November 2021

[Stratton20]

CPV17 plus im pretty sure this system is still out over the pacific , so definitely lots can and will change

[don]

HGX mentioning in the afternoon discussion today that a significant weather event is possible next Thanksgiving/Black Friday.

.LONG TERM [Saturday Through Thursday]...
Dry zonal flow will be giving way late Saturday as an upper
trough moves through the Plains. This will keep the onshore flow
going Saturday with a warming trend and moistening back up. Sunday
morning the associated cold front pushes southward and likely
through SETX Sunday afternoon. Moderate moisture return and
minimal CAPE set the stage for just low end chances for picking
up much in the way of precip Sunday. Strong drying arrives post
frontal with moderate northerly winds and temperatures struggle to
rise back into the lower 70s north (prior to the front). High
temperatures may occur in the late morning/early afternoon prior
to the front and then fall. Monday high pressure with sun. SETX
should have much cooler weather as we radiate down Monday night
and the winds start to relax inland. High pressure over the area
slides east and the return flow gets back underway Tuesday. Very
mild conditions are expected before the winds pick up Tuesday
night with a vigorous upper trough digging down into CA. Moisture
return starts off meager but as this upper low evolves into a
potent storm system the WAA just cranks up. Wednesday should be
warm and breezy. The main focus is shifting into Thanksgiving and
Black Friday time frame as this upper low approaches. Deep
moisture transport on strong inflow to the system will place SETX
in the warm sector for Thanksgiving so be sure the turkey fryers
are tied down (and safe from fire). Have trended way up on
temperatures in advance of the front Abundant moisture and strong
dynamics are coming into play for this period. Timing still an
issue but just a heads up a significant rain/wind/severe event is
shaping up for SETX. Stay tuned.

Thanks for the coordination neighboring offices on the
Thanksgiving event.

[Kingwood36]

Better not rain..I have 4 turkeys to smoke on Thanksgiving

[Cpv17]

Better not rain..I have 4 turkeys to smoke on Thanksgiving

I believe (correct me if I’m wrong) that November is the #1 month in southeast TX for tornadoes. It’s also the month where we can occasionally get large tornadoes as well like what happened in Channelview in 1992.

[DoctorMu]

Better not rain..I have 4 turkeys to smoke on Thanksgiving

I believe (correct me if I’m wrong) that November is the #1 month in southeast TX for tornadoes. It’s also the month where we can occasionally get large tornadoes as well like what happened in Channelview in 1992.

That may be for Houston. There's usually a cap in March and April over HOU, although up in College Station, tornadoes are more likely in the Spring than closer to the coast.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

I'm moving to Russia

Our average high in November is in the low 70s. Average low in the low 50s to upper 40s north.

30s to 50s or hell, 40s to 60s is well below average.

I think some of y’all are just miserable to be around with anomalous expectations for cold.

And that’s coming from someone who loathes hot weather. We very rarely get COLD in November. Yeah it can get chilly, but not Cold.

This November has been very average by historical standards.

[DavidH]

I'm moving to Russia

Our average high in November is in the low 70s. Average low in the low 50s to upper 40s north.

30s to 50s or hell, 40s to 60s is well below average.

I think some of y’all are just miserable to be around with anomalous expectations for cold.

And that’s coming from someone who loathes hot weather. We very rarely get COLD in November. Yeah it can get chilly, but not Cold.

This November has been very average by historical standards.

I approve this message.

And, yes I had to look up anomalous.

[Kingwood36]

I'm moving to Russia

Our average high in November is in the low 70s. Average low in the low 50s to upper 40s north.

30s to 50s or hell, 40s to 60s is well below average.

I think some of y’all are just miserable to be around with anomalous expectations for cold.

And that’s coming from someone who loathes hot weather. We very rarely get COLD in November. Yeah it can get chilly, but not Cold.

This November has been very average by historical standards.

It's a joke man....I get it ..it's November I'm not expecting a damn blizzard around here.. just trying to make conversation and have a laugh..don't take it seriously. No worries though I won't comment here anymore. Later

[Iceresistance]

The 0z Euro is back at it again with snow in Oklahoma & into Kansas & Missouri, this time it's Thanksgiving Weekend.


EDIT: I forgot to mention that the PNA is way more neutral than expected right now, we could pull this off Thanksgiving Week into the weekend if it holds. Also recorded 29°F at my house this morning

[redneckweather]

I'm moving to Russia

Our average high in November is in the low 70s. Average low in the low 50s to upper 40s north.

30s to 50s or hell, 40s to 60s is well below average.

I think some of y’all are just miserable to be around with anomalous expectations for cold.

And that’s coming from someone who loathes hot weather. We very rarely get COLD in November. Yeah it can get chilly, but not Cold.

This November has been very average by historical standards.

It's a joke man....I get it ..it's November I'm not expecting a damn blizzard around here.. just trying to make conversation and have a laugh..don't take it seriously. No worries though I won't comment here anymore. Later

I don't think he is basing that just off that one comment you made but more of your past history of constant 3rd grade crybaby (he hit me Mommy) comments. Just a thought. No need to leave either...I like a little humor around here.

[kyzsl51]

omg yall are something

[Stratton20]

Calm down folks. People have different opinions on what they find to be cold or not, highs in the 50’s and lows in the 30’s arent cold to me, especially since I lived in norway, but thays just my opinion

[redneckweather]

Calm down folks. People have different opinions on what they find to be cold or not, highs in the 50’s and lows in the 30’s arent cold to me, especially since I lived in norway, but thays just my opinion

Heck, I think you are the worse one on here. The sooner your realize you are not in Norway anymore the better off everyone will be on this board.

[Cpv17]

The 0z Euro came in a decent amount wetter for southeast TX and a bit colder as well.

[Stratton20]

redneckweather gonna insult me because I have a different opinion, , wasnt attacking anyone, im trying to de esculate this long chat over this, how about you just stop?

[jasons2k]

…

[Stratton20]

Vack to weather and away from this pointless argument, ill be in Tulsa next wednesday- saturday, is it possible that their could be some snow from the thanksgiving system?

[Iceresistance]

Vack to weather and away from this pointless argument, ill be in Tulsa next wednesday- saturday, is it possible that their could be some snow from the thanksgiving system?

There is a chance, but the model uncertainty is too high right now.

[Stratton20]

Iceresistance thanks!

[Iceresistance]

Iceresistance thanks!

Your welcome, I forgot to mention that there is a higher chance of good rainfall for Eastern Texas & along & west of US-81.