Wondering because of this article from a week ago:
https://www.click2houston.com/business/ ... tent=kprc2
Report: Texas still at risk of winter power blackouts
December 2021
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It really is hard to say even if this long range forecast verified to kniw if we would have any black outs, but I definitely don't trust ERCON and the power grid anymore
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The Ensembles are also showing loose signal for Snowfall in Texas, Oklahoma, & Louisiana in the same timeframe as well, this could be hugeStratton20 wrote: ↑Thu Nov 25, 2021 12:17 pm That would definitely mean some seriously cold air for december, model support is starting to grow on to this arctic blast, will see as we get closer to that timeframe
Agreed. I don’t know if they did anything to the grid to make it stronger. Or if it was weakened last winter from the winter apocalypse, and will fail under less harsh conditions.
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Almost the entire state is below freezing, most areas are down to the 20s, including Austin, DFW, & Houston. Panhandle & NW Texas is down the the Teens & single digits.sambucol wrote: ↑Thu Nov 25, 2021 12:32 pmThinking ahead. If that does verify, how cold? Wondering if we will have rolling blackouts.Iceresistance wrote: ↑Thu Nov 25, 2021 11:51 amAlso 2 Major Central & Southern Plains Snowstorms, the entire State of Texas will go under a deep freeze if the 12z GFS verified.Stratton20 wrote: ↑Thu Nov 25, 2021 11:38 am by days 11-13 the 12z GFS is showing the potential for a huge arctic outbreak in early december, still far out but their definitely is a growing signal for this
Iceresistance wrote: ↑Thu Nov 25, 2021 12:58 pmThe Ensembles are also showing loose signal for Snowfall in Texas, Oklahoma, & Louisiana in the same timeframe as well, this could be hugeStratton20 wrote: ↑Thu Nov 25, 2021 12:17 pm That would definitely mean some seriously cold air for december, model support is starting to grow on to this arctic blast, will see as we get closer to that timeframe
What are the actual dates the models are showing? I know it’s in the area of it could go either way.
If that verifies, and the whole state is below freezing, rolling blackouts wouldn’t be out of the question.
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Looks like this arctic blast is around the 5th of december time frame though the GFS does show the arctic air beginning yo enter the US by hour 240 which is 10 days from now
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The 12z GEFS Members generally start the snowfall around December 4th or 5th & ends around December 9th or 10thsambucol wrote: ↑Thu Nov 25, 2021 1:04 pmIceresistance wrote: ↑Thu Nov 25, 2021 12:58 pmThe Ensembles are also showing loose signal for Snowfall in Texas, Oklahoma, & Louisiana in the same timeframe as well, this could be hugeStratton20 wrote: ↑Thu Nov 25, 2021 12:17 pm That would definitely mean some seriously cold air for december, model support is starting to grow on to this arctic blast, will see as we get closer to that timeframe
What are the actual dates the models are showing? I know it’s in the area of it could go either way.
Last edited by Iceresistance on Thu Nov 25, 2021 1:09 pm, edited 1 time in total.
I’ll be watching.
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