Remember that a +PNA means that the Cold Air gets pushed more towards the East Coast?
December 2021
-
- Posts: 577
- Joined: Fri Apr 30, 2021 11:48 pm
- Location: Tecumseh, OK
- Contact:
We want a neutral PNA.
-
- Posts: 4248
- Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
- Location: College Station, Texas
- Contact:
Ah gotcha well im putting my money on a neutral PNA, im not buying the GFS, its too far east, the euro has a more neutral pna solution
-
- Posts: 577
- Joined: Fri Apr 30, 2021 11:48 pm
- Location: Tecumseh, OK
- Contact:
So did the 12z GFS . . .Stratton20 wrote: ↑Thu Nov 25, 2021 5:58 pm Ah gotcha well im putting my money on a neutral PNA, im not buying the GFS, its too far east, the euro has a more neutral pna solution
-
- Posts: 4248
- Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
- Location: College Station, Texas
- Contact:
Iceresistance its 12+ days out, its going to change alot, im not gonna put a whole lot of trust into the PNA right now, especially since the 12z Euro favors a more neutral pna phase,
-
- Posts: 577
- Joined: Fri Apr 30, 2021 11:48 pm
- Location: Tecumseh, OK
- Contact:
The CFS is still very consistent with the December Cold Wave Round #2 (And maybe #3) around Christmas Week, & it has finally jumped up with the Euro on the Chilly Blast on the 12z run (It's behind every model run by 1 run time)
-
- Posts: 577
- Joined: Fri Apr 30, 2021 11:48 pm
- Location: Tecumseh, OK
- Contact:
0z GFS has a more Neutral PNA on the first cold wave compared to the 18z GFS
-
- Posts: 577
- Joined: Fri Apr 30, 2021 11:48 pm
- Location: Tecumseh, OK
- Contact:
The 6z GFS is featuring POWERFUL Highs in December.
1067 MB & 1060 MB at the same time
Another 1059 MB, over Montana
The Powerful Blocks over Alaska & Greenland will do the trick.
Very Cold Air comes screaming in with these Powerful Highs
3 BIG Winter Storms are also in play
24-Hour Kuchera Ratio Snowfall
1067 MB & 1060 MB at the same time
Another 1059 MB, over Montana
The Powerful Blocks over Alaska & Greenland will do the trick.
Very Cold Air comes screaming in with these Powerful Highs
3 BIG Winter Storms are also in play
24-Hour Kuchera Ratio Snowfall
-
- Posts: 1592
- Joined: Sat Dec 29, 2018 10:29 am
- Location: Freeport
- Contact:
Nothing even remotely close to snow down here lol...yet
-
- Posts: 577
- Joined: Fri Apr 30, 2021 11:48 pm
- Location: Tecumseh, OK
- Contact:
0z Euro has a more positive PNA
-
- Posts: 1592
- Joined: Sat Dec 29, 2018 10:29 am
- Location: Freeport
- Contact:
We need that postive to go kick rocks lol
-
- Posts: 577
- Joined: Fri Apr 30, 2021 11:48 pm
- Location: Tecumseh, OK
- Contact:
I forgot to mention that a Negative PNA would also be nice since as it turns positive, the cold air from the West Coast will eventually come here
GFS 06z has a very light freeze in HOU and mid 20s in CLL on Dec 11. Not unusual for mid December. There does seem significant support behind the cold mass (-15°F to -40°F in Montana, Dakotas), so the unusual part could be the length/reinforcement of the cold snap.
It's a long way off. We'll see.
It's a long way off. We'll see.
-
- Posts: 577
- Joined: Fri Apr 30, 2021 11:48 pm
- Location: Tecumseh, OK
- Contact:
12z GFS is surging it MUCH faster compared to the 6z!
-
- Posts: 577
- Joined: Fri Apr 30, 2021 11:48 pm
- Location: Tecumseh, OK
- Contact:
End of the 12z run on the GFS has a Snowstorm for DFW & Oklahoma.
-
- Posts: 4248
- Joined: Tue Feb 09, 2021 11:35 pm
- Location: College Station, Texas
- Contact:
Iceresistance yup i saw that
True, but 20-50°F warmer in that run in the Rockies. I expect this fantasy to fade away.Iceresistance wrote: ↑Fri Nov 26, 2021 11:37 am End of the 12z run on the GFS has a Snowstorm for DFW & Oklahoma.
-
- Posts: 577
- Joined: Fri Apr 30, 2021 11:48 pm
- Location: Tecumseh, OK
- Contact:
18z GFS trended colder again compared to 12z
-
- Posts: 1592
- Joined: Sat Dec 29, 2018 10:29 am
- Location: Freeport
- Contact:
I'm about 50/50 of this becoming a reality
The trend is our friend