the gulf next week fwiw
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