November 2021

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Iceresistance
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Re: November 2021

Post by Iceresistance » Sat Nov 20, 2021 2:43 pm

There may be not snow at all Thanksgiving week, the NAO & AO are way more positive right now than expected.

Stratton20
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Re: November 2021

Post by Stratton20 » Sat Nov 20, 2021 3:16 pm

Weather models never fail to disappoint me lol

Iceresistance
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Re: November 2021

Post by Iceresistance » Sat Nov 20, 2021 4:03 pm

Stratton20 wrote:
Sat Nov 20, 2021 3:16 pm
Weather models never fail to disappoint me lol
Yep, that shows that the weather itself can have other ideas instead of going with the models.

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snowman65
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Re: November 2021

Post by snowman65 » Sat Nov 20, 2021 8:56 pm

just my 2 cents but I dont think we will see any real cold weather outbreaks this winter. Sure, we will get our usual shots of colder temps but nothing special. I can see alot of long range model excitement but those will fizzle out as reality sets in 😁

Cpv17
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Re: November 2021

Post by Cpv17 » Sun Nov 21, 2021 12:56 pm

Geez it’s warm and sticky out there. I could actually go for a swim today.

JDsGN
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Re: November 2021

Post by JDsGN » Sun Nov 21, 2021 8:23 pm

This front is sure taking it’s sweet time…

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jasons2k
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Re: November 2021

Post by jasons2k » Mon Nov 22, 2021 9:11 am

Thanksgiving looks wet. Plan for indoor gatherings.

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don
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Re: November 2021

Post by don » Mon Nov 22, 2021 12:26 pm

(Scenario 1: We end up with a single squall line or MCS that moves in and out of the area with the frontal passage,decreasing rainfall amounts substantially.)
Scenario one seems to be the winner.Some localized street flooding may be an issue for some,but nothing more than that.

Cpv17
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Re: November 2021

Post by Cpv17 » Mon Nov 22, 2021 12:29 pm

don wrote:
Mon Nov 22, 2021 12:26 pm
(Scenario 1: We end up with a single squall line or MCS that moves in and out of the area with the frontal passage,decreasing rainfall amounts substantially.)
Scenario one seems to be the winner.Some localized street flooding may be an issue for some,but nothing more than that.
Yes but there appears to be a second system possibly by day 9 according to the Euro. The GFS hinted at this too a few runs back.

Kingwood36
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Re: November 2021

Post by Kingwood36 » Mon Nov 22, 2021 12:30 pm

Is Thanksgiving suppose to be a washout? I'm smoking a turkey outside

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